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Related papers: Lower tail of the KPZ equation

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We consider the upper and lower tail probabilities for the centered (by time$/24$) and scaled (according to KPZ time$^{1/3}$ scaling) one-point distribution of the Cole-Hopf solution of the KPZ equation when started with initial data drawn…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Ivan Corwin , Promit Ghosal

We establish the first tight bound on the lower tail probability of the half-space KPZ equation with Neumann boundary parameter $A = -1/2$ and narrow-wedge initial data. When the tail depth is of order $T^{2/3}$, the lower bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Yujin H. Kim

The one-point distribution of the height for the continuum Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation is determined numerically using the mapping to the directed polymer in a random potential at high temperature. Using an importance sampling…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-05-24 Alexander K. Hartmann , Pierre Le Doussal , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Gregory Schehr

In this paper we consider the limiting distribution of KPZ growth models with random but not stationary initial conditions introduced in [Chhita-Ferrari-Spohn 2018]. The one-point distribution of the limit is given in terms of a variational…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Patrik L. Ferrari , Bálint Vető

Consider the Hopf--Cole solution $ h(t,x) $ of the KPZ equation with narrow wedge initial condition. Regarding $ t\to\infty $ as a scaling parameter, we provide the first rigorous proof of the Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Li-Cheng Tsai

We study deviation of U-statistics when samples have heavy-tailed distribution so the kernel of the U-statistic does not have bounded exponential moments at any positive point. We obtain an exponential upper bound for the tail of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Milad Bakhshizadeh

We derive simple but nearly tight upper and lower bounds for the binomial lower tail probability (with straightforward generalization to the upper tail probability) that apply to the whole parameter regime. These bounds are easy to compute…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Huangjun Zhu , Zihao Li , Masahito Hayashi

We prove several facts concerning Lipschitz percolation, including the following. The critical probability p_L for the existence of an open Lipschitz surface in site percolation on Z^d with d\ge 2 satisfies the improved bound p_L \le…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-23 Geoffrey R. Grimmett , Alexander E. Holroyd

In this paper, we establish the first large deviation bounds for the Airy point process. The proof is based on a novel approach which relies upon the approximation of the Airy point process using the Gaussian unitary ensemble (GUE) up to an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Chenyang Zhong

This work studies the tail exponents for the height function of the stationary stochastic six vertex model in the moderate deviations regime. For the upper tail of the height function we find upper and lower bounds of matching order, with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Benjamin Landon , Philippe Sosoe

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

The KPZ fixed point is a (1+1)-dimensional space-time random field conjectured to be the universal limit for models within the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) universality class. We consider the KPZ fixed point with the narrow-wedge initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Zhipeng Liu , Ruixuan Zhang

We present a proof of an upper tail bound of the correct order (up to a constant factor in the exponent) in two classes of stationary models in the KPZ universality class. The proof is based on an exponential identity due to Rains in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Benjamin Landon , Philippe Sosoe

We derive upper bounds for probabilities of the form $P(g(\mathbf{X})\geq t)$ using the southwest boundary (recently introduced in our previous work) $\partial_{\mathrm{SW}} Q(g^{-1}[t,\infty))$, where $Q$ is a reflection to the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Stephen Jordan Harrison

In this paper, we consider the KPZ equation under the weak noise scaling. That is, we introduce a small parameter $\sqrt{\varepsilon}$ in front of the noise and let $\varepsilon \to 0$. We prove that the one-point large deviation rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Pierre Yves Gaudreau Lamarre , Yier Lin , Li-Cheng Tsai

We study the long-time regime of the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation in $1+1$ dimensions for the Brownian and droplet initial conditions and present a simple derivation of the tail of the large deviations of the height on the negative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-21 Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal

We consider the tail distribution of the edge cover time of a specific non-Markov process, $\delta$ once-reinforced random walk, on finite connected graphs, whose transition probability is proportional to weights of edges. Here the weights…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Xiangyu Huang , Yong Liu , Kainan Xiang

In high dimensional percolation at parameter $p < p_c$, the one-arm probability $\pi_p(n)$ is known to decay exponentially on scale $(p_c - p)^{-1/2}$. We show the same statement for the ratio $\pi_p(n) / \pi_{p_c}(n)$, establishing a form…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-02 Shirshendu Chatterjee , Jack Hanson , Philippe Sosoe

In this work, we investigate how to develop sharp concentration inequalities for sub-Weibull random variables, including sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential distributions. Although the random variables may not be sub-Guassian, the tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Yinan Shen , Jinchi Lv

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson
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