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The study of opinions $-$ e.g., their formation and change, and their effects on our society $-$ by means of theoretical and numerical models has been one of the main goals of sociophysics until now, but it is one of the defining topics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-03 Francesca Giardini , Daniele Vilone , Rosaria Conte

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

To learn how cognition is implemented in the brain, we must build computational models that can perform cognitive tasks, and test such models with brain and behavioral experiments. Cognitive science has developed computational models of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-01 Nikolaus Kriegeskorte , Pamela K. Douglas

Analyzing interaction data provides an opportunity to learn about users, uncover their underlying goals, and create intelligent visualization systems. The first step for intelligent response in visualizations is to enable computers to infer…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Shayan Monadjemi , Roman Garnett , Alvitta Ottley

The first quantitative neural network model of feelings and emotions is proposed on the base of available data on their neuroscience and evolutionary biology nature, and on a neural network human memory model which admits distinct…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Petro M. Gopych

One of the greatest research challenges of this century is to understand the neural basis for how behavior emerges in brain-body-environment systems. To this end, research has flourished along several directions but have predominantly…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-10 Madhavun Candadai

A pervasive challenge in neuroscience is testing whether neuronal connectivity changes over time due to specific causes, such as stimuli, events, or clinical interventions. Recent hardware innovations and falling data storage costs enable…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-05 Johan Medrano , Karl J. Friston , Peter Zeidman

In this chapter, we consider probabilistic drift-diffusion models and Bayesian inference frameworks to address this issue, assisting better social human decision-making. We provide details of the models, as well as representative numerical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-13 Thoa Thieu , Roderick Melnik

A popular theory of perceptual processing holds that the brain learns both a generative model of the world and a paired recognition model using variational Bayesian inference. Most hypotheses of how the brain might learn these models assume…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-01 Ari S. Benjamin , Konrad P. Kording

Neuromorphic Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) is a theoretical approach to designing better user experiences (UX) motivated by advances in the understanding of the neurophysiology of the brain. Inspired by the neuroscientific theory of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Roel Vertegaal , Timothy Merritt , Saul Greenberg , Aneesh P. Tarun , Zhen Li , Zafeirios Fountas

This work introduces a Bayesian framework that unifies a wide class of opinion dynamics models. In this framework, an individual's opinion on a topic is the expected value of their belief, represented as a random variable with a prior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-25 Yen-Shao Chen , Tauhid Zaman

AI Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has the potential to improve human decision-making beyond AI predictions alone by providing additional probabilistic information to users. The majority of past research on AI and human decision-making has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Laura R. Marusich , Jonathan Z. Bakdash , Yan Zhou , Murat Kantarcioglu

Effective human-machine collaboration requires machine learning models to externalize uncertainty, so users can reflect and intervene when necessary. For language models, these representations of uncertainty may be impacted by sycophancy…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Anthony Sicilia , Mert Inan , Malihe Alikhani

Effective intervention strategies for epidemics rely on the identification of their origin and on the robustness of the predictions made by network disease models. We introduce a Bayesian uncertainty quantification framework to infer model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-02 Karen Larson , Clark Bowman , Zhizhong Chen , Panagiotis Hadjidoukas , Costas Papadimitriou , Petros Koumoutsakos , Anastasios Matzavinos

Bayesian interpretations of neural processing require that biological mechanisms represent and operate upon probability distributions in accordance with Bayes' theorem. Many have speculated that synaptic failure constitutes a mechanism of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-05 Kevin McKee , Ian Crandell , Rishidev Chaudhuri , Randall O'Reilly

People commonly utilize visualizations not only to examine a given dataset, but also to draw generalizable conclusions about the underlying models or phenomena. Prior research has compared human visual inference to that of an optimal…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Ratanond Koonchanok , Michael E. Papka , Khairi Reda

In many practical applications of AI, an AI model is used as a decision aid for human users. The AI provides advice that a human (sometimes) incorporates into their decision-making process. The AI advice is often presented with some measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Kailas Vodrahalli , Tobias Gerstenberg , James Zou

Deep Bayesian neural network has aroused a great attention in recent years since it combines the benefits of deep neural network and probability theory. Because of this, the network can make predictions and quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Yikuan Li , Yajie Zhu

AI and humans bring complementary skills to group deliberations. Modeling this group decision making is especially challenging when the deliberations include an element of risk and an exploration-exploitation process of appraising the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Wei Ye , Francesco Bullo , Noah Friedkin , Ambuj K Singh

The development of large language models (LLMs) is limited by a lack of explainability, the absence of a unifying theory, and prohibitive operational costs. We propose a neuro-theoretical framework for the emergence of intelligence in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Wu Yonggang