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Stochastic models for performance analysis, optimization and control of queues hinge on a multitude of alternatives for input point processes. In case of bursty traffic, one very popular model is the \textit{Markov Modulated Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Azam Asanjarani , Sophie Hautphenne , Yoni Nazarathy

We consider two classes of irreducible Markovian arrival processes specified by the matrices $C$ and $D$. The Markov Modulated Poison Process (MMPP) and the Markovian Switched Poison Process (MSPP). The former exhibits a diagonal $D$ while…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Azam Asanjarani , Yoni Nazarathy

Motivated by a real failure dataset in a two-dimensional context, this paper presents an extension of the Markov modulated Poisson process (MMPP) to two dimensions. The one-dimensional MMPP has been proposed for the modeling of dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yoel G. Yera , Rosa E. Lillo , Bo F. Nielsen , Pepa Ramírez-Cobo , Fabrizio Ruggeri

This work continues the research done in Jordanova and Veleva (2023) where the history of the problem could be found. In order to obtain the structure distribution of the newly-defined Mixed Poisson process, here the operation "max" is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Evelina Veleva , Milan Stehlik

In this paper, we introduce and study a convoluted version of the time fractional Poisson process by taking the discrete convolution with respect to space variable in the system of fractional differential equations that governs its state…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-20 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

Generalization of the Lorden's inequality is an excellent tool for obtaining strong upper bounds for the convergence rate for various complicated stochastic models. This paper demonstrates a method for obtaining such bounds for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Galina Zverkina

Prediction of events such as part replacement and failure events plays a critical role in reliability engineering. Event stream data are commonly observed in manufacturing and teleservice systems. Designing predictive models for individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Salman Jahani , Shiyu Zhou , Dharmaraj Veeramani , Jeff Schmidt

In this paper the class of mixed renewal processes (MRPs for short) with mixing parameter a random vector from \cite{lm6z3} (enlarging Huang's \cite{hu} original class) is replaced by the strictly more comprising class of all extended MRPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

The Poisson process is the most elementary continuous-time stochastic process that models a stream of repeating events. It is uniquely characterised by a single parameter called the rate. Instead of a single value for this rate, we here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

A multivariate fractional Poisson process was recently defined in Beghin and Macci (2016) by considering a common independent random time change for a finite dimensional vector of independent (non-fractional) Poisson processes; moreover it…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

Typically, quantum superpositions, and thus measurement projections of quantum states involving interference, decrease (or increase) monotonically as a function of increased distinguishability. Distinguishability, in turn, can be a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Gunnar Björk , Saroosh Shabbir

The Batch Markov Modulated Poisson Process (BMMPP) is a subclass of the versatile Batch Markovian Arrival process (BMAP) which has been proposed for the modeling of dependent events occurring in batches (as group arrivals, failures or risk…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-29 Yoel G. Yera , Rosa E. Lillo , Pepa Ramírez-Cobo

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. For $k=1$ it is the standard Poisson distribution. Although its probability mass function (pmf) is known, what is lacking is a $visual$…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-26 S. R. Mane

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

In this paper, we first define the multivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (MTSFPP) by time-changing the multivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered {\alpha}-stable subordinator. Its distributional properties,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Ashok Kumar Pathak , Ritik Soni

In recent years, there has been a growing interest in statistical methods that exhibit robust performance under distribution changes between training and test data. While most of the related research focuses on point predictions with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Alexander Henzi , Xinwei Shen , Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann

Contemporary insurance theory is concentrated on models with different types of polices and shock events may influence the payments on some of them. Jordanova (2018) considered a model where a shock event contributes to the total claim…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Pavlina Jordanova , Evelina Veleva , Kosto Mitov

The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Mauro Politi , Taisei Kaizoji , Enrico Scalas

Splitting probabilities quantify the likelihood of a given outcome out of competitive events. This key observable of random walk theory, historically introduced as the gambler's ruin problem, is well understood for memoryless (Markovian)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-01 M. Dolgushev , T. V. Mendes , B. Gorin , K. Xie , N. Levernier , O. Bénichou , H. Kellay , R. Voituriez , T. Guérin
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