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In this paper, we study mixed power-exponential moment functionals of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. Conditions under which the moment functionals of interest can be expanded in asymptotic power series with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

We consider the winding number of planar stationary Gaussian processes defined on the line. Under mild conditions, we obtain the asymptotic variance and the Central Limit Theorem for the winding number as the time horizon tends to infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Federico Dalmao , José R. León

Let $X_{i,n},n\in \mathbb{N},1\leq i\leq n$, be a triangular array of independent $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued Gaussian random vectors with correlation matrices $\Sigma_{i,n}$. We give necessary conditions under which the row-wise maxima converge…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

This paper deals with the union set of a stationary Poisson process of cylinders in $\mathbb{R}^n$ having an $(n-m)$-dimensional base and an $m$-dimensional direction space, where $m\in\{0,1,\ldots,n-1\}$ and $n\geq 2$. The concept…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Carina Betken , Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thäle

We consider one-dimensional Brownian motion conditioned (in a suitable sense) to have a local time at every point and at every moment bounded by some fixed constant. Our main result shows that a phenomenon of entropic repulsion occurs: that…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-22 Itai Benjamini , Nathanael Berestycki

In this paper, we survey results on the asymptotic behavior of the variance of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) for the mean of stationary processes. This behavior is influenced by the regularity and memory structures of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Mamikon S. Ginovyan

Applying quantitative perturbation theory for linear operators, we prove non-asymptotic limit theorems for Markov chains whose transition kernel has a spectral gap in an arbitrary Banach algebra of functions X . The main results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Benoît Kloeckner

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar

We introduce a class of stochastic processes with reinforcement consisting of a sequence of random partitions $\{\mathcal{P}_t\}_{t \ge 1}$, where $\mathcal{P}_t$ is a partition of $\{1,2,\dots, Rt\}$. At each time~$t$,~$R$ numbers are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Caio Alves , Rodrigo Ribeiro , Daniel Valesin

We consider noisy non-synchronous discrete observations of a continuous semimartingale with random volatility. Functional stable central limit theorems are established under high-frequency asymptotics in three setups: one-dimensional for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Randolf Altmeyer , Markus Bibinger

This paper is a study of power series, where the coefficients are binomial expressions (iterated finite differences). Our results can be used for series summation, for series transformation, or for asymptotic expansions involving Stirling…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-10 Khristo N. Boyadzhiev

The asymptotic variance is an important criterion to evaluate the performance of Markov chains, especially for the central limit theorems. We give the variational formulas for the asymptotic variance of discrete-time (non-reversible) Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao

We derive theorems which outline explicit mechanisms by which anomalous scaling for the probability density function of the sum of many correlated random variables asymptotically prevails. The results characterize general anomalous scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

This paper presents new limit theorems for power variation of fractional type symmetric infinitely divisible random fields. More specifically, the random field $X = (X(\boldsymbol{t}))_{\boldsymbol{t} \in [0,1]^d}$ is defined as an integral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Mark Podolskij

In this thesis, we study asymptotic properties of the standard branching Brownian motion, with a specific emphasis on the additive martingales at high temperature. We start by presenting classic and fundamental tools for our investigation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Louis Chataignier

We study the leading term in the small-time asymptotics of at-the-money call option prices when the stock price process $S$ follows a general martingale. This is equivalent to studying the first centered absolute moment of $S$. We show that…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-10 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz

We obtain an explicit formula for the variance of the number of $k$-peaks in a uniformly random permutation. This is then used to obtain an asymptotic formula for the variance of the length of longest $k$-alternating subsequence in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Recep Altar Çiçeksiz , Yunus Emre Demirci , Ümit Işlak

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

Power posteriors "robustify" standard Bayesian inference by raising the likelihood to a constant fractional power, effectively downweighting its influence in the calculation of the posterior. Power posteriors have been shown to be more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Ruchira Ray , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush
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