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Accurate electrical load forecasting is crucial for optimizing power system operations, planning, and management. As power systems become increasingly complex, traditional forecasting methods may fail to capture the intricate patterns and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Elias Raffoul , Mingjian Tuo , Cunzhi Zhao , Tianxia Zhao , Meng Ling , Xingpeng Li

Power system resilience is vital to modern society, as outages caused by extreme weather can severely disrupt communities. Existing statistical and simulation-based methods for resilience quantification are either retrospective or rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang

We introduce a novel application of Support Vector Machines (SVM), an important Machine Learning algorithm, to determine the beginning and end of recessions in real time. Nowcasting, "forecasting" a condition about the present time because…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-28 Alexander James , Yaser S. Abu-Mostafa , Xiao Qiao

Extreme weather events have an enormous impact on society and are expected to become more frequent and severe with climate change. In this context, resilience planning becomes crucial for risk mitigation and coping with these extreme…

Power device reliability is a major concern during operation under extreme environments, as doing so reduces the operational lifetime of any power system or sensing infrastructure. Due to a potential for system failure, devices must be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Carlos Olivares , Raziur Rahman , Christopher Stankus , Jade Hampton , Andrew Zedwick , Moinuddin Ahmed

Preventive control is a crucial strategy for power system operation against impending natural hazards, and its effectiveness fundamentally relies on the realism of scenario generation. While most existing studies employ sequential Monte…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-21 Ziyue Li , Guanglun Zhang , Grant Ruan , Haiwang Zhong , Chongqing Kang

Effective and timely responses to unexpected contingencies are crucial for enhancing the resilience of power grids. Given the fast, complex process of cascading propagation, corrective actions such as optimal load shedding (OLS) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Yuqi Zhou , Jeehyun Park , Hao Zhu

A machine learning-based detection framework is proposed to detect a class of cyber-attacks that redistribute loads by modifying measurements. The detection framework consists of a multi-output support vector regression (SVR) load predictor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Zhigang Chu , Oliver Kosut , Lalitha Sankar

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

During major power system disturbances, when multiple component outages occur in rapid succession, it becomes crucial to quickly identify the transmission interconnections that have limited power transfer capability. Understanding the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-04 Reetam Sen Biswas , Anamitra Pal , Trevor Werho , Vijay Vittal

In this paper, we propose an AC power flow based cascading failure model that explicitly considers external weather conditions, extreme temperatures in particular, and evaluates the impact of extreme temperature on the initiation and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-30 Seyyed Rashid Khazeiynasab , Junjian Qi

Cascading failure studies help assess and enhance the robustness of power systems against severe power outages. Onset time is a critical parameter in the analysis and management of power system stability and reliability, representing the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-04 Samita Rani Pani , Pallav Kumar Bera , Rajat Kanti Samal

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

The frequency of disruptive and newly emerging threats (e.g. man-made attacks--cyber and physical attacks; extreme natural events--hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods) has escalated dramatically in the last decade. Impacts of these events…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-08 Narayan Bhusal , Mukesh Gautam , Michael Abdelmalak , Mohammed Benidris

Recent studies increasingly adopt simulation-based machine learning (ML) models to analyze critical infrastructure system resilience. For realistic applications, these ML models consider the component-level characteristics that influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Srijith Balakrishnan , Beatrice Cassottana , Arun Verma

Accurate cyclone forecasting is essential for minimizing loss of life, infrastructure damage, and economic disruption. Traditional numerical weather prediction models, though effective, are computationally intensive and prone to error due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ethan Zachary Lo , Dan Chie-Tien Lo

This work proposes an innovative approach using machine learning to predict extreme events in time series of chaotic dynamical systems. The research focuses on the time series of the H\'enon map, a two-dimensional model known for its…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-11 Alexandre C. Andreani , Bruno R. R. Boaretto , Elbert E. N. Macau

Prediction plays a vital role in the active distribution network voltage regulation under the high penetration of photovoltaics. Current prediction models aim at minimizing individual prediction errors but overlook their collective impacts…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-25 Linwei Sang , Yinliang Xu , Huan Long , Wenchuan Wu

To fully learn the latent temporal dependencies from post-disturbance system dynamic trajectories, deep learning is utilized for short-term voltage stability (STVS) assessment of power systems in this paper. First of all, a semi-supervised…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-25 Meng Zhang , Jiazheng Li , Yang Li , Runnan Xu

To predict rare extreme events using deep neural networks, one encounters the so-called small data problem because even long-term observations often contain few extreme events. Here, we investigate a model-assisted framework where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Anna Asch , Ethan Brady , Hugo Gallardo , John Hood , Bryan Chu , Mohammad Farazmand