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We measured the spatiotemporal evolution of pore pressure on- and off-fault during failure and slip in initially intact Westerly granite under triaxial conditions. The pore pressure perturbations in the fault zone and the surrounding bulk…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-29 Dong Liu , Nicolas Brantut , Franciscus M. Aben

We advance the novel hypothesis that water in the presence of finite localized strain within fault gouges may lead to the phase transformation of stable minerals into metastable polymorphs of higher free energy density. Under increasing…

Materials Science · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Sornette

Natural faults often contain a fluid-saturated, granular fault-gouge layer, whose failure and sliding processes play a central role in earthquake dynamics. Using a two-dimensional discrete element model coupled with fluid dynamics, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-20 Pritom Sarma , Einat Aharonov , Renaud Toussaint , Stanislav Parez

A major goal in earthquake physics is to derive a constitutive framework for fault slip that captures the dependence of shear strength on fault rheology, sliding velocity, and pore-fluid pressure. In this study, we present H-MEC…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-08-31 Luca Dal Zilio , Betti Hegyi , Whitney Behr , Taras Gerya

Contrary to common belief, as the time since the last earthquake in a certain region increases, the risk of occurrence of another earthquake diminishes. As a consequence, the expected waiting time to the next event increases with the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

In the context of global climate change, geological materials are increasingly destabilized by water flow and infiltration. We study the creeping dynamics of a densely monitored landslide in Western Norway to decipher the role of fluid flow…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-26 Fabian Barras , Andreas Aspaas , Einat Aharonov , François Renard

Sloped terrains tend to creep downward over time, even when their slope is below the nominal angle of repose. This behavior can result from periodic variations in environmental conditions, such as daily or seasonal fluctuations in…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-07-31 Ezequiel E. Ferrero , Eduardo A. Jagla

The unexpected weakness of some faults has been attributed to the emergence of acoustic waves that promote failure by reducing the confining pressure through a mechanism known as acoustic fluidization, also proposed to explain earthquake…

Over the last two decades, strain and GPS measurements have shown that slow slip on earthquake faults is a widespread phenomenon. Slow slip is also inferred from correlated small amplitude seismic signals known as nonvolcanic tremor and low…

Induced seismicity has emerged as a source of a significant earthquake hazard associated with recent development of unconventional energy resources. Therefore, it is imperative to develop stochastic models that can accurately describe the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-08 Robert Shcherbakov

Slow earthquakes differ from regular earthquakes in their slower moment release and size distribution dominated by smaller events. However, the physical origin of these slow earthquake statistics remains controversial. In this work, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-02 Yuto Sasaki , Hiroaki Katsuragi

Statistical tests of earthquake predictions require a null hypothesis to model occasional chance successes. To define and quantify `chance success' is knotty. Some null hypotheses ascribe chance to the Earth: Seismicity is modeled as…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-21 Brad Luen , Philip B. Stark

A comparison of the displacements of the earth's surface after an earthquake was made, calculating with the analytical expressions coming from an infinite flat slab approximation and compared with these numerically considering the…

This paper addresses the possibility of using robust control theory for preventing earthquakes through fluid injections in the earth's crust. The designed robust controllers drive aseismically a fault system to a new equilibrium point of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Diego Gutiérrez-Oribio , Georgios Tzortzopoulos , Ioannis Stefanou , Franck Plestan

The observation of foreshocks preceding large earthquakes and the suggestion that foreshocks have specific properties that may be used to distinguish them from other earthquakes have raised the hope that large earthquakes may be…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Didier Sornette

Seismic waves due to strong earthquakes propagating in surficial soil layers may both reduce soil stiffness and increase the energy dissipation into the soil. To investigate seismic wave amplification in such cases, past studies have been…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-08-12 Maria Paola Santisi D'Avila , Luca Lenti , Jean-François Semblat

``Remote triggering" refers to the inducement of earthquakes by weak perturbations that emanate from far away sources, typically intense earthquakes that happen at much larger distances than their nearby aftershocks, sometimes even around…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-10-13 Harish Charan , Anna Pomyalov , Itamar Procaccia

A multicomponent random process used as a model for the problem of space-time earthquake prediction; this allows us to develop consistent estimation for conditional probabilities of large earthquakes if the values of the predictor…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-04-28 V. M. Ghertzik

Shear rupture and fault slip in crystalline rocks like granite produce large dilation, impacting the spatiotemporal evolution of fluid pressure in the crust during the seismic cycle. To explore how fluid pressure variations are coupled to…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-11-07 Frans M. Aben , Nicolas Brantut

In this paper, we investigate earthquake-induced landslides using a geostatistical model that includes a latent spatial effect (LSE). The LSE represents the spatially structured residuals in the data, which are complementary to the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-04 Luigi Lombardo , Haakon Bakka , Hakan Tanyas , Cees van Westen , P. Martin Mai , Raphael Huser