English
Related papers

Related papers: Structured Uncertainty Prediction Networks

200 papers

Modern weather forecast models perform uncertainty quantification using ensemble prediction systems, which collect nonparametric statistics based on multiple perturbed simulations. To provide accurate estimation, dozens of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Peter Grönquist , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Luca Lavarini , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

In this note, we define a Gaussian probability distribution over matrices. We prove some useful properties of this distribution, namely, the fact that marginalization, conditioning, and affine transformations preserve the matrix Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Shane Barratt

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

Dense image alignment from RGB-D images remains a critical issue for real-world applications, especially under challenging lighting conditions and in a wide baseline setting. In this paper, we propose a new framework to learn a pixel-wise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Binbin Xu , Andrew J. Davison , Stefan Leutenegger

Establishing dense correspondences between a pair of images is an important and general problem. However, dense flow estimation is often inaccurate in the case of large displacements or homogeneous regions. For most applications and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Prune Truong , Martin Danelljan , Luc Van Gool , Radu Timofte

We consider the goal of predicting how complex networks respond to chronic (press) perturbations when characterizations of their network topology and interaction strengths are associated with uncertainty. Our primary result is the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-26 David Koslicki , Mark Novak

How can we efficiently propagate uncertainty in a latent state representation with recurrent neural networks? This paper introduces stochastic recurrent neural networks which glue a deterministic recurrent neural network and a state space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-15 Marco Fraccaro , Søren Kaae Sønderby , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

We introduce a novel framework for AI-generated image detection through epistemic uncertainty, aiming to address critical security concerns in the era of generative models. Our key insight stems from the observation that distributional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Jun Nie , Yonggang Zhang , Tongliang Liu , Yiu-ming Cheung , Bo Han , Xinmei Tian

This paper presents a probabilistic framework to obtain both reliable and fast uncertainty estimates for predictions with Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). Our main contribution is a practical and principled combination of DNNs with sparse…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Jongseok Lee , Jianxiang Feng , Matthias Humt , Marcus G. Müller , Rudolph Triebel

Deep learning can be used to extract meaningful results from images. In this paper, we used convolutional neural networks combined with recurrent neural networks on images of plasmonic structures and extract absorption data form them. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-02 Iman Sajedian , Jeonghyun Kim , Junsuk Rho

A reliable modeling of uncertain evidence in Bayesian networks based on a set-valued quantification is proposed. Both soft and virtual evidences are considered. We show that evidence propagation in this setup can be reduced to standard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-16 Sabina Marchetti , Alessandro Antonucci

It has been proposed that complex populations, such as those that arise in genomics studies, may exhibit dependencies among observations as well as among variables. This gives rise to the challenging problem of analyzing unreplicated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-08 Michael Hornstein , Roger Fan , Kerby Shedden , Shuheng Zhou

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

This work proposes a semantic segmentation network that produces high-quality uncertainty estimates in a single forward pass. We exploit general representations from foundation models and unlabelled datasets through a Masked Image Modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-28 David S. W. Williams , Matthew Gadd , Paul Newman , Daniele De Martini

This paper presents a novel mathematical framework for representing uncertainty in large deformation diffeomorphic image registration. The Bayesian posterior distribution over the deformations aligning a moving and a fixed image is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Demian Wassermann , Matt Toews , Marc Niethammer , William Wells

Despite the huge success of deep neural networks (NNs), finding good mechanisms for quantifying their prediction uncertainty is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are one of the most popular approaches to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-01 Agustinus Kristiadi , Sina Däubener , Asja Fischer

As Deep Learning continues to yield successful applications in Computer Vision, the ability to quantify all forms of uncertainty is a paramount requirement for its safe and reliable deployment in the real-world. In this work, we leverage…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Eduardo D C Carvalho , Ronald Clark , Andrea Nicastro , Paul H J Kelly

Network reconstruction is the task of inferring the unseen interactions between elements of a system, based only on their behavior or dynamics. This inverse problem is in general ill-posed, and admits many solutions for the same…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Tiago P. Peixoto

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are widely used for statistical modeling, because of ease of inference and the ubiquitous use of the normal distribution in practical approximations. However, they are also known for their limited modeling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 Qinliang Su , Xuejun Liao , Chunyuan Li , Zhe Gan , Lawrence Carin

We introduce a principled approach for unsupervised structure learning of deep neural networks. We propose a new interpretation for depth and inter-layer connectivity where conditional independencies in the input distribution are encoded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-18 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Guy Koren , Gal Novik