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For each $\lambda>0$ and every square-integrable infinitely-divisible (ID) distribution there exists at least one stationary stochastic process $t\mapsto X_t$ with the specified distribution for $X_1$ and with first-order autoregressive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Robert L Wolpert

Extreme events are by nature rare and difficult to predict, yet are often much more important than frequent, typical events. An interesting counterpoint to the prediction of such events is their retrodiction -- given a process in an outlier…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Wesley W. Erickson , Daniel A. Steck

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We study a continuous time branching process where an individual splits into two daughters with rate b and dies with rate a, starting from a single individual at t=0. We show that the model can be mapped exactly to a random walk problem…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-13 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso

A novel IV estimation method, that we term Locally Trimmed LS (LTLS), is developed which yields estimators with (mixed) Gaussian limit distributions in situations where the data may be weakly or strongly persistent. In particular, we allow…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-24 Zhishui Hu , Ioannis Kasparis , Qiying Wang

A refracted L\'evy process is a L\'evy process whose dynamics change by subtracting off a fixed linear drift (of suitable size) whenever the aggregate process is above a pre-specified level. More precisely, whenever it exists, a refracted…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Andreas E. Kyprianou , J. C. Pardo , J. L. Pérez

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Chengxiu Ling

In a general class of one dimensional random differential equation the convergence of the distribution function of the solution to stationary state distribution is studied. In particular it is proved the boundedness respectively the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-07 Gyorgy Steinbrecher , Xavier Garbet , Boris Weyssow

This article considers the statistical properties of L\'evy walks possessing a regular long-term linear scaling of the mean square displacement with time, for which the conditions of the classical Central Limit Theorem apply.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-07 Massimiliano Giona , Andrea Cairoli , Rainer Klages

We establish Cram\'er type moderate deviation (MD}) results for heavy trimmed L-statistics; we obtain our results under a very mild smoothness condition on the inversion $F^{-1}$ ($F$ is the underlying distribution of i.i.d. observations)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Nadezhda Gribkova

We introduce a random matrix model where the entries are dependent across both rows and columns. More precisely, we investigate matrices of the form $\X=(X_{(i-1)n+t})_{it}\in\R^{p\times n}$ derived from a linear process $X_t=\sum_j c_j…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Oliver Pfaffel , Eckhard Schlemm

Let $\{X_i\}_{i\geq1}$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables and define, for $n\geq2$, \[T_n=\cases{n^{-1/2}\hat{\sigma}_n^{-1}S_n,\quad \hat{\sigma}_n>0,\cr 0,\quad \hat{\sigma}_n=0,}with S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Fredrik Jonsson

We establish general sufficient conditions for a sequence of controlled branching processes to converge weakly on the Skorokhod space. We focus on a class of controlled random variables that extends previous results by considering them as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Miguel González , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Inés del Puerto

Given a sample from a discretely observed L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of the finite jump activity, the problem of nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density $\rho$ corresponding to the process $X$ is studied. An estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

We consider a sequence $(\xi_n)_{n\ge1}$ of $i.i.d.$ random values living in the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. For such sequence, there exists $(a_n)$ and $(b_n)$, with $a_n>0$ and $b_n\in\ER$ for every $n\ge 1$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-31 Fabien Panloup

This paper studies the joint limiting behavior of extreme eigenvalues and trace of large sample covariance matrix in a generalized spiked population model, where the asymptotic regime is such that the dimension and sample size grow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Zeng Li , Fang Han , Jianfeng Yao

We consider a class of subcritical superprocesses $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ with general spatial motions and general branching mechanisms. We study the asymptotic behaviors of $\mathbf Q_{t,r}$, the distribution of $X_t$ conditioned on $X_{t+r}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Rongli Liu , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Zhenyao Sun

In this paper we consider heavy tailed Markov renewal processes and we prove that, suitably renormalised, they converge in law towards the $\ga$-stable regenerative set. We then apply these results to the strip wetting model which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Julien Sohier

Skewness and kurtosis are fundamental statistical moments commonly used to quantify asymmetry and tail behavior in probability distributions. Despite their widespread application in statistical mechanics, condensed matter physics, and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-06-23 Carlo De Michele , Samuele De Bartolo

We consider the exponential functional $A_{\infty}=\int_0^{\infty} e^{\xi_s} ds$ associated to a Levy process $(\xi_t)_{t \geq 0}$. We find the asymptotic behavior of the tail of this random variable, under some assumptions on the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mejane Olivier