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We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

Nonlinear dynamical systems may be exposed to tipping points, critical thresholds at which small changes in the external inputs or in the systems parameters abruptly shift the system to an alternative state with a contrasting dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-10-07 Everton S. Medeiros , Iberê L. Caldas , Murilo S. Baptista , Ulrike Feudel

In the present work, we consider spectrally positive L\'evy processes $(X_t,t\geq0)$ not drifting to $+\infty$ and we are interested in conditioning these processes to reach arbitrarily large heights (in the sense of the height process…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Mathieu Richard

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

Stability and safety are crucial in safety-critical control of dynamical systems. The reach-avoid-stay objectives for deterministic dynamical systems can be effectively handled by formal methods as well as Lyapunov methods with soundness…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Yiming Meng , Jun Liu

The paper is concerned with asymptotic stability properties of linear switched systems. Under the hypothesis that all the subsystems share a non strict quadratic Lyapunov function, we provide a large class of switching signals for which a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-10-09 Moussa Balde , Philippe Jouan

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched nonlinear systems. These systems may be regarded as piecewise deterministic stochastic systems: the discrete switches are triggered by a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

We study a new technique for the asymptotic analysis of heavy-tailed systems conditioned on large deviations events. We illustrate our approach in the context of ruin events of multidimensional regularly varying random walks. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

Rate processes are simple and analytically tractable models for many dynamical systems which switch stochastically between a discrete set of quasi stationary states but they may also approximate continuous processes by coarse grained,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-11 R. Toenjes , H. Kori

We address stability of a class of Markovian discrete-time stochastic hybrid systems. This class of systems is characterized by the state-space of the system being partitioned into a safe or target set and its exterior, and the dynamics of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Debasish Chatterjee , Soumik Pal

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of sample functions of stable processes when $t{\to}\infty$. We compare our results with the iterated logarithm law, results for the first hitting time and most visited sites problems.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lev Sakhnovich

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

We study one-sided and $\alpha$-correct sequential hypothesis testing for data generated by an ergodic Markov chain. The null hypothesis is that the unknown transition matrix belongs to a prescribed set $P$ of stochastic matrices, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Alhad Sethi , Kavali Sofia Sagar , Shubhada Agrawal , Debabrota Basu , P. N. Karthik

This paper addresses the stability conditions of the sampled-data teleoperation systems consisting continuous time master, slave, operator, and environment with discrete time controllers over general communication networks. The output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-18 Amir A Ghavifekr , Amir R Ghiasi , Mohammad A Badamchizadeh , Farzad Hashemzadeh , Paolo Fiorini

This paper is a preliminary work to address the problem of dynamical systems with parameters varying in time. An idea to predict their behaviour is proposed. These systems are called \emph{transient systems}, and are distinguished from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-04 Ugo Galvanetto , Luca Magri

When analyzing probabilistic computations, a powerful approach is to first find a martingale---an expression on the program variables whose expectation remains invariant---and then apply the optional stopping theorem in order to infer…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Gilles Barthe , Thomas Espitau , Luis María Ferrer Fioriti , Justin Hsu

The paper presents new asymptotic recurrent algorithms of phase space reduction for regularly and singularly perturbed semi-Markov processes. These algorithms give effective conditions of weak convergence for distributions and convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Dmitrii Silvestrov

This article deals with stability of continuous-time switched linear systems under constrained switching. Given a family of linear systems, possibly containing unstable dynamics, we characterize a new class of switching signals under which…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Atreyee Kundu , Debasish Chatterjee

Empirically defining some constant probabilistic orbits of f(x) and g(x) iterated high-order functions, the stability of these functions in possible entangled interaction dynamics of the environment through its orbit's connectivity (open…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-19 Charles Roberto Telles

Studying the subexponential convergence towards equilibrium of a strong Markov process, we exhibit an intermediate Lyapunov condition equivalent to the control of some moment of a hitting time. This provides a link, similar (although more…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Armand Bernou