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We study the problem of learning unknown parameters in stochastic interacting particle systems with polynomial drift, interaction and diffusion functions from the path of one single particle in the system. Our estimator is obtained by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

We consider a $N$-particle interacting particle system with the vision geometrical constraints and reflected noises, proposed as a model for collective behavior of individuals. We rigorously derive a continuity-type of mean-field equation…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Young-Pil Choi , Samir Salem

A system of interacting Brownian particles subject to short-range repulsive potentials is considered. A continuum description in the form of a nonlinear diffusion equation is derived systematically in the dilute limit using the method of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-12 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman , Martin Robinson

This paper presents a new parameter estimation method for It\^{o} diffusions such that the resulting model predicts the equilibrium statistics as well as the sensitivities of the underlying system to external disturbances. Our formulation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 John Harlim , Xiantao Li , He Zhang

In this paper, we consider the problem of joint parameter estimation for drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation and for the associated system of interacting particles. The analysis is provided in a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Chiara Amorino , Akram Heidari , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

This paper delves into a nonparametric estimation approach for the interaction function within diffusion-type particle system models. We introduce two estimation methods based upon an empirical risk minimization. Our study encompasses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Denis Belomestny , Mark Podolskij , Shi-Yuan Zhou

We address the problem of estimating the drift parameter in a system of $N$ interacting particles driven by additive fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index \( H \geq 1/2 \). Considering continuous observation of the interacting particles…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Chiara Amorino , Ivan Nourdin , Radomyra Shevchenko

We introduce a new method for online parameter estimation in stochastic interacting particle systems, based on continuous observation of a small number of particles from the system. Our method recursively updates the model parameters using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Hypoelliptic diffusion processes can be used to model a variety of phenomena in applications ranging from molecular dynamics to audio signal analysis. We study parameter estimation for such processes in situations where we observe some…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-30 Y. Pokern , A. M. Stuart , P. Wiberg

In this paper, a diffusion-aggregation equation with delta potential is introduced. Based on the global existence and uniform estimates of solutions to the diffusion-aggregation equation, we also provide the rigorous derivation from a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Li Chen , Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Dmytro Ivanenko , Rostyslav Pogorielov

We derive a class of multi-species aggregation-diffusion systems from stochastic interacting particle systems via relative entropy method with quantitative bounds. We show an algebraic $L^1$-convergence result using moderately interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 José Antonio Carrillo , Shuchen Guo , Alexandra Holzinger

We introduce a novel particle-based algorithm for end-to-end training of latent diffusion models. We reformulate the training task as minimizing a free energy functional and obtain a gradient flow that does so. By approximating the latter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Tim Y. J. Wang , Juan Kuntz , O. Deniz Akyildiz

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

We introduce a nonparametric algorithm to learn interaction kernels of mean-field equations for 1st-order systems of interacting particles. The data consist of discrete space-time observations of the solution. By least squares with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-30 Quanjun Lang , Fei Lu

We construct the "expected signature matching" estimator for differential equations driven by rough paths and we prove its consistency and asymptotic normality. We use it to estimate parameters of a diffusion and a fractional diffusions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-16 Anastasia Papavasiliou , Christophe Ladroue

We study the problem of parameter estimation for large exchangeable interacting particle systems when a sample of discrete observations from a single particle is known. We propose a novel method based on martingale estimating functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Shogo H Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida
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