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Rare events in stochastic processes with heavy-tailed distributions are controlled by the big jump principle, which states that a rare large fluctuation is produced by a single event and not by an accumulation of coherent small deviations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-13 Raffaella Burioni , Alessandro Vezzani

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviors of the extreme of mixed skew-t distribution. We considered limits on distribution and density of maximum of mixed skew-t distribution under linear and power normalization, and further derived…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-13 Jingyao Hou , Xin Liao , Zuoxiang Peng

In this paper, we address rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. The presence of infinite activities poses a critical challenge, making it impractical to simulate or store the precise sample path…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

Let $(X_1, \xi_1), (X_2,\xi_2),\ldots$ be i.i.d.~copies of a pair $(X,\xi)$ where $X$ is a random process with paths in the Skorokhod space $D[0,\infty)$ and $\xi$ is a positive random variable. Define $S_k := \xi_1+\ldots+\xi_k$, $k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-12 Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Matthias Meiners

In [16], under mild conditions, a Wiener-Hopf type factorization is derived for the exponential functional of proper L\'evy processes. In this paper, we extend this factorization by relaxing a finite moment assumption as well as by…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-05 Pierre Patie , Mladen Savov

Let X_t, 0<=t<=T be a one-dimensional stochastic process with independent and stationary increments. This paper considers the problem of stopping the process X_t "as close as possible" to its eventual supremum M_T:=sup{X_t: 0<=t<=T}, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Pieter C. Allaart

We establish functional limit theorems for ergodic sums of observables with power singularities for expanding circle maps. In the regime where the observables have infinite variance, we show that when rescaled by $N^{1/s}(\ln N)^\alpha$,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Sixu Liu

The L\'evy, jumping process, defined in terms of the jumping size distribution and the waiting time distribution, is considered. The jumping rate depends on the process value. The fractional diffusion equation, which contains the variable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-10 Tomasz Srokowski

In the paper we consider the partial sum process $\sum_{k=1}^{[nt]}X_k^{(n)}$, where $\{X_k^{(n)}=\sum_{j=0}^{\infty} a_{j}^{(n)}\xi_{k-j}(b(n)), \ k\in \bz\},\ n\ge 1,$ is a series of linear processes with tapered filter…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Vygantas Paulauskas

Let $X^{(\delta)}$ be a Wishart process of dimension $\delta$, with values in the set of positive matrices of size $m$. We are interested in the large deviations for a family of matrix-valued processes $\{\delta^{-1} X_t^{(\delta)}, t \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Catherine Donati-Martin

We study deterministic and stochastic primal-dual sub-gradient algorithms for distributed optimization of a separable objective function with global inequality constraints. In both algorithms, the norm of the Lagrangian multipliers are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Masoud Badiei Khuzani , Na Li

The probability distribution of the maximum $M_t$ of a single resetting Brownian motion (RBM) of duration $t$ and resetting rate $r$, properly centred and scaled, is known to converge to the standard Gumbel distribution of the classical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We consider branching processes for structured populations: each individual is characterized by a type or trait which belongs to a general measurable state space. We focus on the supercritical recurrent case, where the population may…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Vincent Bansaye , Tresnia Berah , Bertrand Cloez

We investigate the second order asymptotic behavior of trimmed sums $T_n=\frac 1n \sum_{i=\kn+1}^{n-\mn}\xin$, where $\kn$, $\mn$ are sequences of integers, $0\le \kn < n-\mn \le n$, such that $\min(\kn, \mn) \to \infty$, as $\nty$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 N. V. Gribkova , R. Helmers

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-24 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

Let $(X,Y)$ be a bivariate random vector. The estimation of a probability of the form $P(Y\leq y \mid X >t) $ is challenging when $t$ is large, and a fruitful approach consists in studying, if it exists, the limiting conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-01 Anne-Laure Fougères , Philippe Soulier

Motivated by classical considerations from risk theory, we investigate boundary crossing problems for refracted L\'evy processes. The latter is a L\'evy process whose dynamics change by subtracting off a fixed linear drift (of suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-12 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ronnie Loeffen

The paper deals with singular Sturm-Liouville expressions with matrix-valued distributional coefficients. Due to a suitable regularization, the corresponding operators are correctly defined as quasi-differentials. Their resolvent…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-14 Alexei Konstantinov , Oleksandr Konstantinov

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

We take an $L_1$-dense class of functions $\Cal F$ on a measurable space $(X,\Cal X)$ and a sequence of i.i.d. $X$-valued random variables $\xi_1,\dots,\xi_n$, and give a good estimate on the tail behaviour of $\sup\limits_{f\in\Cal…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Peter Major