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In this paper we study the implications of contingent payments on the clearing wealth in a network model of financial contagion. We consider an extension of the Eisenberg-Noe financial contagion model in which the nominal interbank…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-14 Tathagata Banerjee , Zachary Feinstein

The advent of intelligent agents who produce and consume energy by themselves has led the smart grid into the era of "prosumer", offering the energy system and customers a unique opportunity to revaluate/trade their spot energy via a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Yue Chen , Shengwei Mei , Wei Wei , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman , Feng Liu

We undertake a fundamental study of network equilibria modeled as solutions of fixed point equations for monotone linear functions with saturation nonlinearities. The considered model extends one originally proposed to study systemic risk…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Leonardo Massai , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Financial contagion has been widely recognized as a fundamental risk to the financial system. Particularly potent is price-mediated contagion, wherein forced liquidations by firms depress asset prices and propagate financial stress,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-06 Zhiyu Cao , Zihan Chen , Prerna Mishra , Hamed Amini , Zachary Feinstein

The current global financial system forms a highly interconnected network where a default in one of its nodes can propagate to many other nodes, causing a catastrophic avalanche effect. In this paper we consider the problem of reducing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov

We develop a model for contagion in reinsurance networks by which primary insurers' losses are spread through the network. Our model handles general reinsurance contracts, such as typical excess of loss contracts. We show that simpler…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-25 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

We study a market of investments on networks, where each agent (vertex) can invest in any enterprise linked to her, and at the same time, raise capital for her firm's enterprise from other agents she is linked to. Failing to raise…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Moshe Babaioff , Yoav Kolumbus , Eyal Winter

This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Seyyed Mostafa Mousavi , Robert Mackay , Alistair Tucker

The 2008 financial crisis illustrated the need for a thorough, functional understanding of systemic risk in strongly interconnected financial structures. Dynamic processes on complex networks being intrinsically difficult, most recent…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-05 Matteo Smerlak , Brady Stoll , Agam Gupta , James S. Magdanz

We develop a framework for price-mediated contagion in financial systems where banks are forced to liquidate assets to satisfy a risk-weight based capital adequacy requirement. In constructing this modeling framework, we introduce a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-19 Tathagata Banerjee , Zachary Feinstein

We consider two market designs for a network of prosumers, trading energy: (i) a centralized design which acts as a benchmark, and (ii) a peer-to-peer market design. High renewable energy penetration requires that the energy market design…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Ilia Shilov , Hélène Le Cadre , Ana Busic

We analyze the systemic risk for disjoint and overlapping groups (e.g., central clearing counterparties (CCP)) by proposing new models with realistic game features. Specifically, we generalize the systemic risk measure proposed in [F.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-02 Yichen Feng , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu , Tomoyuki Ichiba

The scope of financial systemic risk research encompasses a wide range of interbank channels and effects, including asset correlation shocks, default contagion, illiquidity contagion, and asset fire sales. This paper introduces a financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-23 Thomas R. Hurd , Davide Cellai , Sergey Melnik , Quentin Shao

Demand response has been a promising solution for accommodating renewable energy in power systems. In this study, we consider a demand response scheme within a distribution network facing an energy supply deficit. The utility company…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-02 Xiupeng Chen , Jacquelien M. A. Scherpen , Nima Monshizadeh

Price-mediated contagion occurs when a positive feedback loop develops following a drop in asset prices which forces banks and other financial institutions to sell their holdings. Prior studies of such events fix the level of market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-05 Zhiyu Cao , Zachary Feinstein

Global trade of material goods involves the potential to create pathways for the spread of infectious pathogens. One trade sector in which this synergy is clearly critical is that of wildlife trade networks. This highly complex system…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-10 John S. McAlister , Jesse L. Brunner , Danielle J. Galvin , Nina H. Fefferman

This chapter reviews key contributions of complexity science to the study of systemic risk in financial systems. The focus is on network models of financial contagion, where I explore various mechanisms of shock propagation, such as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-21 Fabio Caccioli

This paper proposes a novel dynamical model for determining clearing payments in financial networks. We extend the classical Eisenberg-Noe model of financial contagion to multiple time periods, allowing financial operations to continue…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-06 Fabio Caccioli , Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore , J. Doyne Farmer

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Sebastian Heise , Reimer Kuehn