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This study develops a SARIMAX-based prediction system for short-term power outage forecasting during extreme weather events. Using hourly data from Michigan counties with outage counts and comprehensive weather features, we implement a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Haoran Ye , Qiuzhuang Sun , Yang Yang

Urban energy systems face increasing challenges due to high penetration of renewable energy sources, extreme weather events, and other high-impact, low-probability disruptions. This project proposes a community-centered, open-access…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-11 Arya Abdollahi

To improve the resilience of electric distribution systems, this paper proposes a stochastic multi-period mixed-integer linear programming model that determines where to underground distribution lines and how to coordinate mobile generators…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-25 Babak Taheri , Daniel K. Molzahn , Santiago Grijalva

Climate change has led to an increase in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, posing significant challenges for power distribution systems. In response, this work presents a planning approach in order to enhance the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Ahmad Bin Afzal , Nabil Mohammed , Shehab Ahmed , Charalambos Konstantinou

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Traditionally power distribution networks are either not observable or only partially observable. This complicates development and implementation of new smart grid technologies, such as those related to demand response, outage detection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-02 Deepjyoti Deka , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov

Cascading failure studies help assess and enhance the robustness of power systems against severe power outages. Onset time is a critical parameter in the analysis and management of power system stability and reliability, representing the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-04 Samita Rani Pani , Pallav Kumar Bera , Rajat Kanti Samal

Transient stability assessment is an integral part of dynamic security assessment of power systems. Traditional methods of transient stability assessment, such as time domain simulation approach and direct methods, are appropriate for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-23 Umair Shahzad

Climate change increases the number of extreme weather events (wind and snowstorms, heavy rains, wildfires) that compromise power system reliability and lead to multiple equipment failures. Real-time and accurate detecting of potential line…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-05 Aleksandra Burashnikova , Wenting Li , Massih Amini , Deepjoyti Deka , Yury Maximov

The energy transition is causing many stability-related challenges for power systems. Transient stability refers to the ability of a power grid's bus angles to retain synchronism after the occurrence of a major fault. In this paper a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Tim Aschenbruck , Willem Esterhuizen , Stefan Streif

This paper proposes a methodology for enhancing power systems resiliency by proactively splitting an interconnected grid into small self-sustaining islands in preparation for extreme events. The idea is to posture the system so that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 Shuchismita Biswas , Emanuel Bernabeu , David Picarelli

Developing models and metrics that can address resilience against disruptions is vital to ensure power grid reliability and that adequate recovery and adaptation mechanisms are in place. In this paper, we propose a novel disruption mapping…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Maureen S. Golan , Javad Mohammadi

Load forecasting has always been a challenge for grid operators due to the growing complexity of power systems. The increase in extreme weather and the need for energy from customers has led to load forecasting sometimes failing. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-09 Nishant Gadde , Yoshua Alexander , Sarvesh Parthasarthy , Arman Allidina

Smart grid technological advances present a recent class of complex interdisciplinary modeling and increasingly difficult simulation problems to solve using traditional computational methods. To simulate a smart grid requires a systemic…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sofiane Ben Amor , Guillaume Guerard , Loup-Noé Levy

A key objective of the smart grid is to improve reliability of utility services to end users. This requires strengthening resilience of distribution networks that lie at the edge of the grid. However, distribution networks are exposed to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Yun Wei , Chuanyi Ji , Floyd Galvan , Stephen Couvillon , George Orellana , James Momoh

The power system is among the most important critical infrastructures in urban cities and is getting increasingly essential in supporting people s daily activities. However, it is also susceptible to most natural disasters such as tsunamis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-14 Chen Xia , Yuqing Hu , Jianli Chen

Power grids exhibit patterns of reaction to outages similar to complex networks. Blackout sequences follow power laws, as complex systems operating near a critical point. Here, the tolerance of electric power grids to both accidental and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-03-23 S. Arianos , E. Bompard , A. Carbone , F. Xue

Globally, wind energy has lessened the burden on conventional fossil fuel based power generation. Wind resource assessment for onshore and offshore wind farms aids in accurate forecasting and analyzing nature of ramp events. From an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-01 Harsh S. Dhiman , Dipankar Deb

Extreme weather events have an enormous impact on society and are expected to become more frequent and severe with climate change. In this context, resilience planning becomes crucial for risk mitigation and coping with these extreme…

Unscheduled power disturbances cause severe consequences both for customers and grid operators. To defend against such events, it is necessary to identify the causes of interruptions in the power distribution network. In this work, we focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Odin Foldvik Eikeland , Inga Setså Holmstrand , Sigurd Bakkejord , Matteo Chiesa , Filippo Maria Bianchi