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We present and analyze a model aiming at recovering as dynamical outcomes of tree-grass interactions the wide range of vegetation physiognomies observable in the savanna biome along rainfall gradients at regional/continental scales. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-13 Ivric Valaire Yatat Djeumen , Yves Dumont , Anna Doizy , P. Couteron

Savanna ecosystems are shaped by the frequency and intensity of regular fires. We model savannas via an ordinary differential equation (ODE) encoding a one-sided inhibitory Lotka-Volterra interaction between trees and grass. By applying…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-13 Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel , Sarah Iams

Fires and rainfall are major mechanisms that regulate woody and grassy biomasses in savanna ecosystems. Conditions of long-lasting coexistence of trees and grasses have been mainly studied using continuous-time modelling of tree-grass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-28 V. Yatat , P. Couteron , J. J. Tewa , S. Bowong , Y. Dumont

Savannas are dynamical systems where grasses and trees can either dominate or coexist. Fires are known to be central in the functioning of the savanna biome though their characteristics are expected to vary along the rainfall gradients as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-28 A. Tchuinté Tamen , Y. Dumont , S. Bowong , J. J. Tewa , P. Couteron

Tree-grass coexistence in savanna ecosystems depends strongly on environmental disturbances out of which crucial is fire. Most modeling attempts in the literature lack stochastic approach to fire occurrences which is essential to reflect…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Paweł Klimasara , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

Savannas are characterized by a discontinuous tree layer superimposed on a continuous layer of grass. Identifying the mechanisms that facilitate this tree-grass coexistence has remained a persistent challenge in ecology and is known as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-30 Flora S. Bacelar , Justin M. Calabrese , Emílio Hernández-García

Forest-savanna bistability - the hypothesis that forests and savannas exist as alternative stable states in the tropics - and its implications are key challenges for mathematical modelers and ecologists in the context of ongoing climate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-05 Kimberly Shen , Simon Levin , Denis D. Patterson

Tree-grass coexistence is a defining feature of savanna ecosystems, which play an important role in supporting biodiversity and human populations worldwide. While recent advances have clarified many of the underlying processes, how these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-21 Jelle van der Voort , Mara Baudena , Ehud Meron , Max Rietkerk , Arjen Doelman

We analyze a spatially extended version of a well-known model of forest-savanna dynamics, which presents as a system of nonlinear partial integro-differential equations, and study necessary conditions for pattern-forming bifurcations.…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-08-28 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

Understanding how vegetation loss alters rainfall remains a major challenge in climate and hydrological science, as deforestation modifies precipitation through heterogeneous, seasonal and nonlinear land-atmosphere feedbacks. Existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Lilly Horvath-Makkos , Fayyaz Minhas

We introduce a mathematical model of savanna vegetation dynamics. The usual approach of nonequilibrium ecology is extended by including the impact of wet and dry seasons. We present and rigorously analyze a model describing a mixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Paweł Klimasara , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

In many drylands around the globe, vegetation self-organizes into regular spatial patterns in response to aridity stress. We consider the regularly-spaced vegetation bands, on gentle hill-slopes, that survive low rainfall conditions by…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-05-07 Punit Gandhi , Matthew Oline , Mary Silber

The role of forest heterogeneity in the long-term, large-scale dynamics of forest fires is investigated by means of a cellular automata model and mean field approximation. Heterogeneity was conceived as trees (or acres of forest) with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-04 G. Camelo-Neto , S. Coutinho

Previous work indicates that tropical forest can exist as an alternative stable state to savanna. Therefore, perturbation by climate change or human impact may lead to crossing of a tipping point beyond which there is rapid forest dieback…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-07 Bert Wuyts , Jan Sieber

We develop a model for investigating the impact of rainstorm variability on the formation of banded vegetation patterns in dryland ecosystems. Water input, during rare rainstorms, is modeled as an instantaneous kick to the soil water. The…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-06-16 Punit Gandhi , Lily Liu , Mary Silber

We study the mechanisms of pattern formation for vegetation dynamics in water-limited regions. Our analysis is based on a set of two partial differential equations (PDEs) of reaction-diffusion type for the biomass and water and one ordinary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-24 Konstantinos Spiliotis , Lucia Russo , Francesco Giannino , Constantinos Siettos

Changes in the frequency, duration, and severity of climate extremes are forecast to occur under global climate change. The impacts of climate extremes on forest productivity and health are complicated by potential interactions with…

A geometric model for the computation of the firefront of a forest wildfire which takes into account several effects (possibly time-dependent wind, anisotropies and slope of the ground) is introduced. It relies on a general theoretical…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Miguel Ángel Javaloyes , Enrique Pendás-Recondo , Miguel Sánchez

The forest fire model is a reaction-diffusion model where energy, in the form of trees, is injected uniformly, and burned (dissipated) locally. We show that the spatial distribution of fires forms a novel geometric structure where the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kan Chen , Per Bak

Wildfires, as an integral component of the Earth system, are governed by a complex interplay of atmospheric, oceanic, and terrestrial processes spanning a vast range of spatiotemporal scales. Modeling their global activity on large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Fan Xu , Wei Gong , Hao Wu , Lilan Peng , Nan Wang , Qingsong Wen , Xian Wu , Kun Wang , Xibin Zhao
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