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In this paper we explore mathematical tools that can be used to relate directed and undirected random graph models to each other. We identify probability spaces on which a directed and an undirected graph model are equivalent, and…
The large majority of inferences drawn in empirical political research follow from model-based associations (e.g. regression). Here, we articulate the benefits of predictive modeling as a complement to this approach. Predictive models aim…
We consider the problem of model building for rare events prediction in longitudinal follow-up studies. In this paper, we compare several resampling methods to improve standard regression models on a real life example. We evaluate the…
In this article, recent results about point processes are used in sampling theory. Precisely, we define and study a new class of sampling designs: determinantal sampling designs. The law of such designs is known, and there exists a simple…
The class of norm-dependent Random Matrix Ensembles is studied in the presence of an external field. The probability density in those ensembles depends on the trace of the squared random matrices, but is otherwise arbitrary. An exact…
We study the geometry of spaces of planes on smooth complete intersections of three quadrics, with a view toward rationality questions.
Many classification problems require decisions among a large number of competing classes. These tasks, however, are not handled well by general purpose learning methods and are usually addressed in an ad-hoc fashion. We suggest a general…
Collective classification models attempt to improve classification performance by taking into account the class labels of related instances. However, they tend not to learn patterns of interactions between classes and/or make the assumption…
A method is presented for estimating the background at a given location on a sky map by interpolating the estimated background from a set of concentric annuli which surround this location. If the background is nonuniform but smoothly…
Extracting planes from a 3D scene is useful for downstream tasks in robotics and augmented reality. In this paper we tackle the problem of estimating the planar surfaces in a scene from posed images. Our first finding is that a surprisingly…
We use a probabilistic interpretation of solid angles to generalize the well-known fact that the inner angles of a triangle sum to 180 degrees. For the 3-dimensional case, we show that the sum of the solid inner vertex angles of a…
Given a parametric polynomial curve $\gamma:[a,b]\rightarrow \mathbb{R}^n$, how can we sample a random point $\mathfrak{x}\in \mathrm{im}(\gamma)$ in such a way that it is distributed uniformly with respect to the arc-length? Unfortunately,…
We establish a relationship between the two important central lines of the triangle, the Euler line and the Brocard axis, in a configuration with an arbitrary rectangle and a random point. The classical Cartesian coordinate system method…
Descriptive statistics for parametric models are currently highly sensative to departures, gross errors, and/or random errors. Here, leveraging the structures of parametric distributions and their central moment kernel distributions, a…
Suppose an interval is put on a horizontal line with random roughness. With probability one it is supported at two points, one from the left, and another from the right from its center. We compute probability distribution of support points…
A fundamental challenge in causal inference with observational data is correct specification of a causal model. When there is model uncertainty, analysts may seek to use estimates from multiple candidate models that rely on distinct, and…
Training in machine learning generally consists in finding one model, whose parameters minimize a data-dependent loss. Yet, empirical work shows that ensemble learning, an approach in which multiple models are sampled, can improve…
The trinomial transform of a sequence is a generalization of the well-known binomial transform, replacing binomial coefficients with trinomial coefficients. We examine Pascal-like triangles under trinomial transform, focusing on the ternary…
We consider the problem of jointly training structured models for extraction from sources whose instances enjoy partial overlap. This has important applications like user-driven ad-hoc information extraction on the web. Such applications…
Real-world road networks have an approximate scale-invariance property; can one devise mathematical models of random networks whose distributions are {\em exactly} invariant under Euclidean scaling? This requires working in the continuum…