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We present a meta-algorithm for learning a posterior-inference algorithm for restricted probabilistic programs. Our meta-algorithm takes a training set of probabilistic programs that describe models with observations, and attempts to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Gwonsoo Che , Hongseok Yang

This study addresses the inverse problem of parameter estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) by minimizing a regularized discrepancy functional via Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). To achieve computational efficiency, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Francisco Delgado-Vences , José Julián Pavón-Español , Arelly Ornelas

In this paper, we study the diffusion approximation for slow-fast stochastic differential equations with state-dependent switching, where the slow component $X^{\varepsilon}$ is the solution of a stochastic differential equation with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Xiaobin Sun , Jue Wang , Yingchao Xie

Deep stochastic processes have recently become a central paradigm for image enhancement, with many methods explicitly conditioning the stochastic trajectory on the degraded input. However, the relationship between these conditional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Wojciech Kozłowski , Radosław Kuczbański , Kamil Adamczewski , Karol Szczypkowski , Maciej Zięba

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a robust paradigm for Bayesian deep learning. In DGPs, a set of sparse integration locations called inducing points are selected to approximate the posterior distribution of the model. This is done to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Jian Xu , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

Black-box variational inference (BBVI) with Gaussian mixture families offers a flexible approach for approximating complex posterior distributions without requiring gradients of the target density. However, standard numerical optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Baojun Che , Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Xinying Mao , Weijie Wang

We introduce a lattice random walk discretisation scheme for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) that samples binary or ternary increments at each step, suppressing complex drift and diffusion computations to simple 1 or 2 bit random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Samuel Duffield , Maxwell Aifer , Denis Melanson , Zach Belateche , Patrick J. Coles

Black Box Variational Inference is a promising framework in a succession of recent efforts to make Variational Inference more ``black box". However, in basic version it either fails to converge due to instability or requires some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Dominic B. Dayta

A stochastic hybrid system, also known as a switching diffusion, is a continuous-time Markov process with state space consisting of discrete and continuous parts. We consider parametric estimation of theQmatrix for the discrete state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

Reflected diffusions in polyhedral domains are commonly used as approximate models for stochastic processing networks in heavy traffic. Stationary distributions of such models give useful information on the steady state performance of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Amarjit Budhiraja , Jiang Chen , Sylvain Rubenthaler

In this paper we study model reduction of linear and bilinear quadratic stochastic control problems with parameter uncertainties. Specifically, we consider slow-fast systems with unknown diffusion coefficient and study the convergence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Hafida Bouanani , Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri

An implicit Euler--Maruyama method with non-uniform step-size applied to a class of stochastic partial differential equations is studied. A spectral method is used for the spatial discretization and the truncation of the Wiener process. A…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Yoshihito Kazashi

In structured additive distributional regression, the conditional distribution of the response variables given the covariate information and the vector of model parameters is modelled using a P-parametric probability density function where…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-06 Gianmarco Callegher , Thomas Kneib , Johannes Söding , Paul Wiemann

The phenomena that emerge from the interaction of the stochastic opening and closing of ion channels (channel noise) with the non-linear neural dynamics are essential to our understanding of the operation of the nervous system. The effects…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-29 Patricio Orio , Daniel Soudry

Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Lingkai Kong , Jimeng Sun , Chao Zhang

Deep generative models such as flow matching and diffusion models have shown great potential in learning complex distributions and dynamical systems, but often act as black-boxes, neglecting underlying physics. In contrast, physics-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Gurjeet Sangra Singh , Frantzeska Lavda , Giangiacomo Mercatali , Alexandros Kalousis

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

Parameter estimation for a parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation in one space dimension is studied observing the solution field on a discrete grid in a fixed bounded domain. Considering an infill asymptotic regime in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Florian Hildebrandt , Mathias Trabs

We study an identification problem which estimates the parameters of the underlying random distribution for uncertain scalar conservation laws. The hyperbolic equations are discretized with the so-called discontinuous stochastic Galerkin…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-18 Louisa Schlachter , Claudia Totzeck