Related papers: A likelihood ratio approach to sequential change p…
Change-point analysis is thriving in this big data era to address problems arising in many fields where massive data sequences are collected to study complicated phenomena over time. It plays an important role in processing these data by…
In this paper we consider the parameter estimation problem associated to partially-observed time changed SDEs, with observations that are given at discrete times. In particular we consider both likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We develop…
A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study…
The number of times that we can access a system to extract information via quantum metrology is always finite, and possibly small, and realistic amounts of prior knowledge tend to be moderate. Thus theoretical consistency demands a…
In this paper sequential monitoring schemes to detect nonparametric drifts are studied for the random walk case. The procedure is based on a kernel smoother. As a by-product we obtain the asymptotics of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator and its…
Estimation of stochastic processes evolving in a random environment is of crucial importance for example to predict aircraft trajectories evolving in an unknown atmosphere. For fixed parameter, interacting particle systems are a convenient…
For a partial structural change in a linear regression model with a single break, we develop a continuous record asymptotic framework to build inference methods for the break date. We have T observations with a sampling frequency h over a…
Likelihood-based methods of statistical inference provide a useful general methodology that is appealing, as a straightforward asymptotic theory can be applied for their implementation. It is important to assess the relationships between…
We propose novel methods for change-point testing for nonparametric estimators of expected shortfall and related risk measures in weakly dependent time series. We can detect general multiple structural changes in the tails of marginal…
This work addresses the problem of segmentation in time series data with respect to a statistical parameter of interest in Bayesian models. It is common to assume that the parameters are distinct within each segment. As such, many Bayesian…
We develop an asymptotic theory for $L^2$ norms of sample mean vectors of high-dimensional data. An invariance principle for the $L^2$ norms is derived under conditions that involve a delicate interplay between the dimension $p$, the sample…
This paper addresses distributed parameter estimation in randomized one-hidden-layer neural networks. A group of agents sequentially receive measurements of an unknown parameter that is only partially observable to them. In this paper, we…
Likelihood-free methods are useful for parameter estimation of complex models with intractable likelihood functions for which it is easy to simulate data. Such models are prevalent in many disciplines including genetics, biology, ecology…
For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…
We study sequential multiple testing with independent data streams, where the goal is to identify an unknown subset of signals while controlling commonly used error metrics, including generalized familywise rates and false discovery and…
We consider the problem of detecting distributional changes in a sequence of high dimensional data. Our approach combines two separate statistics stemming from $L_p$ norms whose behavior is similar under $H_0$ but potentially different…
We propose a novel estimation procedure for certain spectral distributions associated with a class of high dimensional linear time series. The processes under consideration are of the form $X_t = \sum_{\ell=0}^\infty \mathbf{A}_\ell…
We present a new non-parametric statistic, called the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence, based on empirical distributions for sequential change detection. We start by constructing the weighed $\ell_2$ divergence as a fundamental building block…
A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…
We consider sequential change-point detection in parallel data streams, where each stream has its own change point. Once a change is detected in a data stream, this stream is deactivated permanently. The goal is to maximize the normal…