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Accurate atmospheric wind field information is crucial for various applications, including weather forecasting, aviation safety, and disaster risk reduction. However, obtaining high spatiotemporal resolution wind data remains challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yuchen Ye , Chaoxia Yuan , Mingyu Li , Aoqi Zhou , Hong Liang , Chunqing Shang , Kezuan Wang , Yifeng Zheng , Cong Chen

To model the structure and dynamics of the heliosphere well enough for high-quality forecasting, it is essential to accurately estimate the global solar magnetic field used as inner boundary condition in solar wind models. However, our…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-09 Stephan G. Heinemann , Dan Yang , Shaela I. Jones , Jens Pomoell , Eleanna Asvestari , Carl J. Henney , Charles N. Arge , Laurent Gizon

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events are one of the most crucial aspects of space weather that require continuous monitoring and forecasting. Their prediction depends on various factors including source eruptions. In the present work, we…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-27 Sumanth A. Rotti , Berkay Aydin , Petrus C. Martens

Studying solar wind conditions is central to forecasting impact of space weather on Earth. Under the assumption that the structure of this wind is constant in time and corotates with the Sun, solar wind and thereby space weather forecasts…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-30 Nachiketa Chakraborty , Harriet Turner , Mathew Owens , Matthew Lang

Operational ocean forecasting systems conventionally employ dynamical ocean models driven by atmospheric forcing derived from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence and machine learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-10 Xiaobing Zhou , Frank Colberg , Debra Hudson , Yonghong Yin , Griffith Young , Christopher Bladwell , Catherine Deburgh-Day

The first severe (G4) geomagnetic storm of Solar Cycle 25 occurred on 23-24 April 2023, following the arrival of a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) on 23 April. The characteristics of this CME, measured from coronagraphs (speed and mass), did…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-21 Evangelos Paouris , Angelos Vourlidas , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Phillip Hess , Guillermo Stenborg

This study investigates the orbital decay and subsequent reentries of 12 Starlink satellites from 16 April to 15 May 2024. By examining Two-Line Element data, we observed a significant increase in orbital decay following the geomagnetic…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-06-16 Ayisha M Ashruf , Ankush Bhaskar , C Vineeth , Tarun Kumar Pant , Ashna V M

Adverse space weather effects can often be traced to solar flares, prediction of which has drawn significant research interests. The Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) produces full-disk vector magnetograms with continuous high cadence,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-26 Chang Liu , Na Deng , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

The dynamic activity of the Sun, governed by its cycle of sunspots -- strongly magnetized regions that are observed on its surface -- modulate our solar system space environment creating space weather. Severe space weather leads to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-26 Aleix Espuña-Fontcuberta , Saikat Chatterjee , Dhrubaditya Mitra , Dibyendu Nandy

High-speed solar wind streams emanating from coronal holes are frequently impinging on the Earth's magnetosphere causing recurrent, medium-level geomagnetic storm activity. Modeling high-speed solar wind streams is thus an essential element…

An accurate solar wind speed model is important for space weather predictions, catastrophic event warnings, and other issues concerning solar wind - magnetosphere interaction. In this work, we construct a model based on convolutional neural…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-05 Rong Lin , Zhekai Luo , Jiansen He , Lun Xie , Chuanpeng Hou , Shuwei Chen

We compare the predictions of the GUMICS$-$4 global magnetohydrodynamic model for the interaction of the solar wind with the Earth's magnetosphere with Cluster~SC3 measurements for over one year, from January 29, 2002, to February 2, 2003.…

Reliable wind speed data is crucial for applications such as estimating local (future) wind power. Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs) provide forecasts over multi-decadal periods. However, their outputs vary…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Sofia Morelli , Nina Effenberger , Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

A correlative study between the geomagnetic indices and the peak values of various plasma and field parameters during rising, maximum and decay phases as well as during complete solar cycle 23 have been presented. We have also presented the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-03-16 Navin Chandra Joshi , Neeraj Singh Bankoti , Seema Pande , Bimal Pande , Kavita Pandey

Accurate and timely rain prediction is crucial for decision making and is also a challenging task. This paper presents a solution which won the 2 nd prize in the Weather4cast 2022 NeurIPS competition using 3D U-Nets and EarthFormers for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Yang Li , Haiyu Dong , Zuliang Fang , Jonathan Weyn , Pete Luferenko

What one commonly considers for reproducing the recovery phase of magnetosphere, as seen by the Dst index, is exponential function. However, the magnetosphere recovers faster in the first hours than in the late recovery phase. The early…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-05-21 J. Aguado , C. Cid , E. Saiz , Y. Cerrato

Prediction of the effects of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) on Earth strongly depends on knowledge of the interplanetary magnetic field southward component, Bz. Predicting the strength and duration of Bz inside a CME with sufficient accuracy…

Space Physics · Physics 2016-12-28 M. Kubicka , C. Möstl , T. Amerstorfer , P. D. Boakes , L. Feng , J. P. Eastwood , O. Tormanen

Based on our tool for the early diagnostics of solar eruption geoeffectiveness (EDSEG tool; Chertok et al., 2013, 2015, 2017), we have analyzed space weather disturbances that occurred in early September 2017. Two flares,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-05 I. M. Chertok , A. V. Belov , A. A. Abunin

Forbush decrease (FD), discovered by Scott E. Forbush about 80 years ago, is reffered to as the non-repetitive short-term depression in galactic cosmic ray (GCR) flux, presumed to be associated with large-scale perturbations in solar wind…

Space Physics · Physics 2021-11-17 Jibrin A. Alhassan. , Ogbonnaya Okike , Augustine E. Chukwude

This paper brings space weather prediction close to earthquake (EQ) prediction research. The results of this paper support conclusions of previously presented statistical studies that solar activity influences the seismic activity, this…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-12-17 G. Anagnostopoulos , A. Papandreou , P. Antoniou