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A multi-output Gaussian process (GP) is introduced as a model for the joint posterior distribution of the local predictive ability of set of models and/or experts, conditional on a vector of covariates, from historical predictions in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Oscar Oelrich , Mattias Villani

Gaussian processes (GPs) are frequently used in machine learning and statistics to construct powerful models. However, when employing GPs in practice, important considerations must be made, regarding the high computational burden,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-08 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Sara Wade

Gaussian process (GP) models that combine both categorical and continuous input variables have found use in analysis of longitudinal data and computer experiments. However, standard inference for these models has the typical cubic scaling,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-10 Juho Timonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

The use of Gaussian process models is typically limited to datasets with a few tens of thousands of observations due to their complexity and memory footprint. The two most commonly used methods to overcome this limitation are 1) the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Vincent Adam , Stefanos Eleftheriadis , Nicolas Durrande , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

Variational approximations to Gaussian processes (GPs) typically use a small set of inducing points to form a low-rank approximation to the covariance matrix. In this work, we instead exploit a sparse approximation of the precision matrix.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Luhuan Wu , Geoff Pleiss , John Cunningham

Exact Gaussian Process (GP) regression has O(N^3) runtime for data size N, making it intractable for large N. Many algorithms for improving GP scaling approximate the covariance with lower rank matrices. Other work has exploited structure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-24 Elad Gilboa , Yunus Saatçi , John P. Cunningham

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Through sequential construction of posteriors on observing data online, Bayes' theorem provides a natural framework for continual learning. We develop Variational Auto-Regressive Gaussian Processes (VAR-GPs), a principled posterior updating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-15 Sanyam Kapoor , Theofanis Karaletsos , Thang D. Bui

This paper introduces a method to approximate Gaussian process regression by representing the problem as a stochastic differential equation and using variational inference to approximate solutions. The approximations are compared with full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Wil O C Ward , Mauricio A Álvarez

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric models for function approximation with principled predictive uncertainty estimates. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multilayer generalizations of GPs that can represent complex marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-20 Qiuxian Meng , Yongyou Zhang

Searching for accurate Machine and Deep Learning models is a computationally expensive and awfully energivorous process. A strategy which has been gaining recently importance to drastically reduce computational time and energy consumed is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Antonio Candelieri , Riccardo Perego , Francesco Archetti

Gaussian process (GP) models form a core part of probabilistic machine learning. Considerable research effort has been made into attacking three issues with GP models: how to compute efficiently when the number of data is large; how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 James Hensman , Alexander G. de G. Matthews , Maurizio Filippone , Zoubin Ghahramani

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a class of flexible non-parametric models that have rich representational power. By using a Gaussian process with additive structure, complex responses can be modelled whilst retaining interpretability.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Xiaoyu Lu , Alexis Boukouvalas , James Hensman

As we aim to control complex systems, use of a simulator in model-based reinforcement learning is becoming more common. However, it has been challenging to overcome the Reality Gap, which comes from nonlinear model bias and susceptibility…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Gilwoo Lee , Siddhartha S. Srinivasa , Matthew T. Mason

The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to large data sets is limited due to heavy memory and computational requirements. A variety of methods has been proposed to enable scalability, one of which is to exploit structure in the kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Jan Graßhoff , Alexandra Jankowski , Philipp Rostalski

Gaussian Process (GP) models are often used as mathematical approximations of computationally expensive experiments. Provided that its kernel is suitably chosen and that enough data is available to obtain a reasonable fit of the simulator,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-03-22 Nicolas Durrande , David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant

Big data applications, such as medical imaging and genetics, typically generate datasets that consist of few observations n on many more variables p, a scenario that we denote as p>>n. Traditional data processing methods are often…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-18 Magnus O. Ulfarsson , Frosti Palsson , Jakob Sigurdsson , Johannes R. Sveinsson

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Inference in Gaussian process (GP) models is computationally challenging for large data, and often difficult to approximate with a small number of inducing points. We explore an alternative approximation that employs stochastic inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Jiaxin Shi , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Jun Zhu

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric Bayesian regression models that allow exact posterior inference, but exhibit high computational and memory costs. In order to improve scalability of GPs, approximate posterior inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Franz Pernkopf , Carl E. Rasmussen
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