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To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

Detection of defective members of large populations has been widely studied in the statistics community under the name "group testing", a problem which dates back to World War II when it was suggested for syphilis screening. There the main…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-09-28 Mahdi Cheraghchi , Ali Hormati , Amin Karbasi , Martin Vetterli

Varying domains and biased datasets can lead to differences between the training and the target distributions, known as covariate shift. Current approaches for alleviating this often rely on estimating the ratio of training and target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Bijan Mazaheri , Siddharth Jain , Jehoshua Bruck

We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Ulrich Hounyo , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Longitudinal binary or count functional data are common in neuroscience, but are often too large to analyze with existing functional regression methods. We propose one-step penalized generalized estimating equations that supports…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Gabriel Loewinger , Alex W. Levis , Erjia Cui , Francisco Pereira

We propose dual regression as an alternative to the quantile regression process for the global estimation of conditional distribution functions under minimal assumptions. Dual regression provides all the interpretational power of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

We suppose we are given a list of points $x_1, \dots, x_n \in \mathbb{R}$, a target probability measure $\mu$ and are asked to add additional points $x_{n+1}, \dots, x_{n+m}$ so that $x_1, \dots, x_{n+m}$ is as close as possible to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 François Clément , Stefan Steinerberger

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals (CIs) for the population mean of $N$ values $\{x_1, \ldots, x_N\} \subset \Sigma^N$ based on a random sample of size $n$, denoted by $X^n \equiv (X_1, \ldots, X_n)$, drawn…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

While the traditional viewpoint in machine learning and statistics assumes training and testing samples come from the same population, practice belies this fiction. One strategy -- coming from robust statistics and optimization -- is thus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John C. Duchi

We outline a general procedure on how to apply random positive linear operators in nonparametric estimation. As a consequence, we give explicit confidence bands and intervals for a distribution function $F$ concentrated on $[0,1]$ by means…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-20 José A. Adell , J. T. Alcalá , C. Sangüesa

The amount of large-scale real data around us increase in size very quickly and so does the necessity to reduce its size by obtaining a representative sample. Such sample allows us to use a great variety of analytical methods, whose direct…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-02-10 Milos Kudelka , Sarka Zehnalova , Jan Platos

Stochastic processes can model many emerging phenomena on networks, like the spread of computer viruses, rumors, or infectious diseases. Understanding the dynamics of such stochastic spreading processes is therefore of fundamental interest.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

This study focuses on statistical inference for compound models of the form $X=\xi_1+\ldots+\xi_N$, where $N$ is a random variable denoting the count of summands, which are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Denis Belomestny , Ekaterina Morozova , Vladimir Panov

Integrating probability and nonprobability survey samples is an important problem in modern survey sampling. Nonprobability samples often contain rich outcome information but may lack population representativeness, whereas probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Yufang Dai , Shihua Luo , Wendy Lou , Zilin Wang , Xuewen Lu

When prior information is lacking, the go-to strategy for probabilistic inference is to combine a "default prior" and the likelihood via Bayes's theorem. Objective Bayes, (generalized) fiducial inference, etc. fall under this umbrella. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Ryan Martin

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

Rgbp is an R package that provides estimates and verifiable confidence intervals for random effects in two-level conjugate hierarchical models for overdispersed Gaussian, Poisson, and Binomial data. Rgbp models aggregate data from k…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-23 Hyungsuk Tak , Joseph Kelly , Carl N. Morris

We consider a sparse high-dimensional varying coefficients model with random effects, a flexible linear model allowing covariates and coefficients to have a functional dependence with time. For each individual, we observe discretely sampled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Michael Law , Ya'acov Ritov

As alternatives to the time-to-first-event analysis of composite endpoints, the {\it net benefit} (NB) and the {\it win ratio} (WR) -- which assess treatment effects using prioritized component outcomes based on clinical importance -- have…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Roland A. Matsouaka , Adrian Coles

Understanding the impact of the most effective policies or treatments on a response variable of interest is desirable in many empirical works in economics, statistics and other disciplines. Due to the widespread winner's curse phenomenon,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Waverly Wei , Yuqing Zhou , Zeyu Zheng , Jingshen Wang