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In this paper, we consider the challenge of maximizing an unknown function f for which evaluations are noisy and are acquired with high cost. An iterative procedure uses the previous measures to actively select the next estimation of f…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-03 Emile Contal , David Buffoni , Alexandre Robicquet , Nicolas Vayatis

Mathematical models of biological systems are beginning to be used for safety-critical applications, where large numbers of repeated model evaluations are required to perform uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. Most of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-28 Sanmitra Ghosh , David J. Gavaghan , Gary R. Mirams

Gaussian processes are widely employed as versatile modelling and predictive tools in spatial statistics, functional data analysis, computer modelling and diverse applications of machine learning. They have been widely studied over…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Didong Li , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

We present an information-theoretic framework for sequential adaptive compressed sensing, Info-Greedy Sensing, where measurements are chosen to maximize the extracted information conditioned on the previous measurements. We show that the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Gabor Braun , Sebastian Pokutta , Yao Xie

We consider a Bayesian approach to model selection in Gaussian linear regression, where the number of predictors might be much larger than the number of observations. From a frequentist view, the proposed procedure results in the penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

Gaussian Process regression is a kernel method successfully adopted in many real-life applications. Recently, there is a growing interest on extending this method to non-Euclidean input spaces, like the one considered in this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

We take a new look at parameter estimation for Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs). In particular, we propose using \emph{Riemannian manifold optimization} as a powerful counterpart to Expectation Maximization (EM). An out-of-the-box invocation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-26 Reshad Hosseini , Suvrit Sra

We present a new framework for statistical inference on Riemannian manifolds that achieves high-order accuracy, addressing the challenges posed by non-Euclidean parameter spaces frequently encountered in modern data science. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Chengzhu Huang , Anru R. Zhang

Design of experiments is a fundamental topic in applied statistics with a long history. Yet its application is often limited by the complexity and costliness of constructing experimental designs, which involve searching a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Matthew T. Pratola , C. Devon Lin , Peter F. Craigmile

This paper presents a novel Bayesian strategy for the estimation of smooth signals corrupted by Gaussian noise. The method assumes a smooth evolution of a succession of continuous signals that can have a numerical or an analytical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-12 Abderrahim Halimi , Gerald S. Buller , Steve McLaughlin , Paul Honeine

We consider the problem of learning the level set for which a noisy black-box function exceeds a given threshold. To efficiently reconstruct the level set, we investigate Gaussian process (GP) metamodels. Our focus is on strongly stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Xiong Lyu , Mickael Binois , Michael Ludkovski

Manifold learning methods are useful for high dimensional data analysis. Many of the existing methods produce a low dimensional representation that attempts to describe the intrinsic geometric structure of the original data. Typically, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-07 Oren Barkan , Jonathan Weill , Amir Averbuch

Optimal design is a critical yet challenging task within many applications. This challenge arises from the need for extensive trial and error, often done through simulations or running field experiments. Fortunately, sequential optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Xubo Yue , Raed Al Kontar , Albert S. Berahas , Yang Liu , Blake N. Johnson

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a popular nonparametric Bayesian method that provides predictive uncertainty estimates and is widely used in safety-critical applications. While prior research has introduced various uncertainty bounds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Junyi Liu , Stanley Kok

This paper considers the quantification of the prediction performance in Gaussian process regression. The standard approach is to base the prediction error bars on the theoretical predictive variance, which is a lower bound on the mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-16 Johan Wågberg , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön , Petre Stoica

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

The randomized group-greedy method and its customized method for large-scale sensor selection problems are proposed. The randomized greedy sensor selection algorithm is applied straightforwardly to the group-greedy method, and a customized…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-27 Takayuki Nagata , Keigo Yamada , Kumi Nakai , Yuji Saito , Taku Nonomura

Optimization of sensor selection has been studied to monitor complex and large-scale systems with data-driven linear reduced-order modeling. An algorithm for greedy sensor selection is presented under the assumption of correlated noise in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-14 Keigo Yamada , Yuji Saito , Taku Nonomura , Keisuke Asai

We introduce Bayesian optimization, a technique developed for optimizing time-consuming engineering simulations and for fitting machine learning models on large datasets. Bayesian optimization guides the choice of experiments during…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Peter I. Frazier , Jialei Wang