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We present a new finite-time analysis of the estimation error of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator for stable linear time-invariant systems. We characterize the number of observed samples (the length of the observed trajectory)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-27 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

This paper considers the problem of linear time-invariant (LTI) system identification using input/output data. Recent work has provided non-asymptotic results on partially observed LTI system identification using a single trajectory but is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Yang Zheng , Na Li

System identification is a fundamental problem in control and learning, particularly in high-stakes applications where data efficiency is critical. Classical approaches, such as the ordinary least squares estimator (OLS), achieve an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-12 Xiong Zeng , Jing Yu , Necmiye Ozay

We study the problem of identification of linear dynamical system from a single trajectory, via excitations of isotropic Gaussian. In stark contrast with previously reported results, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator for even…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Miroslav Pajic

We derive finite time error bounds for estimating general linear time-invariant (LTI) systems from a single observed trajectory using the method of least squares. We provide the first analysis of the general case when eigenvalues of the LTI…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Tuhin Sarkar , Alexander Rakhlin

Ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimators for a linear model are very sensitive to unusual values in the design space or outliers among y values. Even one single atypical value may have a large effect on the parameter estimates. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-28 Chun Yu , Weixin Yao , Xue Bai

Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) have recently gained a lot of attention in machine learning. However, the theoretical aspects, e.g., identifiability and asymptotic properties of statistical estimation are still obscure. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yuanyuan Wang , Wei Huang , Mingming Gong , Xi Geng , Tongliang Liu , Kun Zhang , Dacheng Tao

We analyze a simple prefiltered variation of the least squares estimator for the problem of estimation with biased, semi-parametric noise, an error model studied more broadly in causal statistics and active learning. We prove an oracle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Max Simchowitz , Ross Boczar , Benjamin Recht

This paper studies the linear system identification problem in the general case where the disturbance is sub-Gaussian, correlated, and possibly adversarial. First, we consider the case with noncentral (nonzero-mean) disturbances for which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Jihun Kim , Javad Lavaei

In different fields of applications including, but not limited to, behavioral, environmental, medical sciences and econometrics, the use of panel data regression models has become increasingly popular as a general framework for making…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-15 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

There has been remarkable progress over the past decade in establishing finite-sample, non-asymptotic bounds on recovering unknown system parameters from observed system behavior. Surprisingly, however, we show that the current…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Yichen Zhou , Stephen Tu

Sequential data collection has emerged as a widely adopted technique for enhancing the efficiency of data gathering processes. Despite its advantages, such data collection mechanism often introduces complexities to the statistical inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Mufang Ying , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang

A data analyst might worry about generalization if dropping a very small fraction of data points from a study could change its substantive conclusions. Checking this non-robustness directly poses a combinatorial optimization problem and is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Jenny Y. Huang , David R. Burt , Yunyi Shen , Tin D. Nguyen , Tamara Broderick

Ordinary least squares (OLS) is the default method for fitting linear models, but is not applicable for problems with dimensionality larger than the sample size. For these problems, we advocate the use of a generalized version of OLS…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-17 Xiangyu Wang , David Dunson , Chenlei Leng

Ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression is one of the most basic statistical techniques for data analysis. In the main stream literature and the statistical education, the study of linear regression is typically restricted to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja

Estimation and inference in statistics pose significant challenges when data are collected adaptively. Even in linear models, the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator may fail to exhibit asymptotic normality for single coordinate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Licong Lin , Mufang Ying , Suvrojit Ghosh , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang

Sparse linear regression, which entails finding a sparse solution to an underdetermined system of linear equations, can formally be expressed as an $l_0$-constrained least-squares problem. The Orthogonal Least-Squares (OLS) algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-01 Abolfazl Hashemi , Haris Vikalo

There has been much recent progress in forecasting the next observation of a linear dynamical system (LDS), which is known as the improper learning, as well as in the estimation of its system matrices, which is known as the proper learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Quan Zhou , Jakub Marecek

Identification of the parameters of stable linear dynamical systems is a well-studied problem in the literature, both in the low and high-dimensional settings. However, there are hardly any results for the unstable case, especially…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-06 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

Linear regression is one of the most prevalent techniques in machine learning, however, it is also common to use linear regression for its \emph{explanatory} capabilities rather than label prediction. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) is often…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-08-23 Or Sheffet
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