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In this paper, we present a data-driven ensemble approach for option price prediction whose derivation is based on the no-arbitrage theory of option pricing. Using the theoretical treatment, we derive a common representation space for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana

After a market downturn, especially in an uncertain economic environment such as the current state, there can be a relatively long period with a sideways market, where indexes, stocks, etc., move in channels with support and resistance…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-26 Zura Kakushadze

In this paper a simple model for the evolution of the forward density of the future value of an asset is proposed. The model allows for a straightforward initial calibration to option prices and has dynamics that are consistent with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog , Johan Nykvist

The aim of this paper is to evaluate geometric Asian option by a mixed fractional subdiffusive Black-Scholes model. We derive a pricing formula for geometric Asian option when the underlying stock follows a time changed mixed fractional…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-15 Foad Shokrollahi

Diffusion-based models have achieved notable empirical successes in reinforcement learning (RL) due to their expressiveness in modeling complex distributions. Despite existing methods being promising, the key challenge of extending existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Dmitry Shribak , Chen-Xiao Gao , Yitong Li , Chenjun Xiao , Bo Dai

This research presents a novel approach to predicting option movements by analyzing residual transactions, which are trades that deviate from standard hedging activities. Unlike traditional methods that primarily focus on open interest and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Carl von Havighorst , Vincil Bishop

In this paper a real option approach for the valuation of real assets is presented. Two continuous time models used for valuation are described: geometric Brownian motion model and interest rate model. The valuation for electricity spread…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ewa Broszkiewicz-Suwaj

This study deals with the problem of pricing European currency options in discrete time setting, whose prices follow the fractional Black Scholes model with transaction costs. Both the pricing formula and the fractional partial differential…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-03 Foad Shokrollahi

In this paper we study the pricing and hedging problem of a portfolio of life insurance products under the benchmark approach, where the reference market is modelled as driven by a state variable following a polynomial diffusion on a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-26 Francesca Biagini , Yinglin Zhang

This paper will demonstrate some new techniques for developing the theory of Asian (arithmetic average) options pricing. We discuss the basic derivation of the diffusion equations, and how various techniques from potential theory can be…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-20 P. G. Morrison

In this work, we investigate an inverse problem of recovering multiple orders in a time-fractional diffusion model from the data observed at one single point on the boundary. We prove the unique recovery of the orders together with their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Bangti Jin , Yavar Kian

A computational technique borrowed from the physical sciences is introduced to obtain accurate closed-form approximations for the transition probability of arbitrary diffusion processes. Within the path integral framework the same technique…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

A number of Bermudan option pricing methods that are applicable to options on multiple assets are studied in this thesis, one of the dominating questions being the natural scaling needed to extrapolate from Bermudan to American (both…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederik S Herzberg

We consider the pricing of derivatives in a setting with trading restrictions, but without any probabilistic assumptions on the underlying model, in discrete and continuous time. In particular, we assume that European put or call options…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-09 Alexander M. G. Cox , Zhaoxu Hou , Jan Obloj

In this paper a time-fractional Black-Scholes model (TFBSM) is considered to study the price change of the underlying fractal transmission system. We develop and analyze a numerical method to solve the TFBSM governing European options. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Anshima Singh , Sunil Kumar

Semi-analytical pricing of American options in a time-dependent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model was presented in [Carr, Itkin, 2020]. It was shown that to obtain these prices one needs to solve (numerically) a nonlinear Volterra integral equation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-27 Andrey Itkin , Dmitry Muravey

This paper proposes a numerical method for pricing foreign exchange (FX) options in a model which deals with stochastic interest rates and stochastic volatility of the FX rate. The model considers four stochastic drivers, each represented…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Fazlollah Soleymani , Andrey Itkin

We consider the problem of option pricing under stochastic volatility models, focusing on the linear approximation of the two processes known as exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Stein-Stein. Indeed, we show they admit the same limit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-23 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Danilo Delpini

In mathematical finance, a process of calibrating stochastic volatility (SV) option pricing models to real market data involves a numerical calculation of integrals that depend on several model parameters. This optimization task consists of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Josef Daněk , J. Pospíšil

We consider the superhedging price of an exotic option under nondominated model uncertainty in discrete time in which the option buyer chooses some action from an (uncountable) action space at each time step. By introducing an enlarged…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-03 Anna Aksamit , Ivan Guo , Shidan Liu , Zhou Zhou