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As the complexity and dynamism of financial markets continue to grow, traditional financial risk prediction methods increasingly struggle to handle large datasets and intricate behavior patterns. This paper explores the feasibility and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Haowei Yang , Zhan Cheng , Zhaoyang Zhang , Yuanshuai Luo , Shuaishuai Huang , Ao Xiang

Company fundamentals are key to assessing companies' financial and overall success and stability. Forecasting them is important in multiple fields, including investing and econometrics. While statistical and contemporary machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-04 Felix Divo , Eric Endress , Kevin Endler , Kristian Kersting , Devendra Singh Dhami

A public firm's bankruptcy prediction is an important financial research problem because of the security price downside risks. Traditional methods rely on accounting metrics that suffer from shortcomings like window dressing and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-05 Sridhar Ravula

Credit risk forecasting plays a crucial role for commercial banks and other financial institutions in granting loans to customers and minimise the potential loss. However, traditional machine learning methods require the sharing of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Shuyao Zhang , Jordan Tay , Pedro Baiz

Enterprise financial risk analysis aims at predicting the future financial risk of enterprises. Due to its wide and significant application, enterprise financial risk analysis has always been the core research topic in the fields of Finance…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Huaming Du , Cancan Feng , Yuqian Lei , Chenyang Zhang , Guisong Liu , Gang Kou , Carl Yang , Yu Zhao

Macroeconomic factors have a critical impact on banking credit risk, which cannot be directly controlled by banks, and therefore, there is a need for an early credit risk warning system based on the macroeconomy. By comparing different…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Hemlata Sharma , Aparna Andhalkar , Oluwaseun Ajao , Bayode Ogunleye

Predicting the bankruptcy risk of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) is an important step for financial institutions when making decisions about loans. Existing studies in both finance and AI research fields, however, tend to only…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-10 Yu Zhao , Shaopeng Wei , Yu Guo , Qing Yang , Xingyan Chen , Qing Li , Fuzhen Zhuang , Ji Liu , Gang Kou

Machine Learning (ML) models are being increasingly employed for credit risk evaluation, with their effectiveness largely hinging on the quality of the input data. In this paper we investigate the impact of several data quality issues,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Andrea Maurino

In this essay, we have comprehensively evaluated the feasibility and suitability of adopting the Machine Learning Models on the forecast of corporation fundamentals (i.e. the earnings), where the prediction results of our method have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Xinyue Cui , Zhaoyu Xu , Yue Zhou

Financial crime is a large and growing problem, in some way touching almost every financial institution. Financial institutions are the front line in the war against financial crime and accordingly, must devote substantial human and…

This paper shows how data science can contribute to improving empirical research in economics by leveraging on large datasets and extracting information otherwise unsuitable for a traditional econometric approach. As a test-bed for our…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-05 Marco Guerzoni , Consuelo R. Nava , Massimiliano Nuccio

In this study, we propose a novel approach of nowcasting and forecasting the macroeconomic status of a country using deep learning techniques. We focus particularly on the US economy but the methodology can be applied also to other…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Anastasios Petropoulos , Vassilis Siakoulis , Konstantinos P. Panousis , Loukas Papadoulas , Sotirios Chatzis

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

The rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) have presented new opportunities for enhancing efficiency and economic competitiveness across various industries, espcially in banking. Machine learning (ML), as a subset of artificial…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Ana Kovacevic , Sonja D. Radenkovic , Dragana Nikolic

With the rapid growth of technology, especially the widespread application of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, the risk management level of commercial banks is constantly reaching new heights. In the current wave of digitalization,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-30 Shuochen Bi , Wenqing Bao

In the face of global economic uncertainty, financial auditing has become essential for regulatory compliance and risk mitigation. Traditional manual auditing methods are increasingly limited by large data volumes, complex business…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Tingyu Yuan , Xi Zhang , Xuanjing Chen

We use machine learning techniques to investigate whether it is possible to replicate the behavior of bank managers who assess the risk of commercial loans made by a large commercial US bank. Even though a typical bank already relies on an…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-10 Matthew Harding , Gabriel F. R. Vasconcelos

With rapid transformation of technologies, the fusion of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) in finance is disrupting the entire ecosystem and operations which were followed for decades. The current landscape is where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Animesh Kumar

There has been intensive research regarding machine learning models for predicting bankruptcy in recent years. However, the lack of interpretability limits their growth and practical implementation. This study proposes a data-driven…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Wei Li , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Stefan Lessmann

The use of credit cards has recently increased, creating an essential need for credit card assessment methods to minimize potential risks. This study investigates the utilization of machine learning (ML) models for credit card default…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Anas Arram , Masri Ayob , Musatafa Abbas Abbood Albadr , Alaa Sulaiman , Dheeb Albashish