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Instrumental variables (eliminate the bias that afflicts least-squares identification of dynamical systems through noisy data, yet traditionally relies on external instruments that are seldom available for nonlinear time series data. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

This study investigated the problem posed by using ordinary least squares (OLS) to estimate parameters of simple linear regression under a specific context of special relativity, where an independent variable is restricted to an open…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-06-01 Si Hyung Joo

We present an efficient and practical algorithm for the online prediction of discrete-time linear dynamical systems with a symmetric transition matrix. We circumvent the non-convex optimization problem using improper learning: carefully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-08 Elad Hazan , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang

Ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators are widely used in network experiments to estimate spillover effects. We study the causal interpretation of, and inference for the OLS estimator under both design-based uncertainty from random…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Kensuke Sakamoto , Yuya Shimizu

We study square loss in a realizable time-series framework with martingale difference noise. Our main result is a fast rate excess risk bound which shows that whenever a trajectory hypercontractivity condition holds, the risk of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu

We propose an estimation procedure for linear functionals based on Gaussian model selection techniques. We show that the procedure is adaptive, and we give a non asymptotic oracle inequality for the risk of the selected estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Béatrice Laurent , Carenne Ludeña , Clémentine Prieur

Performance analysis of $l_0$ norm constrained Recursive least Squares (RLS) algorithm is attempted in this paper. Though the performance pretty attractive compared to its various alternatives, no thorough study of theoretical analysis has…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-11 Samrat Mukhopadhyay , Bijit Kumar Das , Mrityunjoy Chakraborty

We present a local minimax lower bound on the excess cost of designing a linear-quadratic controller from offline data. The bound is valid for any offline exploration policy that consists of a stabilizing controller and an energy bounded…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-29 Bruce D. Lee , Ingvar Ziemann , Anastasios Tsiamis , Henrik Sandberg , Nikolai Matni

The robust adjustment of nonlinear models to data is considered in this paper. When data comes from real experiments, it is possible that measurement errors cause the appearance of discrepant values, which should be ignored when adjusting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-02 E. V. Castelani , R. Lopes , W. V. I. Shirabayashi , F. N. C. Sobral

The combination of the multiple shooting strategy with the generalized Gauss-Newton algorithm turns out in a recognized method for estimating parameters in ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from noisy discrete observations. A key issue…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-03-23 F. Carbonell , Y. Iturria-Medina , J. C. Jimenez

We propose an optimization formulation for the simultaneous estimation of a latent variable and the identification of a linear continuous-time dynamic system, given a single input-output pair. We justify this approach based on Bayesian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-29 Pierre-Cyril Aubin-Frankowski , Alain Bensoussan , S. Joe Qin

We evaluate the robustness of a probabilistic formulation of system identification (ID) to sparse, noisy, and indirect data. Specifically, we compare estimators of future system behavior derived from the Bayesian posterior of a learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Nicholas Galioto , Alex Gorodetsky

The problem of convergence of moments of a sequence of random variables to the moments of its asymptotic distribution is important in many applications. These include the determination of the optimal training sample size in the cross…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Georgios Afendras , Marianthi Markatou

This paper concerns the adaptive control problem for a class of nonlinear stochastic systems in which the state update is given by a nonlinear function of linear dynamics plus additive stochastic noise. Such systems arise in a wide range of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Lantian Zhang , Bo Wahlberg , Silun Zhang

Regularized least-squares approaches have been successfully applied to linear system identification. Recent approaches use quadratic penalty terms on the unknown impulse response defined by stable spline kernels, which control model space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-27 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Estimating the length of the longest increasing subsequence (LIS) in an array is a problem of fundamental importance. Despite the significance of the LIS estimation problem and the amount of attention it has received, there are important…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Ilan Newman , Nithin Varma

Function approximation from input and output data is one of the most investigated problems in signal processing. This problem has been tackled with various signal processing and machine learning methods. Although tensors have a rich history…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-16 Christina Auer , Thomas Paireder , Oliver Ploder , Oliver Lang , Mario Huemer

In the heteroscedastic linear model, the weighted least squares (WLS) estimate of the model coefficients is more efficient than the ordinary least squares (OLS) esti- mate. However, the practical application of WLS is challenging because it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Jordan Bryan , Haibo Zhou , Didong Li

We analyze the performance of a linear-equality-constrained least-squares (CLS) algorithm and its relaxed version, called rCLS, that is obtained via the method of weighting. The rCLS algorithm solves an unconstrained least-squares problem…

Performance · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Reza Arablouei , Kutluyıl Doğançay

This article considers algorithmic and statistical aspects of linear regression when the correspondence between the covariates and the responses is unknown. First, a fully polynomial-time approximation scheme is given for the natural least…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Daniel Hsu , Kevin Shi , Xiaorui Sun