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Geostatistics is a branch of statistics concerned with stochastic processes over continuous domains, with Gaussian processes (GPs) providing a flexible and principled modelling framework. However, the high computational cost of simulating…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Gareth O. Roberts

Occupancy mapping has been a key enabler of mobile robotics. Originally based on a discrete grid representation, occupancy mapping has evolved towards continuous representations that can predict the occupancy status at any location and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Cedric Le Gentil , Cedric Pradalier , Timothy D. Barfoot

Datasets that exhibit non-Gaussian characteristics are common in many fields, while the current modeling framework and available software for non-Gaussian models is limited. We introduce Linear Latent Non-Gaussian Models (LLnGMs), a unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 David Bolin , Xiaotian Jin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a well-established statistical tool for modeling complex nonlinear relationships between covariates and a response assumed to have a conditional distribution in the exponential family. In this article,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Oswaldo Gressani , Philippe Lambert

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a rich class of models that can better represent functions with varying regimes or sharp changes, compared to conventional GPs. In this work, we propose a novel inference method for DGPs for computer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-18 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson , Serge Guillas

In simulation-based engineering design with time-consuming simulators, Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used as fast emulators to speed up the design optimization process. In its most commonly used form, the input of GP is a simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Xi Chen , Yashika Sharma , Hao Helen Zhang , Xin Hao , Qiang Zhou

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

Gradient matching with Gaussian processes is a promising tool for learning parameters of ordinary differential equations (ODE's). The essence of gradient matching is to model the prior over state variables as a Gaussian process which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-25 Nico S. Gorbach , Stefan Bauer , Joachim M. Buhmann

In this letter, we present a novel Gaussian Process Learning-based Probabilistic Optimal Power Flow (GP-POPF) for solving POPF under renewable and load uncertainties of arbitrary distribution. The proposed method relies on a non-parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-17 Parikshit Pareek , Hung D. Nguyen

Intelligent real-world systems critically depend on expressive information about their system state and changing operation conditions, e.g., due to variation in temperature, location, wear, or aging. To provide this information, online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Björn Volkmann , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Thomas Seel , Michael Meindl

This work studies the problem of stochastic dynamic filtering and state propagation with complex beliefs. The main contribution is GP-SUM, a filtering algorithm tailored to dynamic systems and observation models expressed as Gaussian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Maria Bauza , Alberto Rodriguez

We study the class of state-space models and perform maximum likelihood estimation for the model parameters. We consider a stochastic approximation expectation-maximization (SAEM) algorithm to maximize the likelihood function with the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-25 Umberto Picchini , Adeline Samson

A linear Gaussian state-space smoothing algorithm is presented for estimation of derivatives from a sequence of noisy measurements. The algorithm uses numerically stable square-root formulas, can handle simultaneous independent measurements…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-17 Robert Piche

Gaussian Processes (GPs) can be used as flexible, non-parametric function priors. Inspired by the growing body of work on Normalizing Flows, we enlarge this class of priors through a parametric invertible transformation that can be made…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Juan Maroñas , Oliver Hamelijnck , Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) is a popular approach to non-linear probabilistic dimensionality reduction. One design choice for the model is the number of latent variables. We present a spike and slab prior for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-12 Zhenwen Dai , James Hensman , Neil Lawrence

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

In this publication, we combine two Bayesian non-parametric models: the Gaussian Process (GP) and the Dirichlet Process (DP). Our innovation in the GP model is to introduce a variation on the GP prior which enables us to model structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-15 James Hensman , Magnus Rattray , Neil D. Lawrence

Gaussian processes (GPs) are very widely used for modeling of unknown functions or surfaces in applications ranging from regression to classification to spatial processes. Although there is an increasingly vast literature on applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-28 Lizhen Lin , Mu Niu , Pokman Cheung , David Dunson

Gaussian processes (GPs) are typically criticised for their unfavourable scaling in both computational and memory requirements. For large datasets, sparse GPs reduce these demands by conditioning on a small set of inducing variables…

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