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In the "stochastic $\delta N$ formalism", the statistics of the inflationary density perturbation are obtained from the first passage distribution of a stochastic process. We develop a general framework in which to evaluate the rare tail of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-07 Jaime Calderón-Figueroa , David Seery

This paper presents a simple yet efficient method for statistical inference of tensor linear forms using incomplete and noisy observations. Under the Tucker low-rank tensor model and the missing-at-random assumption, we utilize an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 Wanteng Ma , Dong Xia

Motivated by a wide variety of applications, ranging from stochastic optimization to dimension reduction through variable selection, the problem of estimating gradients accurately is of crucial importance in statistics and learning theory.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Guillaume Ausset , Stephan Clémençon , François Portier

Since the turn of the century, approximate Bayesian inference has steadily evolved as new computational techniques have been incorporated to handle increasingly complex and large-scale predictive problems. The recent success of deep neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-14 Roy Shivam Ram Shreshtth , Arnab Hazra , Gourab Mukherjee

We establish maximal concentration bounds for the iterates generated by stochastic approximation algorithms with general step sizes, where the noise has a finite-state Markovian component plus a Martingale-difference component. When the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Shubhada Agrawal , Siva Theja Maguluri , Martin Zubeldia

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for samples problem based on the functional empirical process (fep), this new method is called general samples problem. We suggest this method to develop the full theory of estimation of means,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Abdoulaye Camara , Adja Mbarka Fall , Moumouni Diallo , Gane Samb Lo

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

In the present paper we consider Laplace deconvolution for discrete noisy data observed on the interval whose length may increase with a sample size. Although this problem arises in a variety of applications, to the best of our knowledge,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Felix Abramovich , Marianna Pensky , Yves Rozenholc

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu

We study the asymptotic consistency properties of $\alpha$-R\'enyi approximate posteriors, a class of variational Bayesian methods that approximate an intractable Bayesian posterior with a member of a tractable family of distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Prateek Jaiswal , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

This note describes non-asymptotic variance and tail bounds for order statistics of samples of independent identically distributed random variables. Those bounds are checked to be asymptotically tight when the sampling distribution belongs…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-05 Stephane Boucheron , Maud Thomas

Signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) statistics play a central role in many applications. A common situation where SNR is studied is when a continuous time signal is sampled at a fixed frequency with some noise in the background. While estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-05 Francesco Giordano , Pietro Coretto

Gaussian processes provide a framework for nonlinear nonparametric Bayesian inference widely applicable across science and engineering. Unfortunately, their computational burden scales cubically with the training sample size, which in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-16 Alec Koppel , Hrusikesha Pradhan , Ketan Rajawat

The replica method is a non-rigorous but well-known technique from statistical physics used in the asymptotic analysis of large, random, nonlinear problems. This paper applies the replica method, under the assumption of replica symmetry, to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-01-20 Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher , Vivek K Goyal

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

This study develops a non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation theory for distributions of M-estimators, which are defined as maximizers of empirical criterion functions. In existing mathematical statistics literature, numerous studies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Masaaki Imaizumi , Taisuke Otsu

We investigate an empirical Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian noise. We consider a class of Gaussian prior probability measures with covariance operator indexed by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

Asymptotic equivalence theory developed in the literature so far are only for bounded loss functions. This limits the potential applications of the theory because many commonly used loss functions in statistical inference are unbounded. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

We obtain non asymptotic concentration bounds for two kinds of stochastic approximations. We first consider the deviations between the expectation of a given function of the Euler scheme of some diffusion process at a fixed deterministic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-12 Noufel Frikha , Stephane Menozzi