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We present a simulation methodology for Bayesian estimation of rate parameters in Markov jump processes arising for example in stochastic kinetic models. To handle the problem of missing components and measurement errors in observed data,…

Computation · Statistics 2010-09-01 Michael Amrein , Hans R. Kuensch

This paper presents the solution to a European option pricing problem by considering a regime-switching jump diffusion model of the underlying financial asset price dynamics. The regimes are assumed to be the results of an observed pure…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Anindya Goswami , Omkar Manjarekar , Anjana R

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

We address the problem of sequential prediction with expert advice in a non-stationary environment with long-term memory guarantees in the sense of Bousquet and Warmuth [4]. We give a linear-time algorithm that improves on the best known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 James Robinson , Mark Herbster

Without measurement errors in predictors, discontinuity of a nonparametric regression function at unknown locations could be estimated using a number of existing approaches. However, it becomes a challenging problem when the predictors…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-17 Yicheng Kang , Xiaodong Gong , Jiti Gao , Peihua Qiu

In this paper we discuss a credit risk model with a pure jump L\'evy process for the asset value and an unobservable random barrier. The default time is the first time when the asset value falls below the barrier. Using the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-16 Xin Dong , Harry Zheng

We propose a tractable semiparametric estimation method for structural dynamic discrete choice models. The distribution of additive utility shocks in the proposed framework is modeled by location-scale mixtures of extreme value…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-15 Andriy Norets , Kenichi Shimizu

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t)observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends to 0 and nDelta tends to infinity. We assume that (X_t) is ergodic, strictly stationary and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Emeline Schmisser

This article combines various methods of analysis to draw a comprehensive picture of penalty approximations to the value, hedge ratio, and optimal exercise strategy of American options. While convergence of the penalised solution for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-21 Sam Howison , Christoph Reisinger , Jan Hendrik Witte

We study investment and insurance demand decisions for an agent in a theoretical continuous-time expected utility maximization model that combines risky assets with an (exogenous) insurable background risk. This risk takes the form of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-09 Hugo E. Ramirez , Rafael Serrano

The nonparametric estimation of the volatility and the drift coefficient of a scalar diffusion is studied when the process is observed at random time points. The constructed estimator generalizes the spectral method by Gobet, Hoffmann and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Jakub Chorowski , Mathias Trabs

We introduce verifiable criteria for weak posterior consistency of identifiable Bayesian nonparametric inference for jump diffusions with unit diffusion coefficient and uniformly Lipschitz drift and jump coefficients in arbitrary dimension.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Dario Spano , Paul A. Jenkins

In this article, we consider a jump diffusion process (X_t), with drift function b, diffusion coefficient sigma and jump coefficient xi^{2}. This process is observed at discrete times t=0,Delta,...,nDelta. The sampling interval Delta tends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Emeline Schmisser

A key feature of the classical Fluctuation Dissipation theorem is its ability to approximate the average response of a dynamical system to a sufficiently small external perturbation from an appropriate time correlation function of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Rafail V. Abramov

This paper presents an option pricing model that incorporates clustered jumps using a bivariate Hawkes process. The process captures both self- and cross-excitation of positive and negative jumps, enabling the model to generate return…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-27 Francis Liu , Natalie Packham , Artur Sepp

A model of Poissonian observation having a jump (change-point) in the intensity function is considered. Two cases are studied. The first one corresponds to the situation when the jump size converges to a non-zero limit, while in the second…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Serguei Dachian , Lin Yang

We consider a class of generalized capital asset pricing models in continuous time with a finite number of agents and tradable securities. The securities may not be sufficient to span all sources of uncertainty. If the agents have…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-23 Ulrich Horst , Michael Kupper , Andrea Macrina , Christoph Mainberger

We study the asymptotics for jump-penalized least squares regression aiming at approximating a regression function by piecewise constant functions. Besides conventional consistency and convergence rates of the estimates in $L^2([0,1))$ our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Leif Boysen , Angela Kempe , Volkmar Liebscher , Axel Munk , Olaf Wittich

We introduce a new probabilistic method for solving a class of impulse control problems based on their representations as Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs for short) with constrained jumps. As an example, our method is used…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Marie Bernhart , Huyên Pham , Peter Tankov , Xavier Warin

We consider the solution X = (Xt) t$\ge$0 of a multivariate stochastic differential equation with Levy-type jumps and with unique invariant probability measure with density $\mu$. We assume that a continuous record of observations X T =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter