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This paper proposes a framework for developing forecasting models by streamlining the connections between core components of the developmental process. The proposed framework enables swift and robust integration of new datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Jonathan Hans Soeseno , Sergio González , Trista Pei-Chun Chen

We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

Many economic theory models incorporate finiteness assumptions that, while introduced for simplicity, play a real role in the analysis. We provide a principled framework for scaling results from such models by removing these finiteness…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Scott Duke Kominers , Ran I. Shorrer

Lending decisions are usually made with proprietary models that provide minimally acceptable explanations to users. In a future world without such secrecy, what decision support tools would one want to use for justified lending decisions?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Chaofan Chen , Kangcheng Lin , Cynthia Rudin , Yaron Shaposhnik , Sijia Wang , Tong Wang

In this paper, we investigate risk minimization problem of derivatives based on non-tradable underlyings by means of dynamic g-expectations which are slight different from conditional g-expectations. In this framework, inspired by [1] and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-13 Tianxiao Wang

Within the Own Risk and Solvency Assessment framework, the Solvency II directive introduces the need for insurance undertakings to have efficient tools enabling the companies to assess the continuous compliance with regulatory solvency…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-24 Julien Vedani , Fabien Ramaharobandro

The Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) calculation is computationally intensive, relying on the market-consistent estimation of own funds. While Solvency II prioritizes the direct valuation method, it theoretically yields the same value as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-27 Mark-Oliver Wolf

Paper is based on "The cost of illiquidity and its effects on hedging", L. C. G. Rogers and Surbjeet Singh, 2010. We generalize its thesis to constant elasticity model, which own previously used Black-Schoels model as a special case. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Krzysztof Turek

We introduce a simple model of the time evolution of a binary mixture of compressible fluids including the thermal effects. Despite its apparent simplicity, the model is thermodynamically consistent admitting an entropy balance equation. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Eduard Feireisl , Madalina Petcu , Bangwei She

Researchers have widely used accelerated life tests to determine an optimal inspection plan for lot acceptance. All such plans are proposed by assuming a known relationship between the lifetime characteristic(s) and the accelerating stress…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-06 Sandip Barui , Shovan Chowdhury

This paper characterizes the equilibrium in a continuous time financial market populated by heterogeneous agents who differ in their rate of relative risk aversion and face convex portfolio constraints. The model is studied in an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Tyler Abbot

Despite the high importance of grouping in practice, there exists little research on the respective topic. The present work presents a complete framework for grouping and a novel method to optimize model points. Model points are used to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-23 Mark Kiermayer , Christian Weiß

This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for Financial Information Theory by applying information-theoretic concepts such as entropy, Kullback-Leibler divergence, mutual information, normalized mutual information, and transfer…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Miquel Noguer i Alonso

The hypothesis that committed revolving credit lines with fixed spreads can provide firms with interest rate insurance is a standard feature of models on these credit facilities' interest rate structure. Nevertheless, this hypothesis has…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-24 Miguel A. Duran

The aim of this article is to analyze data from multiple repairable systems under the presence of dependent competing risks. In order to model this dependence structure, we adopted the well-known shared frailty model. This model provides a…

The objective of this paper is to provide a comprehensive study no-arbitrage pricing of financial derivatives in the presence of funding costs, the counterparty credit risk and market frictions affecting the trading mechanism, such as…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-11 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marek Rutkowski

This paper introduces a relative model risk measure of a product priced with a given model, with respect to another reference model for which the market is assumed to be driven. This measure allows comparing products valued with different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Alberto Elices , Eduard Giménez

In this paper, we propose two important extensions to cluster-weighted models (CWMs). First, we extend CWMs to have generalized cluster-weighted models (GCWMs) by allowing modeling of non-Gaussian distribution of the continuous covariates,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-01 Nikola Pocuca , Petar Jevtic , Paul D. McNicholas , Tatjana Miljkovic

As insurers increasingly behave like financial intermediaries and actively participate in capital markets, understanding the dependence structure between insurance and financial risks becomes crucial for insurers' operations. This paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-20 Shunzhi Pang

We propose the use of statistical emulators for the purpose of valuing mortality-linked contracts in stochastic mortality models. Such models typically require (nested) evaluation of expected values of nonlinear functionals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-15 James Risk , Michael Ludkovski
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