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We give general sufficient conditions to prove the convergence of marked point processes that keep record of the occurrence of rare events and of their impact for non-autonomous dynamical systems. We apply the results to sequential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães , Sandro Vaienti

We consider a one-dimensional piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) on $[0,1]$ with resetting at $0$ and depending on a small parameter $\varepsilon>0$. In the singular vanishing limit $\varepsilon \to 0$ we prove that the ``…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Cédric Bernardin , Vsevolod Vladimirovich Tarsamaev

This paper presents a simulation-based framework for sequential inference from partially and discretely observed point process (PP's) models with static parameters. Taking on a Bayesian perspective for the static parameters, we build upon…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 James S. Martin , Ajay Jasra , Emma McCoy

This paper presents an identity between the multivariate and univariate saddlepoint approximations applied to sample path probabilities for a certain class of stochastic processes. This class, which we term the recursively compounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Jesse Goodman

Methods for marked spatial point processes with scalar marks have seen extensive development in recent years. While the impressive progress in data collection and storage capacities has yielded an immense increase in spatial point process…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Matthias Eckardt , Mari Myllymäki , Sonja Greven

A common assumption when modeling queuing systems is that arrivals behave like a Poisson process with constant parameter. In practice, however, call arrivals are often observed to be significantly overdispersed. This motivates that in this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Mariska Heemskerk , Julia Kuhn , Michel Mandjes

We introduce a Poissonization method to study the coalescent structure of uniform samples from branching processes. This method relies on the simple observation that a uniform sample of size $k$ taken from a random set with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Samuel G. G. Johnston , Amaury Lambert

As a first step toward a characterization of the limiting extremal process of branching Brownian motion, we proved in a recent work [Comm. Pure Appl. Math. 64 (2011) 1647-1676] that, in the limit of large time $t$, extremal particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

Under mild assumptions the equivalence of the mixed Poisson process with mixing parameter a real-valued random variable to the one with mixing distribution as well as to the mixed Poisson process in the sense of Huang is obtained, and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 D. P. Lyberopoulos , N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

This article develops, and describes how to use, results concerning disintegrations of Poisson random measures. These results are fashioned as simple tools that can be tailor-made to address inferential questions arising in a wide range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James

We aim to link random fields and marked point processes and therefore introduce a new class of stochastic processes which are defined on a random set in R^d. Unlike for random fields, the mark covariance function of a marked random set is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-25 Felix Ballani , Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather

By explicitly representing the reaction times of discrete chemical systems as the firing times of independent, unit rate Poisson processes, we develop a new adaptive tau-leaping procedure. The procedure developed is novel in that accuracy…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 David F. Anderson

The problem of parameter estimation by i.i.d. observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process is considered in situation of misspecification. The model is that of a Poissonian signal observed in presence of a homogeneous Poissonian noise.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 O V Chernoyarov , S Dachian , Yu A Kutoyants

The continuous-time random walk is defined as a Poissonization of discrete-time random walk. We study the noncolliding system of continuous-time simple and symmetric random walks on ${\mathbb{Z}}$. We show that the system is determinantal…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Syota Esaki

It has been conjectured since the work of Lalley and Sellke (1987) that the branching Brownian motion seen from its tip (e.g. from its rightmost particle) converges to an invariant point process. Very recently, it emerged that this can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-01 E. Aïdékon , J. Berestycki , É. Brunet , Z. Shi

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

We consider the stochastic ranking process with the jump times of the particles determined by Poisson random measures. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of scaled position and intensity measure converges almost surely in the…

Continuing the analysis initiated in Lachi\'eze-Rey and Peccati (2011), we use contraction operators to study the normal approximation of random variables having the form of a U-statistic written on the points in the support of a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-04 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati

The non-exponential relaxation is shown to result from subordination by inverse tempered \alpha-stable processes. The main feature of tempered \alpha-stable processes is a finiteness of their moments, and the class of random processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky , Karina Weron

This document presents a compilation of results related to the theory of stochastic processes, with a specific focus on Markov processes, regenerative processes, renewal processes, and stationary processes. The relevance of these topics…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Carlos Martinez-Rodriguez