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Gaussian processes constitute a very powerful and well-understood method for non-parametric regression and classification. In the classical framework, the training data consists of deterministic vector-valued inputs and the corresponding…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Maxim Dolgov , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have achieved promising results in diverse generative tasks. A typical DPM framework includes a forward process that gradually diffuses the data distribution and a reverse process that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Tianyu Pang , Cheng Lu , Chao Du , Min Lin , Shuicheng Yan , Zhijie Deng

In quantitative finance, it is often necessary to analyze the distribution of the sum of specific functions of observed values at discrete points of an underlying process. Examples include the probability density function, the hedging…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Jong Jun Park , Kyungsub Lee

Traditionally, population models distinguish individuals on the basis of their current state. Given a distribution, a discrete time model then specifies (precisely in deterministic models, probabilistically in stochastic models) the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-21 B. Boldin , O. Diekmann , J. A. J. Metz

Products between phase-type distributed random variables and any independent, positive and continuous random variable are studied. Their asymptotic properties are established, and an expectation-maximization algorithm for their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt , Jorge Yslas

Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Chen-Hsiang Yeang , Martin Szummer

In some fields of applications of stable distributions, especially in economics, it appears, that data have distributions similar to stable in a large region, but do not have such heavy tails. Our aim in this note is to propose several…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-17 Lenka Slámová , Lev B. Klebanov

We consider the problem of mean estimation assuming only finite variance. We study a new class of mean estimators constructed by integrating over random noise applied to a soft-truncated empirical mean estimator. For appropriate choices of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Matthew J. Holland

The smoothing distribution is the conditional distribution of the diffusion process in the space of trajectories given noisy observations made continuously in time. It is generally difficult to sample from this distribution. We use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Oskar Eklund , Annika Lang , Moritz Schauer

By using the matrix formulation of the two-step approach to distributions of patterns in random sequences, recurrence and explicit formulas for the generating functions of successions in random permutations of arbitrary multisets are…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Yong Kong

The analytic inference, e.g. predictive distribution being in closed form, may be an appealing benefit for machine learning practitioners when they treat wide neural networks as Gaussian process in Bayesian setting. The realistic widths,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-08-01 Chi-Ken Lu

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions is a fundamental challenge in computational physics and machine learning. While score-based and variational methods have achieved success in continuous domains, extending them to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lei Li , Zhen Wang , Lishuo Zhang

We consider the problem of learning two families of time-evolving random measures from indirect observations. In the first model, the signal is a Fleming--Viot diffusion, which is reversible with respect to the law of a Dirichlet process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

Generative diffusions are a powerful class of Monte Carlo samplers that leverage bridging Markov processes to approximate complex, high-dimensional distributions, such as those found in image processing and language models. Despite their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-20 Zheng Zhao , Ziwei Luo , Jens Sjölund , Thomas B. Schön

This paper gives direct derivations of the differential equations and likelihood formulas of diffusion models assuming only knowledge of Gaussian distributions. A VAE analysis derives both forward and backward stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 David McAllester

Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent variance-gamma random variables with zero location parameter; then the exact probability density function of the ratio $X/Y$ is derived. Some basic distributional properties are also derived, including…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Robert E. Gaunt , Siqi Li

Consider observation of a phenomenon of interest subject to selective sampling due to a censoring mechanism regulated by some other variable. In this context, an extensive literature exists linked to the so-called Heckman selection model. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-14 Adelchi Azzalini , Hyoung-Moon Kim , Hea-Jung Kim

Multivariate Gaussian distributions enjoy Gaussian conditional distributions that makes conditioning easy: conditioning boils down to implementing analytical formulae for conditional means and covariances. For more general distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Antoine Faul , David Ginsbourger , Ben Spycher

Consider a stationary renewal point process on the real line and divide each of the segments it defines in a proportion given by \iid realisations of a fixed distribution $G$ supported by [0,1]. We ask ourselves for which interpoint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Anton Muratov , Sergei Zuyev

In this paper, an alternative Discrete skew Logistic distribution is proposed, which is derived by using the general approach of discretizing a continuous distribution while retaining its survival function. The properties of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 Deepesh Bhati , Subrata Chakraborty , Snober Gowhar Lateef