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An algorithm for a family of self-starting high-order implicit time integration schemes with controllable numerical dissipation is proposed for both linear and nonlinear transient problems. This work builds on the previous works of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Daniel O'Shea , Xiaoran Zhang , Shayan Mohammadian , Chongmin Song

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Modeling high-dimensional, nonlinear dynamic structural systems under natural hazards presents formidable computational challenges, especially when simultaneously accounting for uncertainties in external loads and structural parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Haimiti Atila , Seymour M. J. Spence

Supervised deep-embedding methods project inputs of a domain to a representational space in which same-class instances lie near one another and different-class instances lie far apart. We propose a probabilistic method that treats…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-27 Tyler R. Scott , Karl Ridgeway , Michael C. Mozer

A multifidelity method for the nonlinear propagation of uncertainties in the presence of stochastic accelerations is presented. The proposed algorithm treats the uncertainty propagation (UP) problem by separating the propagation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Francesco Sanfedino

Diffusion models have quickly become some of the most popular and powerful generative models for high-dimensional data. The key insight that enabled their development was the realization that access to the score -- the gradient of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Zhenghan Fang , Mateo Díaz , Sam Buchanan , Jeremias Sulam

We introduce DeRegiME -- Deep Regime Mixture of Experts -- a direct multi-horizon probabilistic forecaster that separates latent uncertainty regimes from the underlying signal and softly assigns each forecast location to learned recurring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Kieran Wood , Stefan Zohren , Stephen J. Roberts

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui

Most real world phenomena such as sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, minerals concentration, stock valuation, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation changes depending on the locality. Nonstationary dynamics pose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Sahil Garg

In this paper, we aim to solve the high dimensional stochastic optimal control problem from the view of the stochastic maximum principle via deep learning. By introducing the extended Hamiltonian system which is essentially an FBSDE with a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Shaolin Ji , Shige Peng , Ying Peng , Xichuan Zhang

We prove that stochastic gradient descent efficiently converges to the global optimizer of the maximum likelihood objective of an unknown linear time-invariant dynamical system from a sequence of noisy observations generated by the system.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Moritz Hardt , Tengyu Ma , Benjamin Recht

Despite advancements in vehicle security systems, over the last decade, auto-theft rates have increased, and cyber-security attacks on internet-connected and autonomous vehicles are becoming a new threat. In this paper, a deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Abenezer Girma , Xuyang Yan , Abdollah Homaifar

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

We analyze the statistical performance of identification of stochastic dynamical systems with non-linear measurement sensors. This includes stochastic Wiener systems, with linear dynamics, process noise and measured by a non-linear sensor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Bo Wahlberg , Lennart Ljung

Massive volumes of high-dimensional data that evolves over time is continuously collected by contemporary information processing systems, which brings up the problem of organizing this data into clusters, i.e. achieve the purpose of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Di Xu , Tianhang Long , Junbin Gao

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

We analyze the performance of Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD)-based approximations of the stochastic Koopman operator for random dynamical systems where either the dynamics or observables are affected by noise. For many DMD algorithms, the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Mathias Wanner , Igor Mezić

We consider the problem of making nonparametric inference in a class of multi-dimensional diffusions in divergence form, from low-frequency data. Statistical analysis in this setting is notoriously challenging due to the intractability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Matteo Giordano , Sven Wang

In this paper, a data-driven nonparametric approach is presented for forecasting the probability density evolution of stochastic dynamical systems. The method is based on stochastic Koopman operator and extended dynamic mode decomposition…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Meng Zhao , Lijian Jiang