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In diagnostic studies, researchers frequently encounter imperfect reference standards with some misclassified labels. Treating these as gold standards can bias receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. To address this issue,…
Subject-exclusive cross-validation is the standard evaluation protocol for facial Action Unit (AU) detection, yet reported improvements are often small. We show that cross-validation itself introduces measurable stochastic variance. On…
This article considers the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for medical data with non-ignorable missingness in the disease status. In the framework of the logistic regression models for both the disease status and the…
Approximate Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation (ALO-CV) is a method that has been proposed to estimate the generalization error of a regularized estimator in the high-dimensional regime where dimension and sample size are of the same order, the…
This paper considers the problem of fair probabilistic binary classification with binary protected groups. The classifier assigns scores, and a practitioner predicts labels using a certain cut-off threshold based on the desired trade-off…
Recently, new methods for model assessment, based on subsampling and posterior approximations, have been proposed for scaling leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO) to large datasets. Although these methods work well for estimating predictive…
Evaluating the predictive performance of a statistical model is commonly done using cross-validation. Among the various methods, leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) is frequently used. Originally designed for exchangeable observations,…
Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) is a popular evaluation metric for binary classifiers. In this paper, we discuss techniques to segment the AUC-ROC along human-interpretable dimensions. AUC-ROC is not an…
The comparison of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves is frequently used in the literature to compare the discriminatory capability of different classification procedures based on diagnostic variables. The performance of these…
Leave-one-problem-out (LOPO) performance prediction requires machine learning (ML) models to extrapolate algorithms' performance from a set of training problems to a previously unseen problem. LOPO is a very challenging task even for…
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an informative tool in binary classification and Area Under ROC Curve (AUC) is a popular metric for reporting performance of binary classifiers. In this paper, first we present a…
The lasso procedure is ubiquitous in the statistical and signal processing literature, and as such, is the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. While much of this research focuses on the desirable properties that lasso…
In recent decades, multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) has surged in popularity for population inference. However, the validity of the estimates can depend on details of the model, and there is currently little research on…
Reinforcement learning with verifiers (RLVR) has become a central paradigm for improving LLM reasoning, yet popular group-based optimization algorithms like GRPO often suffer from exploration collapse, where the models prematurely converge…
The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an important graphic tool for evaluating a test in a wide range of disciplines. While useful, an ROC curve can cross the chance line, either by having an S-shape or a hook at the extreme…
We propose Process-Aware Policy Optimization (PAPO), a method that integrates process-level evaluation into Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) through decoupled advantage normalization, to address two limitations of existing reward…
The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) has become a popular index not only for measuring the overall prediction capacity of a marker but also the association strength between continuous and binary variables. In the…
The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) surface is a generalization of ROC curve and is widely used for assessment of the accuracy of diagnostic tests on three categories. A complication called the verification bias, meaning that not…
The area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is a useful tool to assess the performance of continuous-scale diagnostic tests on binary classification. In this article, we propose an empirical likelihood (EL) method to…
The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is the most popular tool used to evaluate the discriminatory capability of diagnostic tests/biomarkers measured on a continuous scale when distinguishing between two alternative disease…