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Comparing time series is essential in various tasks such as clustering and classification. While elastic distance measures that allow warping provide a robust quantitative comparison, a qualitative comparison on top of them is missing.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Simiao Lin , Wannes Meert , Pieter Robberechts , Hendrik Blockeel

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Time-series classification is an important domain of machine learning and a plethora of methods have been developed for the task. In comparison to existing approaches, this study presents a novel method which decomposes a time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-12 Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Tasking machine learning to predict segments of a time series requires estimating the parameters of a ML model with input/output pairs from the time series. Using the equivalence between statistical data assimilation and supervised machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Alexander J. A. Ty , Zheng Fang , Rivver A. Gonzalez , Paul J. Rozdeba , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

In forecasting multiple time series, accounting for the individual features of each sequence can be challenging. To address this, modern deep learning methods for time series analysis combine a shared (global) model with local layers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Luca Butera , Giovanni De Felice , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

Multivariate time series are ubiquitous objects in signal processing. Measuring a distance or similarity between two such objects is of prime interest in a variety of applications, including machine learning, but can be very difficult as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-02 Titouan Vayer , Romain Tavenard , Laetitia Chapel , Nicolas Courty , Rémi Flamary , Yann Soullard

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Correlation matrices contain a wide variety of spatio-temporal information about a dynamical system. Predicting correlation matrices from partial time series information of a few nodes characterizes the spatio-temporal dynamics of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Nikhil Easaw , Woo Seok Lee , Prashant Singh Lohiya , Sarika Jalan , Priodyuti Pradhan

Sequence-to-Sequence models were introduced to tackle many real-life problems like machine translation, summarization, image captioning, etc. The standard optimization algorithms are mainly based on example-to-example matching like maximum…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Wenhu Chen , Guanlin Li , Shujie Liu , Zhirui Zhang , Mu Li , Ming Zhou

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

The availability of large amounts of time series data, paired with the performance of deep-learning algorithms on a broad class of problems, has recently led to significant interest in the use of sequence-to-sequence models for time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Zelda Mariet

In this paper, we aim to improve multivariate anomaly detection (AD) by modeling the \textit{time-varying non-linear spatio-temporal correlations} found in multivariate time series data . In multivariate time series data, an anomaly may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Padmaksha Roy , Almuatazbellah Boker , Lamine Mili

Subsequence-based time series classification algorithms provide accurate and interpretable models, but training these models is extremely computation intensive. The asymptotic time complexity of subsequence-based algorithms remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Atif Raza , Stefan Kramer

Time series data can be subject to changes in the underlying process that generates them and, because of these changes, models built on old samples can become obsolete or perform poorly. In this work, we present a way to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Jesus Antonanzas , Marta Arias , Albert Bifet

Time series classification is a field which has drawn much attention over the past decade. A new approach for classification of time series uses classification trees based on shapelets. A shapelet is a subsequence extracted from one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-25 Daniel Gordon , Danny Hendler , Lior Rokach

Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Doina Precup , Philip Bachman

The information contained in a time series is more than what the values themselves are. In this paper, the Time-variant Local Autocorrelated Polynomial model with Kalman filter is proposed to model the underlying dynamics of a time series…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Shixiong Wang , Chongshou Li , Andrew Lim

Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing data likelihood. However, likelihood in observation space measures marginal density rather than conformity to structured temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Iñigo Urteaga

Recent state-of-the-art forecasting methods are trained on collections of time series. These methods, often referred to as global models, can capture common patterns in different time series to improve their generalization performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Ricardo Inácio , Carlos Soares
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