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While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

In this paper, we visualize and quantify the predictive uncertainty of gradient-based post hoc visual explanations for neural networks. Predictive uncertainty refers to the variability in the network predictions under perturbations to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Mohit Prabhushankar , Ghassan AlRegib

Accurate uncertainty estimation is vital to trustworthy machine learning, yet uncertainties typically have to be learned for each task anew. This work introduces the first pretrained uncertainty modules for vision models. Similar to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Michael Kirchhof , Mark Collier , Seong Joon Oh , Enkelejda Kasneci

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to an ad-hoc operating point,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

Most machine learning techniques are based upon statistical learning theory, often simplified for the sake of computing speed. This paper is focused on the uncertainty aspect of mathematical modeling in machine learning. Regression analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Valentin Arkov

Dense optical flow estimation plays a key role in many robotic vision tasks. In the past few years, with the advent of deep learning, we have witnessed great progress in optical flow estimation. However, current networks often consist of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Lingtong Kong , Chunhua Shen , Jie Yang

Predictive variability due to data ambiguities has typically been addressed via construction of dedicated models with built-in probabilistic capabilities that are trained to predict uncertainty estimates as variables of interest. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Katarína Tóthová , Ľubor Ladický , Daniel Thul , Marc Pollefeys , Ender Konukoglu

Inaccurate optical flow estimates in and near occluded regions, and out-of-boundary regions are two of the current significant limitations of optical flow estimation algorithms. Recent state-of-the-art optical flow estimation algorithms are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Fisseha Admasu Ferede , Madhusudhanan Balasubramanian

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi

Accurately detecting multiple change-points is critical for various applications, but determining the optimal number of change-points remains a challenge. Existing approaches based on information criteria attempt to balance goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Hui Chen , Yinxu Jia , Guanghui Wang , Changliang Zou

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

The optimal power flow is an optimization problem used in power systems operational planning to maximize economic efficiency while satisfying demand and maintaining safety margins. Due to uncertainty and variability in renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Deepjyoti Deka , Sidhant Misra

Despite recent advances, estimating optical flow remains a challenging problem in the presence of illumination change, large occlusions or fast movement. In this paper, we propose a novel optical flow estimation framework which can provide…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Inchul Choi , Arunava Banerjee

3D scene flow estimation from point clouds is a low-level 3D motion perception task in computer vision. Flow embedding is a commonly used technique in scene flow estimation, and it encodes the point motion between two consecutive frames.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Guangming Wang , Yunzhe Hu , Zhe Liu , Yiyang Zhou , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan , Hesheng Wang

To apply optical flow in practice, it is often necessary to resize the input to smaller dimensions in order to reduce computational costs. However, downsizing inputs makes the estimation more challenging because objects and motion ranges…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Hyunyoung Jung , Zhuo Hui , Lei Luo , Haitao Yang , Feng Liu , Sungjoo Yoo , Rakesh Ranjan , Denis Demandolx

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

In this paper, we proposed an unsupervised learning method for estimating the optical flow between video frames, especially to solve the occlusion problem. Occlusion is caused by the movement of an object or the movement of the camera,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-05 Jianfeng Li , Junqiao Zhao , Tiantian Feng , Chen Ye , Lu Xiong

Current state-of-the-art trackers often fail due to distractorsand large object appearance changes. In this work, we explore the use ofdense optical flow to improve tracking robustness. Our main insight is that, because flow estimation can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Jianing Qian , Junyu Nan , Siddharth Ancha , Brian Okorn , David Held

Modern optical flow methods are often composed of a cascade of many independent steps or formulated as a black box neural network that is hard to interpret and analyze. In this work we seek for a plain, interpretable, but learnable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Christoph Vogel , Patrick Knöbelreiter , Thomas Pock