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Bayesian hierarchical linear models provide a natural framework to analyze nested and clustered data. Classical estimation with Markov chain Monte Carlo produces well calibrated posterior distributions but becomes computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Cristian Parra-Aldana , Juan Sosa

There has been much recent, exciting work on combining the complementary strengths of latent variable models and deep learning. Latent variable modeling makes it easy to explicitly specify model constraints through conditional independence…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Yoon Kim , Sam Wiseman , Alexander M. Rush

Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly used model comparison tool, which has experienced a recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Siddhartha Chib , Todd A. Kuffner

This paper introduces a novel class of models for binary data, which we call log-mean linear models. The characterizing feature of these models is that they are specified by linear constraints on the log-mean linear parameter, defined as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-14 Alberto Roverato , Monia Lupparelli , Luca La Rocca

Log-linear models are a classical tool for the analysis of contingency tables. In particular, the subclass of graphical log-linear models provides a general framework for modelling conditional independences. However, with the exception of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

We study a marginal empirical likelihood approach in scenarios when the number of variables grows exponentially with the sample size. The marginal empirical likelihood ratios as functions of the parameters of interest are systematically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-07 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Yong Tang , Yichao Wu

Causality lays the foundation for the trajectory of our world. Causal inference (CI), which aims to infer intrinsic causal relations among variables of interest, has emerged as a crucial research topic. Nevertheless, the lack of observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Yaochen Zhu , Yinhan He , Jing Ma , Mengxuan Hu , Sheng Li , Jundong Li

Model selection is of fundamental importance to high dimensional modeling featured in many contemporary applications. Classical principles of model selection include the Kullback-Leibler divergence principle and the Bayesian principle,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-12 Jinchi Lv , Jun S. Liu

Non-concave penalized maximum likelihood methods, such as the Bridge, the SCAD, and the MCP, are widely used because they not only do parameter estimation and variable selection simultaneously but also have a high efficiency as compared to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 Yuta Umezu , Yusuke Shimizu , Hiroki Masuda , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Despite major methodological developments, Bayesian inference for Gaussian graphical models remains challenging in high dimension due to the tremendous size of the model space. This article proposes a method to infer the marginal and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Sylvia Richardson

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

Dynamical models of cognition play an increasingly important role in driving theoretical and experimental research in psychology. Therefore, parameter estimation, model analysis and comparison of dynamical models are of essential…

Variable selection in linear regression models has been a problem since hypothesis testing began. Which variables to include or exclude from a model is not an easy task. Techniques such as Forward, Back ward, Stepwise Regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 By Riyadh Alrawkan , Edward Boone , Ryad Ghanam , Anton Westveld

Bayesian inference provides a flexible way of combining data with prior information. However, quantile regression is not equipped with a parametric likelihood, and therefore, Bayesian inference for quantile regression demands careful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Yunwen Yang , Xuming He

Ising models describe the joint probability distribution of a vector of binary feature variables. Typically, not all the variables interact with each other and one is interested in learning the presumably sparse network structure of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Frank Nussbaum , Joachim Giesen

We characterise the likelihood function computed from a Bayesian network with latent variables as root nodes. We show that the marginal distribution over the remaining, manifest, variables also factorises as a Bayesian network, which we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton

Occupancy models are typically used to determine the probability of a species being present at a given site while accounting for imperfect detection. The survey data underlying these models often include information on several predictors…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-09 Daniel Taylor-Rodriguez , Andrew Womack , Claudio Fuentes , Nikolay Bliznyuk

It is useful to estimate the expected predictive performance of models planned to be used for prediction. We focus on leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), which has become a popular method for estimating predictive performance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Tuomas Sivula , Måns Magnusson , Asael Alonzo Matamoros , Aki Vehtari

Many domain experts do not have the time or expertise to write formal Bayesian models. This paper takes an informal problem description as input, and combines a large language model and a probabilistic programming language to define a joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Justin Domke
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