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Due to lack of scientific understanding, some mechanisms may be missing in mathematical modeling of complex phenomena in science and engineering. These mathematical models thus contain some uncertainties such as uncertain parameters. One…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Guowei He

Despite the massive advancements in large language models (LLMs), they still suffer from producing plausible but incorrect responses. To improve the reliability of LLMs, recent research has focused on uncertainty quantification to predict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Yongjin Yang , Haneul Yoo , Hwaran Lee

Embodied carbon footprint modeling has become an area of growing interest due to its significant contribution to carbon emissions in computing. However, the deterministic nature of the existing models fail to account for the spatial and…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Xuesi Chen , Leo Han , Anvita Bhagavathula , Udit Gupta

Probabilistic graphical models are a fundamental tool in probabilistic modeling, machine learning and artificial intelligence. They allow us to integrate in a natural way expert knowledge, physical modeling, heterogeneous and correlated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Panagiota Birmpa , Jinchao Feng , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

The work focuses on gathering high-fidelity and low-fidelity numerical simulations data using Nektar++ (Solver based on Applied Mathematics) and XFOIL respectively. The utilization of the higher polynomial distribution in calculating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Swapnil Kumar

Geothermal field modeling is often associated with uncertainties related to the subsurface static properties and the dynamics of fluid flow and heat transfer. Uncertainty quantification using simulations is a useful tool to design optimum…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-13 Hussein Hoteit , Xupeng He , Bicheng Yan , Volker Vahrenkam

A thermophysical model is developed that can predict the properties of two lignin mixtures, black liquor and lignosulfonates, up to 50% mass fractions, at hydrothermal conditions. An uncertainty quantification framework linked with classic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-28 A. Dinis S. Nunes , José Sierra-Pallares , Khanh-Quang Tran , R. Jason Hearst

The advent of fabrication techniques like additive manufacturing has focused attention on the considerable variability of material response due to defects and other micro-structural aspects. This variability motivates the development of an…

Applied Physics · Physics 2018-02-06 F. Rizzi , R. E. Jones , J. A. Templeton , J. T. Ostien , B. L. Boyce

In order to better comprehend the global carbon cycle and predict the prognosis for the response to climate change, accurate assessment of sea-air CO2 flux is necessary. Comparing to the relative homogeneously distribution of atmospheric…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-02-13 Xiang Li , Minhan Dai , Guizhi Wang

The uncertainty quantifications of theoretical results are of great importance to make meaningful comparisons of those results with experimental data and to make predictions in experimentally unknown regions. By quantifying uncertainties,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-12-10 Sota Yoshida , Noritaka Shimizu , Tomoaki Togashi , Takaharu Otsuka

This study presents a Bayesian framework for (inverse) uncertainty quantification and parameter estimation in a two-step Chemical Vapor Deposition coating process using production data. We develop an XGBoost surrogate model that maps…

We present an efficient approach to quantify the uncertainties associated with the numerical simulations of the laser-based powder bed fusion of metals processes. Our study focuses on a thermomechanical model of an Inconel 625 cantilever…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Mihaela Chiappetta , Chiara Piazzola , Lorenzo Tamellini , Alessandro Reali , Ferdinando Auricchio , Massimo Carraturo

We report an evaluation of a semi-empirical quantum chemical method PM7 from the perspective of uncertainty quantification. Specifically, we apply Bound-to-Bound Data Collaboration, an uncertainty quantification framework, to characterize…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-09-17 James Oreluk , Zhenyuan Liu , Arun Hegde , Wenyu Li , Andrew Packard , Michael Frenklach , Dmitry Zubarev

In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach to quantify safety for non-linear, discrete-time stochastic systems with unknown noise distribution. We define safety as the probability that the system remains in a given region of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-10 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Licio Romao , Simeon C. Calvert , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

We present a new statistically driven method for analyzing the modeling of geophysical flows. Many models have been advocated by different modelers for such flows incorporating different modeling assumptions. Limited and sparse…

In principle, deep learning models trained on medical time-series, including wearable photoplethysmography (PPG) sensor data, can provide a means to continuously monitor physiological parameters outside of clinical settings. However, there…

Modern autonomous systems with machine learning components often use uncertainty quantification to help produce assurances about system operation. However, there is a lack of consensus in the community on what uncertainty is and how to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Sampada Deglurkar , Haotian Shen , Anish Muthali , Marco Pavone , Dragos Margineantu , Peter Karkus , Boris Ivanovic , Claire J. Tomlin

In this paper, we present an approach for designing correct-by-design controllers for cyber-physical systems composed of multiple dynamically interconnected uncertain systems. We consider networked discrete-time uncertain nonlinear systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-06 Oliver Schön , Birgit van Huijgevoort , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani
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