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Forecasting disease spread is a critical tool to help public health officials design and plan public health interventions. However, the expected future state of an epidemic is not necessarily well defined as disease spread is inherently…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-05 Mariah C. Boudreau , Andrea J. Allen , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

In this paper, we propose a realistic mathematical model taking into account the mutual interference among the interacting populations. This model attempts to describe the control (vaccination) function as a function of the number of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-18 V. Sree Hari Rao , M. Naresh Kumar

We present a computational modeling framework for data-driven simulations and analysis of infectious disease spread in large populations. For the purpose of efficient simulations, we devise a parallel solution algorithm targeting…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-19 Pavol Bauer , Stefan Engblom , Stefan Widgren

Rumor propagation in social networks undermines social stability and public trust, calling for interventions that are both effective and resource-efficient. We develop a node-level, time-varying optimal intervention framework that allocates…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Yan Zhu , Qingyang Liu , Chang Guo , Tianlong Fan , Linyuan Lü

Epidemic spreading can be suppressed by the introduction of containment measures such as social distancing and lock downs. Yet, when such measures are relaxed, new epidemic waves and infection cycles may occur. Here we explore this issue in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-07 Fabio Caccioli , Daniele De Martino

Empirical temporal networks display strong heterogeneities in their dynamics, which profoundly affect processes taking place on these networks, such as rumor and epidemic spreading. Despite the recent wealth of data on temporal networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-13 Christian L. Vestergaard , Mathieu Génois , Alain Barrat

Two simple agent based models are often employed in epidemic studies: the susceptible-infected (SI) and the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS). Both models describe the time evolution of infectious diseases in networks in which vertices…

We consider a model for an epidemic in a population that occupies geographically distinct locations. The disease is spread within subpopulations by contacts between infective and susceptible individuals, and is spread between subpopulations…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-15 R. McVinish , P. K. Pollett , A. Shausan

We consider the problem of controlling a partially-observed dynamic process on a graph by a limited number of interventions. This problem naturally arises in contexts such as scheduling virus tests to curb an epidemic; targeted marketing in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Eli A. Meirom , Haggai Maron , Shie Mannor , Gal Chechik

Epidemic intelligence deals with the detection of disease outbreaks using formal (such as hospital records) and informal sources (such as user-generated text on the web) of information. In this survey, we discuss approaches for epidemic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Aditya Joshi , Sarvnaz Karimi , Ross Sparks , Cecile Paris , C Raina MacIntyre

Historically studies of behaviour on networks have focused on the behaviour of individuals (node-based) or on the aggregate behaviour of the entire network. We propose a new method to decompose a temporal network into macroscale components…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-08-16 Andrew Mellor

The outbreak of a pandemic, such as COVID-19, causes major health crises worldwide. Typical measures to contain the rapid spread usually include effective vaccination and strict interventions (Nature Human Behaviour, 2021). Motivated by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Gargi Bakshi , Sujoy Bhore , Suraj Shetiya

Optimal control of interdependent epidemics spreading over complex networks is a critical issue. We first establish a framework to capture the coupling between two epidemics, and then analyze the system's equilibrium states by categorizing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-19 Juntao Chen , Rui Zhang , Quanyan Zhu

We investigate the application of a framework for sparse model identification of differential equations from timeseries data in the context of compartmental models in epidemiology. Such frameworks often seek a sparse representation from a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Manuchehr Aminian , Kristin M. Kurianski

We introduce the \emph{temporal graphlet kernel} for classifying dissemination processes in labeled temporal graphs. Such dissemination processes can be spreading (fake) news, infectious diseases, or computer viruses in dynamic networks.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Lutz Oettershagen , Nils M. Kriege , Claude Jordan , Petra Mutzel

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Lars Lorch , Abir De , Samir Bhatt , William Trouleau , Utkarsh Upadhyay , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Estimating the true prevalence of an epidemic outbreak is a key public health problem. This is challenging because surveillance is usually resource intensive and biased. In the network setting, prior work on cost sensitive disease…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-16 Ritwick Mishra , Abhijin Adiga , Madhav Marathe , S. S. Ravi , Ravi Tandon , Anil Vullikanti

We develop a Bayesian non-parametric framework based on multi-task Gaussian processes, appropriate for temporal shrinkage. We focus on a particular class of dynamic hierarchical models to obtain evidence-based knowledge of infectious…

Spatial spread of infectious diseases among populations via the mobility of humans is highly stochastic and heterogeneous. Accurate forecast/mining of the spread process is often hard to be achieved by using statistical or mechanical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Jian-Bo Wang , Lin Wang , Xiang Li

In the Dynamic Resource Allocation (DRA) problem, an administrator has to allocate a limited amount of resources to the nodes of a network in order to reduce a diffusion process (DP) (e.g. an epidemic). In this paper we propose a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Mathilde Fekom , Nicolas Vayatis , Argyris Kalogeratos
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