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We bound the future loss when predicting any (computably) stochastic sequence online. Solomonoff finitely bounded the total deviation of his universal predictor M from the true distribution m by the algorithmic complexity of m. Here we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Alexey Chernov , Marcus Hutter

Starting from a Markov chain with a finite alphabet, we consider the chain obtained when all but one symbol are undistinguishable for the practitioner. We study necessary and sufficient conditions for this chain to have continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Walter A. F. de Carvalho , Sandro Gallo , Nancy L. Garcia

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

Finitarily Markovian processes are those processes $\{X_n\}_{n=-\infty}^{\infty}$ for which there is a finite $K$ ($K = K(\{X_n\}_{n=-\infty}^0$) such that the conditional distribution of $X_1$ given the entire past is equal to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

This paper studies the exponential stability of random matrix products driven by a general (possibly unbounded) state space Markov chain. It is a cornerstone in the analysis of stochastic algorithms in machine learning (e.g. for parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov , Hoi-To Wai

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ and $Y_1,Y_2,\ldots$ be two random sequences so that every random variable takes values in a finite set $\mathbb{A}$. We consider a global similarity score $L_n:=L(X_1,\ldots,X_n;Y_1,\ldots,Y_n)$ that measures the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Jüri Lember , Heinrich Matzinger , Joonas Sova , Fabio Zucca

We find upper bounds for the probability of underestimation and overestimation errors in penalized likelihood context tree estimation. The bounds are explicit and applies to processes of not necessarily finite memory. We allow for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 Florencia Leonardi

We study the approximability of Max Ones when the number of variable occurrences is bounded by a constant. For conservative constraint languages (i.e., when the unary relations are included) we give a complete classification when the number…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Fredrik Kuivinen

We study different notions of pointwise redundancy in variable-length lossy source coding. We present a construction of one-shot variable-length lossy source coding schemes using the Poisson functional representation, and give bounds on its…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Cheuk Ting Li

Log-linear models are typically fitted to contingency table data to describe and identify the relationship between different categorical variables. However, the data may include observed zero cell entries. The presence of zero cell entries…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Serveh Sharifi Far , Michail Papathomas , Ruth King

Consider a sequence $X^n$ of length $n$ emitted by a Discrete Memoryless Source (DMS) with unknown distribution $p_X$. The objective is to construct a lossless source code that maps $X^n$ to a sequence $\widehat{Y}^m$ of length $m$ that is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Remi A. Chou , Matthieu R. Bloch , Aylin Yener

Describing statistical dependencies is foundational to empirical scientific research. For uncovering intricate and possibly non-linear dependencies between a single target variable and several source variables within a system, a principled…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-28 David A. Ehrlich , Kyle Schick-Poland , Abdullah Makkeh , Felix Lanfermann , Patricia Wollstadt , Michael Wibral

A unified framework to obtain all known lower bounds (random coding, typical random coding and expurgated bound) on the reliability function of a point-to-point discrete memoryless channel (DMC) is presented. By using a similar idea for a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-10-08 Ali Nazari , Achilleas Anastasopoulos , S. Sandeep Pradhan

A sequence of real numbers (x_n) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fraction parts in the floating-point representation of (x_n) are distributed logarithmically. Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-05 Bahar Kaynar , Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill , Ad Ridder

Let $P=(x_1,\ldots,x_n)$ be a population consisting of $n\ge 2$ real numbers whose sum is zero, and let $k <n$ be a positive integer. We sample $k$ elements from $P$ without replacement and denote by $X_P$ the sum of the elements in our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Jianhang Ai , Ondřej Kuželka , Christos Pelekis

For every total recursive time bound $t$, a constant fraction of all compressible (low Kolmogorov complexity) strings is $t$-bounded incompressible (high time-bounded Kolmogorov complexity); there are uncountably many infinite sequences of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2009-08-11 E. G. Daylight , W. M. Koolen , P. M. B. Vitanyi

A setup involving zero-delay sequential transmission of a vector Markov source over a burst erasure channel is studied. A sequence of source vectors is compressed in a causal fashion at the encoder, and the resulting output is transmitted…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-10 Farrokh Etezadi , Ashish Khisti , Mitchell Trott

This paper provides tight bounds on the R\'enyi entropy of a function of a discrete random variable with a finite number of possible values, where the considered function is not one-to-one. To that end, a tight lower bound on the R\'enyi…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Igal Sason

An important question for a probabilistic program is whether the probability mass of all its diverging runs is zero, that is that it terminates "almost surely". Proving that can be hard, and this paper presents a new method for doing so; it…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We investigate the mixing properties of a finite Markov chain in random environment defined as a mixture of a deterministic chain and a chain whose state space has been permuted uniformly at random. This work is the counterpart of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Bastien Dubail
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