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The networked nature of supply chains makes them susceptible to systemic risk, where local firm failures can propagate through firm interdependencies that can lead to cascading supply chain disruptions. The systemic risk of supply chains…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-01 Giacomo Zelbi , Leonardo Niccolò Ialongo , Stefan Thurner

The dynamic portfolio optimization problem in finance frequently requires learning policies that adhere to various constraints, driven by investor preferences and risk. We motivate this problem of finding an allocation policy within a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Nymisha Bandi , Theja Tulabandhula

This work explores the characteristics of financial contagion in networks whose links distributions approaches a power law, using a model that defines banks balance sheets from information of network connectivity. By varying the parameters…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-10 Vanessa Hoffmann de Quadros , Juan Carlos González-Avella , José Roberto Iglesias

This chapter reviews key contributions of complexity science to the study of systemic risk in financial systems. The focus is on network models of financial contagion, where I explore various mechanisms of shock propagation, such as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-21 Fabio Caccioli

The ongoing concern about systemic risk since the outburst of the global financial crisis has highlighted the need for risk measures at the level of sets of interconnected financial components, such as portfolios, institutions or members of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Yannick Armenti , Stephane Crepey , Samuel Drapeau , Antonis Papapantoleon

This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating a cash injection into a financial system in distress. Given a one-period borrower-lender network in which all debts are due at the same time and have the same seniority, we address the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-18 Zhang Li , Xiaojun Lin , Borja Peleato-Inarrea , Ilya Pollak

This work proposes an augmented variant of DebtRank with uncertainty intervals as a method to investigate and assess systemic risk in financial networks, in a context of incomplete data. The algorithm is tested against a default contagion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-05 Stefano Gurciullo

Individual investors are now massively using online brokers to trade stocks with convenient interfaces and low fees, albeit losing the advice and personalization traditionally provided by full-service brokers. We frame the problem faced by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Robin Swezey , Bruno Charron

The stability of the financial system is associated with systemic risk factors such as the concurrent default of numerous small obligors. Hence it is of utmost importance to study the mutual dependence of losses for different creditors in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-30 Andreas Mühlbacher , Thomas Guhr

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

We consider a financial network represented at any time instance by a random liability graph which evolves over time. The agents connect through credit instruments borrowed from each other or through direct lending, and these create the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-23 Indrajit Saha , Veeraruna Kavitha

This work initiates research into the problem of determining an optimal investment strategy for investors with different attitudes towards the trade-offs of risk and profit. The probability distribution of the return values of the stocks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ming-Yang Kao , Andreas Nolte , Stephen R. Tate

Supply chain disruptions constitute an often underestimated risk for financial stability. As in financial networks, systemic risks in production networks arises when the local failure of one firm impacts the production of others and might…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Jan Fialkowski , Christian Diem , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

In this paper, we deal with risk evaluation and risk-averse optimization of complex distributed systems with general risk functionals. We postulate a novel set of axioms for the functionals evaluating the total risk of the system. We derive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-20 Aray Almen , Darinka Dentcheva

We study contagion and systemic risk in sparse financial networks with balance-sheet interactions on a directed random graph. Each institution has homogeneous liabilities and equity, and exposures along outgoing edges are split equally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Riley James Bendel

In portfolio optimization problems, the minimum expected investment risk is not always smaller than the expected minimal investment risk. That is, using a well-known approach from operations research, it is possible to derive a strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato

The global financial system has become highly connected and complex. Has been proven in practice that existing models, measures and reports of financial risk fail to capture some important systemic dimensions. Only lately, advisory boards…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-07 Michalis Vafopoulos

This paper considers the constrained portfolio optimization in a generalized life-cycle model. The individual with a stochastic income manages a portfolio consisting of stocks, a bond, and life insurance to maximize his or her consumption…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-29 Wenyuan Li , Pengyu Wei

This paper proposes a new method for financial portfolio optimization based on reducing simultaneous asset shocks across a collection of assets. This may be understood as an alternative approach to risk reduction in a portfolio based on a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan

This paper develops a continuous functional framework for analyzing contagion dynamics in financial networks, extending the Navier-Stokes-based approach to network-structured spatial processes. We model financial distress propagation as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi