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For general, almost surely absorbed Markov processes, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-25 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We study the long time behaviour of a Markov process evolving in $\mathbb{N}$ and conditioned not to hit 0. Assuming that the process comes back quickly from infinity, we prove that the process admits a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-04 Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin , Denis Villemonais

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In the setting of stochastic dynamical systems that eventually go extinct, the quasi-stationary distributions are useful to understand the long-term behavior of a system before evanescence. For a broad class of applicable continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusion processes with killing on $[0,\infty)$. We obtain criteria for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-12 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider a Markov process $ X(t) $ on the nonnegative integers $E= S \cup \{0\}$, where $S=\{1,2,...\}$ is an irreducible class and 0 is an absorbing state. In this paper, we investigate conditions under which the quasi-stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Hanjun Zhang , Pengwen Guo , Yixia Zhu

Subcritical population processes are attracted to extinction and do not have non-trivial stationary distributions, which prompts the study of quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) instead. In contrast to what generally happens for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Pablo Groisman , Leonardo T. Rolla , Célio Terra

We consider general Markov processes with absorption and provide criteria ensuring the exponential convergence in total variation of the distribution of the process conditioned not to be absorbed. The first one is based on two-sided…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Koléhè Coulibaly-Pasquier , Denis Villemonais

The first aim of the present note is to quantify the speed of convergence of a conditioned process toward its Q-process under suitable assumptions on the quasi-stationary distribution of the process. Conversely, we prove that, if a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

For a time-changed symmetric $\alpha$-stable process killed upon hitting zero, under the condition of entrance from infinity, we prove the existence and uniqueness of quasi-stationary distribution (QSD). The exponential convergence to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Zhe-Kang Fang , Yong-Hua Mao , Tao Wang

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusions. We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total variation,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-03 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In this paper, we study the quasi-stationary behavior of the one-dimensional diffusion process with a regular or exit boundary at 0 and an entrance boundary at $\infty$. By using the Doob's $h$-transform, we show that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Guoman He , Hanjun Zhang

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We investigate some asymptotic properties of general Markov processes conditioned not to be absorbed by moving boundaries. We first give general criteria involving an exponential convergence towards the Q-process, that is the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 William Oçafrain

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal

We study a class of multi-species birth-and-death processes going almost surely to extinction and admitting a unique quasi-stationary distribution (qsd for short). When rescaled by $K$ and in the limit $K\to+\infty$, the realizations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Martínez , S. Méléard

This paper tackles the issue of establishing a lower-bound on the asymptotic ratio of survival probabilities between two different initial conditions, asymptotically in time for a given Markov process with extinction. Such a comparison is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-12 Aurélien Velleret

The present paper is devoted to the investigation of the long term behavior of a class of singular multi-dimensional diffusion processes that get absorbed in finite time with probability one. Our focus is on the analysis of quasi-stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Alexandru Hening , Weiwei Qi , Zhongwei Shen , Yingfei Yi
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