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Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

Kernel based regularized interpolation is a well known technique to approximate a continuous multivariate function using a set of scattered data points and the corresponding function evaluations, or data values. This method has some…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-26 Gabriele Santin , Dominik Wittwar , Bernard Haasdonk

Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Katharine Fisher , Youssef Marzouk

Gaussian processes are powerful models for probabilistic machine learning, but are limited in application by their $O(N^3)$ inference complexity. We propose a method for deriving parametric families of kernel functions with compact spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Jarred Barber

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

In supervised learning with distributional inputs in the two-stage sampling setup, relevant to applications like learning-based medical screening or causal learning, the inputs (which are probability distributions) are not accessible in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Christian Fiedler

Variational autoencoders (VAE) are a powerful and widely-used class of models to learn complex data distributions in an unsupervised fashion. One important limitation of VAEs is the prior assumption that latent sample representations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Francesco Paolo Casale , Adrian V Dalca , Luca Saglietti , Jennifer Listgarten , Nicolo Fusi

Diffusion processes are a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) providing a rich family of expressive models that arise naturally in dynamic modelling tasks. Probabilistic inference and learning under generative models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Prakhar Verma , Vincent Adam , Arno Solin

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

When constructing a Bayesian Machine Learning model, we might be faced with multiple different prior distributions and thus are required to properly consider them in a sensible manner in our model. While this situation is reasonably well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Sarem Seitz

We present a machine-learning method for predicting sharp transitions in a Hamiltonian phase diagram by extrapolating the properties of quantum systems. The method is based on Gaussian Process regression with a combination of kernels chosen…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-04-26 Rodrigo A. Vargas-Hernández , John Sous , Mona Berciu , Roman V. Krems

We present a numerical method to produce stochastic dynamics according to the generalized Langevin equation with a non-stationary memory kernel. This type of dynamics occurs when a microscopic system with an explicitly time-dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-30 Christoph Widder , Fabian Glatzel , Tanja Schilling

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning, statistics, and applied mathematics. They provide a flexible modelling framework for approximating functions, whilst simultaneously quantifying uncertainty. However, this is only true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-19 George Wynne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian non-parametric models popular in a variety of applications due to their accuracy and native uncertainty quantification (UQ). Tuning GP hyperparameters is critical to ensure the validity of prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Killian Wood , Alec M. Dunton , Amanda Muyskens , Benjamin W. Priest

Gaussian processes are an effective model class for learning unknown functions, particularly in settings where accurately representing predictive uncertainty is of key importance. Motivated by applications in the physical sciences, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-19 Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Alexander Terenin , Peter Mostowsky , Marc Peter Deisenroth

The focus of this work is the convergence of non-stationary and deep Gaussian process regression. More precisely, we follow a Bayesian approach to regression or interpolation, where the prior placed on the unknown function $f$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Conor Osborne , Aretha L. Teckentrup

Many techniques for data science and uncertainty quantification demand efficient tools to handle Gaussian random fields, which are defined in terms of their mean functions and covariance operators. Recently, parameterized Gaussian random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Daniel Kressner , Jonas Latz , Stefano Massei , Elisabeth Ullmann

We introduce a novel approach for learning memory kernels in Generalized Langevin Equations. This approach initially utilizes a regularized Prony method to estimate correlation functions from trajectory data, followed by regression over a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-22 Quanjun Lang , Jianfeng Lu

Density estimation in high-dimensional settings is an important and challenging statistical problem.Traditional methods based on kernel smoothing are inefficient in high dimensions due to the difficulties in specifying appropriate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ruitong Zhang , Ke Deng

Bayesian optimisation is a popular technique for hyperparameter learning but typically requires initial exploration even in cases where similar prior tasks have been solved. We propose to transfer information across tasks using learnt…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Ho Chung Leon Law , Peilin Zhao , Lucian Chan , Junzhou Huang , Dino Sejdinovic
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