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Traditional time series forecasting methods optimize for accuracy alone. This objective neglects temporal consistency, in other words, how consistently a model predicts the same future event as the forecast origin changes. We introduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Chutian Ma , Grigorii Pomazkin , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

We investigate how a weak coronal mass ejection (CME) launched on 2016 October 8 without obvious signatures in the low corona produced a relatively intense geomagnetic storm. Remote sensing observations from SDO, STEREO and SOHO and in situ…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-06-20 Wen He , Ying D. Liu , Huidong Hu , Rui Wang , Xiaowei Zhao

Although vital for life on Earth, solar activity poses questions and increasing threats to humanity due to the Sun's unknown dynamics, intensified by our dependence on terrestrial and space-based infrastructure. This situation is compounded…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-01-06 Leonidas Askianakis

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), as they can inject a large amounts of mass and magnetic flux into the interplanetary space, are the primary source of space weather phenomena on the Earth. The present review first briefly introduces the solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-28 Wageesh Mishra , Luca Teriaca

We describe a method for the automatic mapping of coronal holes (CH) using simultaneous multi-instrument EUV imaging data. Synchronized EUV images from STEREO/EUVI A&B 195A and SDO/AIA 193A are preprocessed, including PSF deconvolution and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-05-26 R. M. Caplan , C. Downs , J. L. Linker

We study the properties and geoeffectiveness of solar wind high-speed streams (HSSs) emanating from coronal holes and associated with stream interaction regions (SIRs). This paper presents a statistical study of 588 SIR/HSS events with…

Space Physics · Physics 2020-06-12 Maxime Grandin , Anita T. Aikio , Alexander Kozlovsky

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and high speed solar streams serve as perturbations to the background solar wind that have major implications in space weather dynamics. Therefore, a robust framework for accurate predictions of the background…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-28 Sandeep Kumar , Arghyadeep Paul , Bhargav Vaidya

We present the first real-time predictions of coronal mass ejection (CME) magnetic structure and resulting geomagnetic impact at Earth for two events using far-upstream observations from Solar Orbiter during March 2024. While our approach…

Aims: Our goal is to develop methodologies to seamlessly track transient solar wind flows viewed by coronagraphs or heliospheric imagers from rapidly varying viewpoints. Methods: We constructed maps of intensity versus time and elongation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-06-02 A. Nindos , S. Patsourakos , A. Vourlidas , P. C. Liewer , P. Penteado , J. R. Hall

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are large-scale eruptions from the Sun into interplanetary space. Despite being major space weather drivers, our knowledge of the CME properties in the inner heliosphere remains constrained by the scarcity of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 Camilla Scolini , Sergio Dasso , Luciano Rodriguez , Andrei N. Zhukov , Stefaan Poedts

The different appearances exhibited by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are believed to be in part the result of different orientations of their main axis of symmetry, consistent with a flux-rope configuration. There are observational reports…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-07-26 I. Cabello , H. Cremades , L. Balmaceda , I. Dohmen

It is difficult to measure the true speed of Earth-directed CMEs from a coronagraph located along the Sun-Earth line because of the occulting disk. However, the expansion speed (the speed with which the CME appears to spread in the sky…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-04 Nat Gopalswamy , Pertti Mäkelä , Seiji Yashiro , Joseph M. Davila

Context: In this paper we present a validation scheme to investigate the quality of coronal magnetic field models, which is based upon comparisons with observational data from multiple sources. Aims: Many of these coronal models may use a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-09 A. Wagner , E. Asvestari , M. Temmer , S. G. Heinemann , J. Pomoell

White-light images from Heliospheric Imager-1 (HI1) onboard the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) provide 2-dimensional (2D) global views of solar wind transients traveling in the inner heliosphere from two perspectives. How…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-05 Xiaolei Li , Yuming Wang , Rui Liu , Chenglong Shen , Quanhao Zhang , Shaoyu Lyu , Bin Zhuang , Fang Shen , Jiajia Liu , Yutian Chi

The solar wind drag-based model is a widely used framework for predicting the propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) through interplanetary space. This model primarily considers the aerodynamic drag exerted by the solar wind on CMEs.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-19 Mattia Rossi , Sabrina Guastavino , Michele Piana , Anna Maria Massone

We investigate the magnetic characteristics of a persistent coronal hole (CH) extracted from EUV imagery using HMI filtergrams over the timerange February 2012-October 2012. The magnetic field, its distribution as well as the magnetic fine…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-05 S. G. Heinemann , S. J. Hofmeister , A. M. Veronig , M. Temmer

We present a statistical analysis for the characteristics and radial evolution of linear magnetic holes (LMHs) in the solar wind from 0.166 to 0.82 AU using Parker Solar Probe observations of the first two orbits. It is found that the LMHs…

Space Physics · Physics 2021-02-17 L. Yu , S. Y. Huang , Z. G. Yuan , K. Jiang , Q. Y. Xiong , S. B. Xu , Y. Y. Wei , J. Zhang , Z. H. Zhang

In this study, we analyze nine CMEs from the Sun to Earth as observed in both the remote sensing and in situ data sets. To date, this is the largest study of Earth impacting CMEs using the multi-view point remote sensing and in situ data.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-06-20 Robin C. Colaninno

We present the study of two solar eruptive events observed on December 7 2020 and October 28 2021.Both events were associated with full halo CMEs and flares.These events were chosen because they show a strong non-radial direction of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-25 Angelos Valentino , Jasmina Magdalenic

Solar energetic particles (SEPs) accelerated from shocks driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are one of the major causes of geomagnetic storms on Earth. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the occurrence and intensity of such…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-26 Anitha Ravishankar , Grzegorz Michalek