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Flexible continuous-time survival modeling is critical for capturing complex time-varying hazard dynamics in high-dimensional data; however, training such models remains challenging due to the intractable integral required for likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Chaeyeon Lee , Sehwan Kim , Hyungrok Do

In clinical and epidemiological studies, hazard ratios are often applied to compare treatment effects between two groups for survival data. For competing risks data, the corresponding quantities of interest are cause-specific hazard ratios…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-21 Hongji Wu , Hao Yuan , Zijing Yang , Yawen Hou , Zheng Chen

The restricted mean survival time (RMST) model has been garnering attention as a way to provide a clinically intuitive measure: the mean survival time. RMST models, which use methods based on pseudo time-to-event values and inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Keisuke Hanada , Masahiro Kojima

In longitudinal studies, time-varying covariates are often endogenous, meaning their values depend on both their own history and that of the outcome variable. This violates key assumptions of Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models (GLMMs),…

Researchers are often interested in estimating effects of generalized time-varying treatment strategies on the mean of an outcome at one or more selected follow-up times of interest. For example, the Medications and Weight Gain in PCORnet…

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) offers a compelling nonparametric alternative to hazard ratios for right-censored time-to-event data, particularly when the proportional hazards assumption is violated. By capturing the total event-free…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Jinghao Sun , Douglas E. Schaubel , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

When examining a contrast between two interventions, longitudinal causal inference studies frequently encounter positivity violations when one or both regimes are impossible to observe for some subjects. Existing weighting methods either…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Alec McClean , Iván Díaz

Hazard ratios are ubiquitously used in time to event analysis to quantify treatment effects. Although hazard ratios are invaluable for hypothesis testing, other measures of association, both relative and absolute, may be used to fully…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-02 Federico Ambrogi , Simona Iacobelli , Per Kragh Andersen

Medication adherence is essential to ensure treatment effectiveness, but too often in routine care non-adherence compromises the desired outcome. We explore longitudinal causal modelling using observational data to estimate the time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Xiaoran Liang , Deniz Türkmen , Jane A H Masoli , Luke C Pilling , Jack Bowden

Additive regression models have a long history in multivariate nonparametric regression. They provide a model in which each regression function depends only on a single explanatory variable allowing to obtain estimators at the optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Graciela Boente , Alejandra Martinez

In the absence of data from a randomized trial, researchers often aim to use observational data to draw causal inference about the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome. In this context, interest often focuses on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Ted Westling , Alex Luedtke , Peter Gilbert , Marco Carone

Survival analysis, or time-to-event analysis, is an important and widespread problem in healthcare research. Medical research has traditionally relied on Cox models for survival analysis, due to their simplicity and interpretability. Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Mike Van Ness , Tomas Bosschieter , Natasha Din , Andrew Ambrosy , Alexander Sandhu , Madeleine Udell

In time-to-event settings, g-computation and doubly robust estimators are based on discrete-time data. However, many biological processes are evolving continuously over time. In this paper, we extend the g-computation and the doubly robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 A. Chatton , F. Le Borgne , C. Leyrat , Y. Foucher

In this work, we study the weighted empirical risk minimization (weighted ERM) schema, in which an additional data-dependent weight function is incorporated when the empirical risk function is being minimized. We show that under a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yikai Zhang , Jiahe Lin , Fengpei Li , Songzhu Zheng , Anant Raj , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Two of the principle tasks of causal inference are to define and estimate the effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest. Formally, such treatment effects are defined as a possibly functional summary of the data generating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Herbert Susmann , Antoine Chambaz

A major limitation of machine learning (ML) prediction models is that they recover associational, rather than causal, predictive relationships between variables. In high-stakes automation applications of ML this is problematic, as the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Jianqiao Mao , Max A. Little

What can be considered an appropriate statistical method for the primary analysis of a randomized clinical trial (RCT) with a time-to-event endpoint when we anticipate non-proportional hazards owing to a delayed effect? This question has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 José L. Jiménez , Isobel Barrott , Francesca Gasperoni , Dominic Magirr

The problem of situational awareness (SAW) is investigated from the probabilistic modeling point of view. Taking the situation as a hidden variable, we introduce a hidden Markov model (HMM) and an extended state space model (ESSM) to…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-08 Bin Liu

Survival models are a popular tool for the analysis of time to event data with applications in medicine, engineering, economics, and many more. Advances like the Cox proportional hazard model have enabled researchers to better describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Stefan Groha , Sebastian M Schmon , Alexander Gusev

This manuscript presents an innovative statistical model to quantify periodontal disease in the context of complex medical data. A mixed-effects model incorporating skewed random effects and heavy-tailed residuals is introduced, ensuring…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Qingyang Liu , Debdeep Pati , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay
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