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We consider the forecast aggregation problem in repeated settings, where the forecasts are done on a binary event. At each period multiple experts provide forecasts about an event. The goal of the aggregator is to aggregate those forecasts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Yakov Babichenko , Dan Garber

We study batched bandit experiments and consider the problem of inference conditional on the realized stopping time, assignment probabilities, and target parameter, where all of these may be chosen adaptively using information up to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jiafeng Chen , Isaiah Andrews

The regulation of metabolic activity by tuning enzyme expression levels is crucial to sustain cellular growth in changing environments. Metabolic networks are often studied at steady state using constraint-based models and optimization…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-24 Steffen Waldherr , Diego A. Oyarzún , Alexander Bockmayr

A framework is proposed that addresses both conditional density estimation and latent variable discovery. The objective function maximizes explanation of variability in the data, achieved through the optimal transport barycenter generalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Hongkang Yang , Esteban G. Tabak

Parental origin effects play an important role in mammal development and disorder. Case-control mother-child pair genotype data can be used to detect parental origin effects and is often convenient to collect in practice. Most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Yuang Tian , Hong Zhang , Alexandre Bureau , Hagit Hochner , Jinbo Chen

We study a mutation-selection model with a fluctuating environment. More precisely, individuals in a large population are assumed to have a modifier locus determining the mutation rate $u \in [0,\vartheta]$ at a second locus with types $v…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Franz Baumdicker , Elisabeth Huss , Peter Pfaffelhuber

Empirical evidence suggesting that living systems might operate in the vicinity of critical points, at the borderline between order and disorder, has proliferated in recent years, with examples ranging from spontaneous brain activity to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-07-25 Jorge Hidalgo , Jacopo Grilli , Samir Suweis , Miguel A. Munoz , Jayanth R. Banavar , Amos Maritan

Biotechnology offers many opportunities for the sustainable manufacturing of valuable products. The toolbox to optimize bioprocesses includes \textit{extracellular} process elements such as the bioreactor design and mode of operation,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Sebastián Espinel-Ríos , Bruno Morabito , Johannes Pohlodek , Katja Bettenbrock , Steffen Klamt , Rolf Findeisen

Consider a species whose population density solves the steady diffusive logistic equation in a heterogeneous environment modeled with the help of a spatially non constant coefficient standing for a resources distribution in a given box. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Idriss Mazari , Grégoire Nadin , Yannick Privat

We study emergent information in populations of randomly generated networked computable systems that follow a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible contagion (or infection) model of imitation of the fittest neighbor. These networks have a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-12-17 Felipe S. Abrahão , Klaus Wehmuth , Artur Ziviani

Identifying undocumented or potential future interactions among species is a challenge facing modern ecologists. Recent link prediction methods rely on trait data, however large species interaction databases are typically sparse and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Mohamad Elmasri , Maxwell J. Farrell , T. Jonathan Davies , David A. Stephens

Optimal Learning Machines (OLM) are systems that extract maximally informative representation of the environment they are in contact with, or of the data they are presented. It has recently been suggested that these systems are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-29 Matteo Marsili

Information maximization has been investigated as a possible mechanism of learning governing the self-organization that occurs within the neural systems of animals. Within the general context of models of neural systems bidirectionally…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-11-18 Takashi Hayakawa , Toshio Aoyagi

As automatic optimization techniques find their way into industrial applications, the behavior of many complex systems is determined by some form of planner picking the right actions to optimize a given objective function. In many cases,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Thomas Gabor , Lenz Belzner , Thomy Phan , Kyrill Schmid

In this paper, we analyze the optimal management of local memory systems, using the tools of stationary point processes. We provide a rigorous setting of the problem, building upon recent work, and characterize the optimal causal policy…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Matias Carrasco , Andres Ferragut , Fernando Paganini

Populations of isogenic embryonic stem cells or clonal bacteria often exhibit extensive phenotypic heterogeneity which arises from stochastic intrinsic dynamics of cells. The internal state of the cell can be transmitted epigenetically in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Sahand Hormoz , Nicolas Desprat , Boris I. Shraiman

Metagenomics has revealed hundreds of bacterial species in almost all microbiota. In a few well-studied cases, bacterial communities have been observed to coordinate their metabolic fluxes. In principle, bacteria can divide tasks to reap…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-12 Thibaud Taillefumier , Anna Posfai , Yigal Meir , Ned S. Wingreen

Selective labels are a common feature of consequential decision-making applications, referring to the lack of observed outcomes under one of the possible decisions. This paper reports work in progress on learning decision policies in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Dennis Wei

We are witnessing an increasing use of data-driven predictive models to inform decisions. As decisions have implications for individuals and society, there is increasing pressure on decision makers to be transparent about their decision…

Identifying viral pathogens and characterizing their transmission is essential to developing effective public health measures in response to a pandemic. Phylogenetics, though currently the most popular tool used to characterize the likely…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-28 Anil Raj , Michael Dewar , Gustavo Palacios , Raul Rabadan , Chris H. Wiggins