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Related papers: Fluctuations in Arctic Sea Ice Extent: Comparing O…

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We examine the long-term correlations and multifractal properties of daily satellite retrievals of Arctic sea ice albedo and extent, for periods of $\sim$ 23 years and 32 years respectively. The approach harnesses a recent development…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-05-08 S. Agarwal , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Since the beginning of satellite observations, the Arctic sea ice extent has shown a downward trend. The decline has been weaker in the March maximum than in the September minimum and masked by inter-annual fluctuations. One of the less…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-08-23 Peter D. Ditlevsen , Ivana Cvijanovic

Observations indicate that the Arctic sea ice cover is rapidly retreating while the Antarctic sea ice cover is steadily expanding. State-of-the-art climate models, by contrast, typically simulate a moderate decrease in both the Arctic and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

By arguing that the surface pressure field over the Arctic Ocean can be treated as an isotropic, stationary, homogeneous, Gaussian random field, Thorndike estimated a number of covariance functions from two years of data (1979 and 1980).…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-28 Sahil Agarwal , John S. Wettlaufer

Variability in sea ice conditions, combined with strong couplings to the atmosphere and the ocean, lead to a broad range of complex sea ice dynamics. More in-situ measurements are needed to better identify the phenomena and mechanisms that…

It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a slowing down when a system destabilises towards a tipping…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-26 Sebastian Bathiany , Bregje van der Bolt , Mark S. Williamson , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Egbert van Nes , Dirk Notz

A controlling factor in the seasonal and climatological evolution of the sea ice cover is its albedo $\alpha$. Here we analyze Arctic data from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Polar Pathfinder and assess the seasonality…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-31 S. Agarwal , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

The diminishing extent of Arctic sea ice is a key indicator of climate change as well as an accelerant for future global warming. Since 1978, Arctic sea ice has been measured using satellite-based microwave sensing; however, different…

Sea ice cover in the Arctic and Antarctic is an important indicator of changes in the climate, with important environmental, economic and security consequences. The complexity of the spatio-temporal dynamics of sea ice makes it difficult to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-06 James Hogg , Maria Fonoberova , Igor Mezic

The Arctic has warmed dramatically compared to the global average over the last few decades. During this same period, there have been strong cooling trends observed in the wintertime, near-surface air temperature over central Eurasia, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-20 Stephen Outten , Richard Davy , Linling Chen

The downward trend in the amount of Arctic sea ice has a wide range of environmental and economic consequences including important effects on the pace and intensity of global climate change. Based on several decades of satellite data, we…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-02 Francis X. Diebold , Glenn D. Rudebusch

In this article, we considered the problem of sea ice cover is melting. Considering the `satellite passive microwave remote sensing data' as functional data, we studied daily observation of sea ice cover of each year as a smooth continuous…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-25 Purba Das , Ananya Lahiri , Sourish Das

Antarctic sea ice has undergone unprecedented changes in recent years, raising questions about how this key geophysical system is responding to climate change. Decades of slow expansion were replaced by a precipitous decline in 2014-2017, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-28 Peter Yatsyshin , Karl Lapo , Oliver Strickson , Louisa van Zeeland , J. Scott Hosking , J. Nathan Kutz

Arctic sea ice has steadily diminished as atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have increased. Using observed data from 1979 to 2019, we estimate a close contemporaneous linear relationship between Arctic sea ice area and cumulative…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-10 Francis X. Diebold , Glenn D. Rudebusch

Here we evaluate the sea ice, surface air temperature, and sea-level-pressure from 31 of the models used in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) for their biases, trends, and variability, and compare them to the CMIP5…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-30 Richard Davy , Stephen Outten

Wave-sea ice interactions shape the transition zone between open ocean and pack ice in the polar regions. Most theoretical paradigms, implemented in coupled wave-sea ice models, predict exponential decay of the wave energy but some recent…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-09 Rhys Ransome , Davide Proment , Ian A. Renfrew , Alberto Alberello

There is ongoing debate over whether Arctic sea-ice has already passed a `tipping point', or whether it will do so in the future. Several recent studies argue that the loss of summer sea ice does not involve an irreversible bifurcation,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-01-23 Valerie N. Livina , Timothy M. Lenton

Sea ice breaks up and regenerates rapidly during winter conditions in the Arctic. Analyzing satellite data from the Kara Sea, we find that the average ice floe size depends on weather conditions. Nevertheless, the frequency of floes of size…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Korsnes , S. R. Souza , R. Donangelo , R. Donangelo , M. Paczuski , K. Sneppen

The downward trend in Arctic sea ice extent is one of the most dramatic signals of climate change during recent decades. Comprehensive climate models have struggled to reproduce this, typically simulating a slower rate of sea ice retreat…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-21 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

A model of the extent of wave driven overwash into fields of sea ice floes is proposed. The extent model builds on previous work modelling wave overwash of a single floe by regular waves by including irregular incoming waves and random floe…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Jordan P. A Pitt , Luke G. Bennetts , Michael H. Meylan , Robert A. Massom , Alessandro Toffoli
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