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Populations evolving in fluctuating environments face the fundamental challenge of balancing adaptation to current conditions against preparation for uncertain futures. Here, we study microbial evolution in partially predictable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-04 Roaa Mohmmed Yagb Omer , Onofrio Mazzarisi , Martina Dal Bello , Jacopo Grilli

Organisms and ecological groups accumulate evidence to make decisions. Classic experiments and theoretical studies have explored this process when the correct choice is fixed during each trial. However, we live in a constantly changing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-01 Alan Veliz-Cuba , Zachary P. Kilpatrick , Kresimir Josic

Ecological and evolutionary dynamics have been historically regarded as unfolding at broadly separated timescales. However, these two types of processes are nowadays well documented to much more tightly than traditionally assumed,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 José Camacho Mateu , Matteo Sireci , Miguel A. Muñoz

Organisms adapt to fluctuating environments by regulating their dynamics, and by adjusting their phenotypes to environmental changes. We model population growth using multitype branching processes in random environments, where the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-08 Clément Dombry , Christian Mazza , Vincent Bansaye

Stochastic multiplicative dynamics characterize many complex natural phenomena such as selection and mutation in evolving populations, and the generation and distribution of wealth within social systems. Population heterogeneity in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-21 Jordan T. Kemp , Luís M. A. Bettencourt

We built a two-state model of an asexually reproducing organism in a periodic environment endowed with the capability to anticipate an upcoming environmental change and undergo pre-emptive switching. By virtue of these anticipatory…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-26 D. V. Arjun , Pallab Basu , Sayak Mukherjee

We study the average asymptotic growth rate of cells in randomly fluctuating environments, with multiple viable phenotypes per environment. We show that any information processing strategy has an asymptotic growth rate, which is the sum of:…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-03-13 Rami Pugatch , Naama Barkai , Tsvi Tlusty

Fluctuating environments pose tremendous challenges to bacterial populations. It is observed in numerous bacterial species that individual cells can stochastically switch among multiple phenotypes for the population to survive in rapidly…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-20 Chen Jia , Min-Ping Qian , Yu Kang , Da-Quan Jiang

In an information-processing investment game, such as the growth of a population of organisms in a changing environment, Kelly betting maximizes the expected log rate of growth. In this paper, we show that Kelly bets are closely related to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Alexander S. Moffett , Andrew W. Eckford

With the astonishing rate that the genomic and metagenomic sequence data sets are accumulating, there are many reasons to constrain the data analyses. One approach to such constrained analyses is to focus on select subsets of gene families…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-05 Dongying Wu , Guillaume Jospin , Jonathan A. Eisen

Motivated by the problem of estimating the bacterial growth rates for genome assemblies from shotgun metagenomic data, we consider the permuted monotone matrix model $Y=\Theta\Pi+Z$, where $Y\in \mathbb{R}^{n\times p}$ is observed,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Rong Ma , T. Tony Cai , Hongzhe Li

In order to increase their robustness against environmental fluctuations, many biological populations have developed bet-hedging mechanisms in which the population `bets' against the presence of prolonged favorable environmental conditions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-01 Masaki Ogura , Masashi Wakaiki , Victor M. Preciado

Hundreds of Evolutionary Computation approaches have been reported. From an evolutionary perspective they focus on two fundamental mechanisms: cultural inheritance in Swarm Intelligence and genetic inheritance in Evolutionary Algorithms.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Sizhe Yuen , Thomas H. G. Ezard , Adam J. Sobey

Environmental fluctuations can shape replicator dynamics, with important consequences for both prebiotic and modern ecosystems. However, it remains unclear how simple replicators can acquire and use information about fluctuating…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Jordi Piñero , Damian R. Sowinski , Gourab Ghoshal , Adam Frank , Artemy Kolchinsky

Cells maintain a stable size as they grow and divide. Inspired by the available experimental data, most proposed models for size homeostasis assume size control mechanisms that act on a timescale of one generation. Such mechanisms lead to…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-05-25 Motasem ElGamel , Harsh Vashistha , Hanna Salman , Andrew Mugler

Despite major environmental and genetic differences, microbial metabolic networks are known to generate consistent physiological outcomes across vastly different organisms. This remarkable robustness suggests that, at least in bacteria,…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-24 Anna Paola Muntoni , Alfredo Braunstein , Andrea Pagnani , Daniele De Martino , Andrea De Martino

Biological systems are promising substrates for computation because they naturally process environmental information through complex internal dynamics. In this study, we investigate whether bacterial metabolic models can act as physical…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Laura Alonso Bartolomé , Jean-Loup Faulon , Xavier Hinaut

The growth rate of organisms depends both on external conditions and on internal states, such as the expression levels of various genes. We show that to achieve a criterion mean growth rate over an ensemble of conditions, the internal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-31 Samuel F. Taylor , Naftali Tishby , William Bialek

Biological organisms have to cope with stochastic variations in both the external environment and the internal population dynamics. Theoretical studies and laboratory experiments suggest that population diversification could be an effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-13 BingKan Xue , Stanislas Leibler

A population of individuals with the same genes can present heterogeneous traits (phenotypes). The prevalence of this heterogeneity can be explained as a bet-hedging strategy that improves the population proliferation rate (fitness) in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-04 Poulami Chatterjee , Cesar Nieto , Juan Manuel Pedraza , Abhyudai Singh