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A new modelling approach for the analysis of weighted networks with ordinal/polytomous dyadic values is introduced. Specifically, it is proposed to model the weighted network connectivity structure using a hierarchical multilayer…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-05 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Evidence theory is widely used in decision-making and reasoning systems. In previous research, Transferable Belief Model (TBM) is a commonly used evidential decision making model, but TBM is a non-preference model. In order to better fit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Tianxiang Zhan , Zhen Li , Yong Deng

We propose a dynamic edge exchangeable network model that can capture sparse connections observed in real temporal networks, in contrast to existing models which are dense. The model achieved superior link prediction accuracy on multiple…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-12 Yin Cheng Ng , Ricardo Silva

Networks are ubiquitous in economic research on organizations, trade, and many other areas. However, while economic theory extensively considers networks, no general framework for their empirical modeling has yet emerged. We thus introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-10 Giacomo De Nicola , Cornelius Fritz , Marius Mehrl , Göran Kauermann

We propose a novel statistical model for sparse networks with overlapping community structure. The model is based on representing the graph as an exchangeable point process, and naturally generalizes existing probabilistic models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Adrien Todeschini , Xenia Miscouridou , François Caron

Krivitsky and Handcock (2014) proposed a Separable Temporal ERGM (STERGM) framework for modeling social networks, which facilitates separable modeling of the tie duration distributions and the structural dynamics of tie formation. In this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Pavel N. Krivitsky

Dynamic community detection concerns inferring how community memberships evolve over time, including the emergence, persistence, merging, and dissolution of groups in temporal networks. We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Xenia Miscouridou , Francesca Panero , Antreas Laos

The presence of unobserved node specific heterogeneity in Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) is a general concern, both with respect to model validity as well as estimation instability. We therefore extend the ERGM by including node…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-24 Sevag Kevork , Göran Kauermann

Fitting a graphical model to a collection of random variables given sample observations is a challenging task if the observed variables are influenced by latent variables, which can induce significant confounding statistical dependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Armeen Taeb , Parikshit Shah , Venkat Chandrasekaran

Ensembles of networks arise in various fields where multiple independent networks are observed on the same set of nodes, for example, a collection of brain networks constructed on the same brain regions for different individuals. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Sa Ren , Xue Wang , Peng Liu , Jian Zhang

Social networks as a representation of relational data, often possess multiple types of dependency structures at the same time. There could be clustering (beyond homophily) at a macro level as well as transitivity (a friend's friend is more…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-04 Ming Cao

Temporal graphs represent the dynamic relationships among entities and occur in many real life application like social networks, e commerce, communication, road networks, biological systems, and many more. They necessitate research beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

There has been an explosion of interest in statistical models for analyzing network data, and considerable interest in the class of exponential random graph (ERG) models, especially in connection with difficulties in computing maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-01-05 Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo , Yi Zhou

Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) are an inferential model for analysing statistical networks. Recent development in ERGMs uses hierarchical Bayesian setup to jointly model a group of networks, which is called a multiple-network…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Yefeng Fan , Simon Richard White

We consider general Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) where the sufficient statistics are functions of homomorphism counts for a fixed collection of simple graphs $F_k$. Whereas previous work has shown a degeneracy phenomenon in dense…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Nicholas A. Cook , Amir Dembo

Deep generative models (DGMs) for graphs achieve impressively high expressive power thanks to very efficient and scalable neural networks. However, these networks contain non-linearities that prevent analytical computation of many standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Martin Rektoris , Milan Papež , Václav Šmídl , Tomáš Pevný

Models for cross-sectional network data have become increasingly well-developed in recent decades, and are widely used. This has led to a growing interest in the connection between such cross-sectional models and the behavioral processes…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Carter T. Butts , Alexander Murray-Watters

We develop a class of exponential-family point processes based on a latent social space to model the coevolution of social structure and behavior over time. Temporal dynamics are modeled as a discrete Markov process specified through…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-10-04 Joshua D. EmBree , Mark S. Handcock

We extend the well-known and widely used Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) by including nodal random effects to compensate for heterogeneity in the nodes of a network. The Bayesian framework for ERGMs proposed by Caimo and Friel (2011)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-13 Stephanie Thiemichen , Nial Friel , Alberto Caimo , Göran Kauermann

We propose an autoregressive framework for modelling dynamic networks with dependent edges. It encompasses models that accommodate, for example, transitivity, degree heterogenenity, and other stylized features often observed in real network…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Jinyuan Chang , Qin Fang , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Peter W. MacDonald , Qiwei Yao