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Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to describe dynamical systems in science, but identifying parameters that explain experimental measurements is challenging. In particular, although ODEs are differentiable and would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Jonas Beck , Nathanael Bosch , Michael Deistler , Kyra L. Kadhim , Jakob H. Macke , Philipp Hennig , Philipp Berens

We describe a new and computationally efficient Bayesian methodology for inferring species trees and demographics from unlinked binary markers. Likelihood calculations are carried out using diffusion models of allele frequency dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-18 Marnus Stoltz , Boris Bauemer , Remco Bouckaert , Colin Fox , Gordon Hiscott , David Bryant

We investigate the fluctuations around the average density profile in the weakly asymmetric exclusion process with open boundaries in the steady state. We show that these fluctuations are given, in the macroscopic limit, by a centered…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 B. Derrida , C. Enaud , C. Landim , S. Olla

We derive an integral expression for the plane-wave expansion of the time-varying (nonstationary) random field inside a mode-stirred reverberation chamber. It is shown that this expansion is a so-called oscillatory process, whose kernel can…

Optics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luk R. Arnaut

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

The method of location and spectral estimation of weak signals on a noise background is being considered. The method is based on the optimized on order and noise dispersion autoregressive model of a sought signal. A new approach of model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-07-03 Yu. Bunyak , O. Bunyak

The spectrum of the evolution Operator associated with a nonlinear stochastic flow with additive noise is evaluated by diagonalization in a polynomial basis. The method works for arbitrary noise strength. In the weak noise limit we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 C. P. Dettmann , Gergely Palla , Niels Søndergaard , Gábor Vattay

Accurate estimation of wildlife density is vital for effective ecological monitoring, conservation, and management. Line transect sampling, a central technique in distance sampling, relies on selecting an appropriate detection function to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Midhat M. Edous , Omar M. Eidous

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

We introduce a wavelet-based model of local stationarity. This model enlarges the class of locally stationary wavelet processes and contains processes whose spectral density function may change very suddenly in time. A notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-12 Sébastien Van Bellegem , Rainer von Sachs

Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

A number of recent works have proposed to solve the line spectral estimation problem by applying off-the-grid extensions of sparse estimation techniques. These methods are preferable over classical line spectral estimation algorithms…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-02-19 Thomas Lundgaard Hansen , Bernard Henri Fleury , Bhaskar D. Rao

We present a general theory to quantify the uncertainty from imposing structural assumptions on the second-order structure of nonstationary Hilbert space-valued processes, which can be measured via functionals of time-dependent spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

We consider the problem of discretizing evolution operators of linear delay equations with the aim of approximating their spectra, which is useful in investigating the stability properties of (nonlinear) equations via the principle of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Alessia andò , Giusy Bosco , Dimitri Breda , Davide Liessi

The problem of the mean-square optimal linear estimation of functionals which depend on the unknown values of a stationary stochastic sequence from observations of the sequence with noise is considered. In the case of spectral certainty,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

We present online prediction methods for time series that let us explicitly handle nonstationary artifacts (e.g. trend and seasonality) present in most real time series. Specifically, we show that applying appropriate transformations to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-28 Christopher Xie , Avleen Bijral , Juan Lavista Ferres

Objective: Mixtures of temporally nonstationary signals are very common in biomedical applications. The nonstationarity of the source signals can be used as a discriminative property for signal separation. Herein, a semi-blind source…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-24 Fahimeh Jamshidian-Tehrani , Reza Sameni , Christian Jutten

The normalizing constant plays an important role in Bayesian computation, and there is a large literature on methods for computing or approximating normalizing constants that cannot be evaluated in closed form. When the normalizing constant…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-02 Yuling Yao , Collin Cademartori , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

The high-order accuracy of Fourier method makes it the method of choice in many large scale simulations. We discuss here the stability of Fourier method for nonlinear evolution problems, focusing on the two prototypical cases of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-08-27 Claude Bardos , Eitan Tadmor