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An inhomogeneous first--order integer--valued autoregressive (INAR(1)) process is investigated, where the autoregressive type coefficient slowly converges to one. It is shown that the process converges weakly to a Poisson or a compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 László Györfi , Márton Ispány , Gyula Pap , Katalin Varga

An extension of the RINAR(1) process for modelling discrete-time dependent counting processes is considered. The model RINAR(p) investigated here is a direct and natural extension of the real AR(p) model. Compared to classical INAR(p)…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-11 M. Kachour

Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the underdispersion and overdispersion. In this paper, we develop two extensions of the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations, based on binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Marcelo Bourguignon , Josemar Rodrigues , Manoel Santos-Neto

Guerrero et al. \cite{GBSO} propose a novel approach to building first-order integer-valued autoregressive (\inar1) models based on the concept of thinning. The standard approach requires that the thinning operator be defined first and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Nadjib Bouzar

Strictly stationary INAR(1) ("integer-valued autoregressive processes of order 1") with Poisson innovations are "interlaced rho-mixing".

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Richard C. Bradley

In this paper, we introduce a new first-order mixture integer-valued threshold autoregressive process, based on the binomial and negative binomial thinning operators. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-06 Danshu Sheng , Dehui Wang , Liuquan Sun

INteger Auto-Regressive (INAR) processes are usually defined by specifying the innovations and the operator, which often leads to difficulties in deriving marginal properties of the process. In many practical situations, a major modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Matheus B. Guerrero , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Hernando Ombao

Most of the stationary first-order autoregressive integer-valued (INAR(1)) models were developed for a given thinning operator using either the forward approach or the backward approach. In the forward approach the marginal distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-22 Emad-Eldin AA Aly , Nadjib Bouzar

In this paper, we present a fractional decomposition of the probability generating function of the innovation process of the first-order non-negative integer-valued autoregressive [INAR(1)] process to obtain the corresponding probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Josemar Rodrigues , Marcelo Bourguignon , Manoel Santos-Neto , N. Balakrishnan

We introduce a two-parameter expectation thinning operator based on a linear fractional probability generating function. The operator is then used to define a first-order integer-valued autoregressive \inar1 process. Distributional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Emad-Eldin A. A. Aly , Nadjib Bouzar

In the fields of sociology and economics, the modeling of matrix-variate integervalued time series is urgent. However, no prior studies have addressed the modeling of such data. To address this topic, this paper proposes a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Nuo Xu , Kai Yang , Fukang Zhu

A popular and flexible time series model for counts is the generalized integer autoregressive process of order $p$, GINAR($p$). These Markov processes are defined using thinning operators evaluated on past values of the process along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Pashmeen Kaur , Peter F. Craigmile

A new integer--valued autoregressive process (INAR) with Generalised Lagrangian Katz (GLK) innovations is defined. This process family provides a flexible modelling framework for count data, allowing for under and over--dispersion,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-18 Ovielt Baltodano Lopez , Federico Bassetti , Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin

In this paper, a new bivariate random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive process based on modified negative binomial operator with dependent innovations is proposed. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Yixuan Fan , Dehui Wang

Integer-valued time series models have been a recurrent theme considered in many papers in the last three decades, but only a few of them have dealt with models on $\mathbb Z$ (that is, including both negative and positive integers). Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-04 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Marcelo Bourguignon

In Fernandez-Fontelo et al (Statis. Med. 2016, DOI 10.1002/sim.7026) hidden integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) processes are used to estimate reporting probabilities for various diseases. In this comment it is demonstrated that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-01 Johannes Bracher

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of strictly stationary INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient $\alpha\in(0,1)$ and with idiosyncratic Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Matyas Barczy , Fanni Nedényi , Gyula Pap

Existing integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) models for count random fields suffer from difficulties in characterizing the stationary marginal distribution and in computing conditional probabilities (as required for likelihood inference).…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Christian H. Weiß , Angelika Silbernagel

Outlying observations are commonly encountered in the analysis of time series. In this paper the problem of detecting additive outliers in integer-valued time series is considered. We show how Gibbs sampling can be used to detect outlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-01 Maria Eduarda Silva , Isabel Pereira

The random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive process was introduced by Zheng, Basawa, and Datta. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of this model (in particular, weak limits of extreme values and the growth rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-17 Zheng Zhong , Alexander Roitershtein
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